Sheffield Utd v Millwall result

Full-time · Sheffield Utd 0–1 Millwall

Championship · · Bramall Lane

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Sheffield Utd 0–1 Millwall — Millwall won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4599 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall won 1–0 at Bramall Lane in the Championship on Saturday 23 August. Sheffield Utd have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Millwall led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Millwall: Luke Cundle (38’, assisted by M. Ivanović).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luke Cundle’s goal on 38 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Sheffield Utd 1.30, Millwall 1.40, from 14 shots to 17 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Busby showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sheffield Utd: Gustavo Hamer (63’), Louie Barry (79’) and Sydie Peck (90+2’); Millwall: M. Luongo (41’) and Camiel Neghli (59’).

What it changes

Sheffield Utd move down from 23rd to 24th (three league matches played).

Millwall move up from 11th to sixth (three league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luke Cundle (Millwall) 6.5, M. Ivanović (Millwall) 5.1 and Joshua Coburn (Millwall) 4.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Sheffield Utd or Millwall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3559 of 4599).

Next up

Sheffield Utd next host Derby on 24 October 2026.

Millwall next travel to Portsmouth on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Sheffield Utd: Sheffield Utd v Derby, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Millwall: Portsmouth v Millwall, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Sheffield Utd 0–1 Millwall · Championship
  • Venue: Bramall Lane · Sheffield
  • Referee: J. Busby
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Sheffield Utd 3 · draws 0 · Millwall 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Sheffield Utd 1W 0D 4L · Millwall 3W 0D 2L

Sheffield Utd 0–1 Millwall (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 5.4
Corners
against 4.5 / 6.6 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 5 matches
3.75 / 4.2
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 5 matches
1.5 / 2.2
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.4 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 5 matches
4.1 yellows
Referee · J. Busby
1.8 home / 2.3 away
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSheffield Utd for / againstLineMillwall for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.4 for · 6.6 against n 5
Shots
12.88 for · 10.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 15.4 against n 5
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.2 for · 5 against n 5
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
21.5standard
15.6 for · 7.6 against n 5
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.2 for · 1.4 against n 5

Referee: J. Busby — 4.1 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.6 fouls over 10 matches (1.8 to the home side, 2.3 to the away side).

Sheffield Utd
Sheffield Utd — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Brooks n 836.4
2.25/2
1.24/0
—
R. Oné n 837.9
2.16/1
0.31/0
—
Vinicius Souza n 884.4
1.97/5
1.28/1
—
K. Moore n 873.9
1.55/3
1.87/3
—
G. Hamer n 874.3
1.46/3
1.15/2
L. Cundle
Sheffield Utd — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Moore n 873.9
2.16/5
0.95/1
L. Barry n 857.3
1.84/4
13/1
G. Hamer n 874.3
1.77/4
0.53/0
S. McCallum n 836
1.64/1
0.62/0
A. Brooks n 836.4
1.54/1
1.23/1
Sheffield Utd — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Burrows n 870.6
0.21/0
0.52/1
C. O'Hare n 860
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Campbell n 855.3
0.42/0
0.21/0
G. Hamer n 874.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
A. Brooks n 836.4
0.62/0
00/0
Sheffield Utd — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Vinicius Souza n 884.4
3.58/6
F. Seriki n 838.6
3.55/3
A. Brooks n 836.4
3.14/3
H. Choudhury n 878.8
2.78/5
S. McCallum n 836
2.55/1
Millwall
Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Cundle n 851
2.95/3
1.53/2
G. Hamer
R. Leonard n 850
2.95/3
0.93/1
—
J. Coburn n 880.5
2.47/7
0.84/1
—
B. Mitchell n 872.6
2.25/4
0.32/0
—
G. Saville n 881.4
1.88/5
1.26/2
—
Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Neghli n 856.8
2.47/3
1.65/2
A. Emakhu n 827.9
2.42/1
22/1
O. Azeez n 879.1
26/4
0.73/2
J. Coburn n 880.5
1.77/4
0.43/0
M. Langstaff n 826.5
1.74/0
1.74/0
Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Saville n 881.4
0.32/0
0.42/1
M. Ivanović n 882.9
0.53/1
00/0
G. Honeyman n 875.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
C. Neghli n 856.8
0.42/0
00/0
A. Emakhu n 827.9
00/0
0.41/0
Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Luongo n 824.8
5.94/2
A. Emakhu n 827.9
44/2
B. Mitchell n 872.6
3.78/7
A. Doughty n 864.1
3.36/6
T. Crama n 885.4
3.26/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Sheffield UtdMillwall
62%Possession38%
1.30Expected goals (xG)1.40
14Shots17
4Shots on target6
7Shots off target8
3Blocked shots3
7Shots inside the box8
8Corners7
0Offsides5
11Fouls16
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves2
484Passes302
81%Pass accuracy65%

Sheffield Utd player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Cooper9000000007.9
B. Godfrey9000001106.3
J. Robinson9000101207
H. Burrows9000302207.3
C. O'Hare9000100206.6
Sydie Peck90001111Y6.7
G. Hamer90002150Y7.2
T. Campbell9000110106.3
Tyler Bindon8100100107.2
L. Barry81001101Y6.9
T. Cannon5900000006.3
A. Brooks sub3200002006.7
F. Seriki sub1000001107
R. Oné sub1000000006.3

Millwall player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Benda9000000006.6
R. Leonard9000101207.2
T. Crama9000100008.2
J. Cooper9000001007
Zak Norton Sturge9000000207.3
M. Luongo90000012Y6.6
C. De Norre9000300106.9
L. Cundle8510321208.2
J. Coburn8500224006.9
M. Ivanović7901322007.2
C. Neghli70001011Y6.2
A. Emakhu sub2100000206.6
Daniel Kelly sub1200000006.6
W. Harding sub1000000007
K. Nisbet sub1000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Sheffield Utd v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Sheffield UtdWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
MillwallWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Sheffield Utd 3 · 0 draws · Millwall 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-04-08 Sheffield Utd 0–1 Millwall
  • 2024-12-11 Millwall 0–1 Sheffield Utd
  • 2023-02-18 Millwall 3–2 Sheffield Utd
  • 2023-01-07 Millwall 0–2 Sheffield Utd
  • 2022-08-06 Sheffield Utd 2–0 Millwall
  • 2022-02-26 Millwall 1–0 Sheffield Utd
League standing · 2025/26
Sheffield Utd#13 pos60 pts46 pl0 GD
Millwall#3 pos83 pts46 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Sheffield Utd scored1.43
Millwall scored1.39
Sheffield Utd conceded1.43
Millwall conceded1.07

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Sheffield Utd v Millwall?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Sheffield Utd v Millwall was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield Utd and Millwall?
In their last 6 meetings, Sheffield Utd won 3, Millwall won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Sheffield Utd and Millwall?
Recent form — Sheffield Utd 1W 0D 4L; Millwall 3W 0D 2L.

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