Southampton v Norwich prediction

Championship · Wed, 17 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Southampton · Norwich · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Southampton v Norwich, Championship on Wed, 17 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Southampton host Norwich in the Championship on Wednesday 17 February (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Norwich have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 11 of Southampton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Southampton have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.63 and conceding 1.13. Southampton have scored 29 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Southampton have conceded 15 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Both teams scored in nine of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Norwich have five wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.67. Norwich have scored 32 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Norwich have conceded 24 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Southampton (seventh) and Norwich (12th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Southampton the stronger side, 116 rating points above Norwich (Southampton 1719, Norwich 1603, after at least 112 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 October 2026, finished Norwich 0–1 Southampton.

Team news

Predicted Southampton XI (4-2-3-1): D. Peretz, J. Stephens, J. Bree, K. Schlotterbeck, R. Manning, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz, K. Matsuki, L. Scienza, F. Downes, L. Dobbin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Finn Azaz (3.9 per match over 17 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Leo Scienza (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, three goals and two assists) have been Southampton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Southampton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Azaz averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 1564 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Leo Scienza averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1108 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Norwich XI (4-2-3-1): D. Grimshaw, R. McConville, J. Stacey, B. Chrisene, H. Darling, J. Wright, A. Brooks, P. Maghoma, S. Field, A. Musaba, M. Kvistgaarden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Stacey (4.5 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and three assists) and Benjamin Chrisene (3.8 per match over 14 appearances, two goals) have been Norwich’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Norwich (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Stacey averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 1234 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Benjamin Chrisene averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 1137 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 17 Feb 2027 19:45 GMT · Championship
Head-to-head (last 6): Southampton 3 · draws 2 · Norwich 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Southampton 2W 2D 1L · Norwich 4W 0D 1L

Southampton v Norwich (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.38

Goals

against 0.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.25 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.63 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 5

Shots on target

against 4.25 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.13

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Southampton for / against	Line	Norwich for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.38 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.75 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.13 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Southampton

Southampton Goalkeeper

Southampton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Daniel Peretz	17	901536 min	573.3 /90	160.9 /90	00 /90

Southampton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	3.8 7/6

Southampton Defensive

Southampton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
James Bree	17	871474 min	171 /90	171 /90	90.5 /90	442.7 /90	90.5 /90	20.1 /90
Ryan Manning	15	771161 min	70.5 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90	372.9 /90	110.9 /90	40.3 /90
J. Stephens	12	911086 min	90.7 /90	110.9 /90	151.2 /90	292.4 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
K. Schlotterbeck	12	901077 min	141.2 /90	161.3 /90	151.3 /90	635.3 /90	60.5 /90	10.1 /90
Nathan Wood	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90	365.1 /90	40.6 /90	20.3 /90
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Southampton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0.8 5/1	1.6 7/3	—
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.4 6/2	1.9 6/3	—
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0.9 4/1	1 3/2	—
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Southampton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.8 4/2
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0.8 5/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	1.1 2/2
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0.7 3/1
Leo Scienza n 8	73.8	0.9 5/1
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Southampton Attacking

Southampton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Cyle Larin	12	64765 min	80.9 /90	00 /90	313.6 /90	151.8 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90
L. Dobbin	9	69617 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90	30.4 /90	60.9 /90
D. Mubama	6	42250 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.5 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	20.7 /90
B. Brereton	1	6262 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.9 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
Cameron Archer	1	2121 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Southampton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
Finn Azaz n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.8 5/1
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	2.2 7/4	0.8 4/1
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	1 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Southampton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Southampton before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Daniel Peretz n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
James Bree n 8	82.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Finn Azaz n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Matsuki n 8	72.6	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
Ryan Manning n 8	65.9	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
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Norwich

Norwich Goalkeeper

Norwich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Kovačević	10	91909 min	252.5 /90	202 /90	10.1 /90
D. Grimshaw	8	90720 min	172.1 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90

Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 8	90	2.6 6/4
D. Grimshaw n 8	90	2.1 6/3

Norwich Defensive

Norwich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Ruairi McConville	16	811299 min	171.2 /90	211.5 /90	70.5 /90	714.9 /90	30.2 /90	20.1 /90
J. Stacey	15	821234 min	463.4 /90	261.9 /90	40.3 /90	745.4 /90	100.7 /90	30.2 /90
B. Chrisene	14	811137 min	332.6 /90	181.4 /90	50.4 /90	665.2 /90	80.6 /90	10.1 /90
J. Córdoba	13	891153 min	131 /90	80.6 /90	80.6 /90	443.4 /90	151.2 /90	70.5 /90
H. Darling	8	82659 min	60.8 /90	30.4 /90	60.8 /90	283.8 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
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Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Brooks n 8	69.4	1.1 6/1	0.8 4/1	—
Ruairi McConville n 8	90	0 0/0	0.9 6/1	—
J. Stacey n 8	89.6	0.5 3/1	0.9 3/3	—
A. Musaba n 8	45.9	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0	—
P. Mattsson n 8	84.4	2.7 6/6	1.7 7/3	—
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Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Brooks n 8	69.4	0.8 4/1
Ruairi McConville n 8	90	1.5 6/4
J. Stacey n 8	89.6	4 8/7
A. Musaba n 8	45.9	0.7 3/0
P. Mattsson n 8	84.4	2.8 8/6
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Norwich Attacking

Norwich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Kvistgaarden	14	55765 min	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	121.4 /90	70.8 /90	101.2 /90	20.2 /90
J. Makama	10	35347 min	30.8 /90	00 /90	123.1 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	102.6 /90
M. Touré	9	60536 min	61 /90	10.2 /90	132.2 /90	81.3 /90	81.3 /90	10.2 /90
P. Diallo	7	29205 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	31.3 /90	31.3 /90	83.5 /90
A. Crnac	6	29172 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	63.1 /90	21 /90	31.6 /90	52.6 /90
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Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Brooks n 8	69.4	1.3 5/3	0.2 1/0
Ruairi McConville n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
J. Stacey n 8	89.6	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
A. Musaba n 8	45.9	3.2 7/5	1.5 4/2
P. Mattsson n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1	0.3 1/1
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Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Norwich before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Brooks n 8	69.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Ruairi McConville n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
J. Stacey n 8	89.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
A. Musaba n 8	45.9	0.5 2/0	0.2 1/0
P. Mattsson n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Southampton v Norwich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

SouthamptonDWWDL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game

NorwichLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Southampton 3 · 2 draws · Norwich 1 · 3 goals/game

2026-10-14 Norwich 0–1 Southampton
2026-03-18 Southampton 1–0 Norwich
2025-12-13 Norwich 2–1 Southampton
2025-08-26 Norwich 0–3 Southampton
2024-01-01 Norwich 1–1 Southampton
2023-08-12 Southampton 4–4 Norwich

League standing · 2026/27

Southampton#7 pos24 pts15 pl+14 GD

Norwich#12 pos21 pts15 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Southampton scored1.93

Norwich scored2.13

Southampton conceded1

Norwich conceded1.6

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Norwich?: In their last 6 meetings, Southampton won 3, Norwich won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Southampton and Norwich?: Recent form — Southampton 2W 2D 1L; Norwich 4W 0D 1L.

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