Stenhousemuir v Dunfermline result

Full-time · Stenhousemuir 0–1 Dunfermline

Championship – Scotland · · Ochilview Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Stenhousemuir 0–1 Dunfermline — Dunfermline won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 3.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 3.5 goals
Best price: 1.28 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72.3% of 1796 landed (95% range 70.2–74.3%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dunfermline won 1–0 at Ochilview Park in the Championship – Scotland on Tuesday 27 October. Stenhousemuir are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Dunfermline are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Dunfermline: R. MacLeod (76’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. MacLeod’s goal on 76 minutes.

What it changes

Stenhousemuir stay second after this result (12 league matches played). Stenhousemuir have scored 13 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stenhousemuir have conceded nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs.

Dunfermline stay fourth after this result (12 league matches played). Dunfermline have scored 10 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 10 clubs (2026/27 so far). Dunfermline have conceded six goals, the second-fewest of the 10 clubs.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 72.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1298 of 1796).

Next up

Stenhousemuir next host Livingston on 30 October 2026.

Dunfermline next host Inverness CT on 31 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stenhousemuir: Stenhousemuir v Livingston, Friday 30 October — the preview. Next for Dunfermline: Dunfermline v Inverness CT, Saturday 31 October — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stenhousemuir 0–1 Dunfermline · Championship – Scotland
  • Venue: Ochilview Park · Stenhousemuir
  • Referee: G. Irvine
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Stenhousemuir 0 · draws 0 · Dunfermline 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stenhousemuir 2W 1D 2L · Dunfermline 2W 3D 0L

Stenhousemuir 0–1 Dunfermline (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stenhousemuir v Dunfermline — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StenhousemuirWWLDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
DunfermlineWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 0.8 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Stenhousemuir 0 · 0 draws · Dunfermline 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-01-18 Dunfermline 3–0 Stenhousemuir
  • 2021-07-24 Dunfermline 4–1 Stenhousemuir
League standing · 2026/27
Stenhousemuir#2 pos23 pts12 pl+4 GD
Dunfermline#4 pos21 pts12 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Stenhousemuir scored1.08
Dunfermline scored0.83
Stenhousemuir conceded0.75
Dunfermline conceded0.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stenhousemuir v Dunfermline?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stenhousemuir v Dunfermline was Under 3.5 goals (best price 1.28 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline?
In their last 2 meetings, Stenhousemuir won 0, Dunfermline won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stenhousemuir and Dunfermline?
Recent form — Stenhousemuir 2W 1D 2L; Dunfermline 2W 3D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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