Stoke CityMillwall

Stoke City v Millwall result

Full-time · Stoke City 1–3 Millwall

Championship ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Stoke City · Millwall · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Stoke City 1–3 Millwall — Millwall won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Millwall won 3–1 at Stoke City in the Championship on Tuesday 21 April. Millwall are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Stoke City, every meeting checked.

The goals

Millwall led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Millwall: Camiel Neghli (20’), Oluwafemi Azeez (55’, assisted by T. Ballo), an own goal by Caleb Taylor (60’) and Joshua Coburn (69’, assisted by Camiel Neghli).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Stoke City 0.98, Millwall 1.48, from 12 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Smith showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Millwall: Derek Mazou-Sacko (5’), Casper De Norre (15’) and Danny McNamara (81’).

What it changes

Stoke City are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Millwall are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Camiel Neghli (Millwall) 11.2, Oluwafemi Azeez (Millwall) 8.5 and T. Ballo (Millwall) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Stoke City or Millwall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

Stoke City next host Birmingham on 21 November 2026.

Millwall next host QPR on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Stoke City: Stoke City v Birmingham, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Millwall: Millwall v QPR, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Stoke City 1–3 Millwall · Championship
  • Referee: J. Smith
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Stoke City 0 · draws 2 · Millwall 4 · 1.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Stoke City 1W 1D 3L · Millwall 2W 2D 1L

Stoke City 1–3 Millwall (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.63 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.88 / 7.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.5
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.38 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.15 yellows
Referee · J. Smith
20.23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStoke City for / againstLineMillwall for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 7.75 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 15.5 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 17.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 8 against n 8
Cards shown
2.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: J. Smith — 4.15 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 20.23 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Johansson24902160 min702.9 /90220.9 /9000 /90
Tommy Simkin16901440 min422.6 /90221.4 /9000 /90
Gavin Bazunu591457 min81.6 /9051 /9000 /90
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890
3.47/6
Tommy Simkin n 890
36/5

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Phillips40843351 min220.6 /90300.8 /90361 /901594.3 /90270.7 /9070.2 /90
B. Wilmot36873134 min351 /90200.6 /90210.6 /901644.7 /90150.4 /9050.1 /90
Bosun Lawal29782276 min471.9 /90150.6 /90130.5 /901596.3 /90230.9 /9070.3 /90
A. Cresswell25802008 min241.1 /90210.9 /9070.3 /90632.8 /9060.3 /9010 /90
E. Bocat25701762 min301.5 /90331.7 /90100.5 /90954.9 /90100.5 /9000 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.84/2
0.94/1
O. Azeez
Bae Jun-Ho n 869.5
0.21/0
1.56/2
—
M. Manhoef n 866.9
2.26/5
1.36/2
C. Neghli
A. Phillips n 890.5
0.63/2
0.43/0
J. Cooper
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.54/0
0.74/1
—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.85/1
Bae Jun-Ho n 869.5
1.54/3
M. Manhoef n 866.9
1.34/4
A. Phillips n 890.5
0.94/2
B. Wilmot n 882.5
1.54/3
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Cissé26631646 min30.2 /9030.2 /90261.4 /90130.7 /90231.3 /90150.8 /90
D. Mubama24701688 min50.3 /9010.1 /90251.3 /90140.7 /9070.4 /90120.6 /90
R. Boženík1453746 min10.1 /9000 /90161.9 /9081 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Gallagher1341530 min20.3 /9000 /9050.8 /9040.7 /9061 /9030.5 /90
M. Smit1056563 min20.3 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9030.5 /9040.6 /9010.2 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 869.5
0.85/0
0.21/0
M. Manhoef n 866.9
26/3
12/1
A. Phillips n 890.5
0.43/0
0.22/0
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.52/1
0.31/1
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Thomas n 884.1
0.11/0
0.43/0
Bae Jun-Ho n 869.5
0.21/0
00/0
M. Manhoef n 866.9
0.31/1
0.21/0
A. Phillips n 890.5
00/0
00/0
B. Wilmot n 882.5
0.31/1
00/0
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Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Crocombe25902255 min843.4 /90241 /9000 /90
A. Patterson1191996 min252.3 /90100.9 /9000 /90
S. Benda1090900 min181.8 /90171.7 /9000 /90
Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 890
3.17/4
A. Patterson n 890.8
2.15/4
S. Benda n 890
1.84/1

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Cooper44903966 min451 /90350.8 /90350.8 /903507.9 /90491.1 /9090.2 /90
T. Crama44903938 min801.8 /90641.5 /90320.7 /902626 /90541.2 /9090.2 /90
Zak Norton Sturge31712187 min421.7 /90170.7 /90170.7 /901164.8 /90311.3 /9080.3 /90
C. Taylor25862139 min301.3 /90482 /90281.2 /901777.4 /90140.6 /9010 /90
J. Bryan1555832 min283 /90181.9 /9050.5 /90555.9 /90161.7 /9040.4 /90
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Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Cooper n 890.8
16/2
0.65/0
A. Phillips
T. Crama n 890.8
17/1
0.11/0
—
C. Neghli n 889.9
0.32/0
0.53/1
M. Manhoef
M. Ivanović n 855.1
15/0
0.21/0
—
O. Azeez n 889.9
2.37/5
0.64/1
S. Thomas
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890.8
0.75/1
T. Crama n 890.8
1.67/4
C. Neghli n 889.9
1.56/3
M. Ivanović n 855.1
0.82/1
O. Azeez n 889.9
16/2
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Ivanović36772764 min90.3 /9020.1 /90571.9 /90301 /90290.9 /90120.4 /90
M. Langstaff28511426 min20.1 /9010.1 /90171.1 /9090.6 /9070.4 /9050.3 /90
J. Coburn25711780 min90.5 /9000 /90361.8 /90191 /90120.6 /9060.3 /90
A. Emakhu24581385 min20.1 /9030.2 /90301.9 /90151 /90191.2 /90251.6 /90
T. Watson729205 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9000 /9020.9 /9031.3 /90
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Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890.8
0.54/0
0.22/0
T. Crama n 890.8
15/3
00/0
C. Neghli n 889.9
0.85/1
0.54/0
M. Ivanović n 855.1
2.26/3
14/1
O. Azeez n 889.9
1.36/4
0.32/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 890.8
0.11/0
00/0
T. Crama n 890.8
00/0
0.22/0
C. Neghli n 889.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Ivanović n 855.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
O. Azeez n 889.9
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Stoke CityMillwall
47%Possession53%
0.98Expected goals (xG)1.48
12Shots14
4Shots on target6
5Shots off target5
3Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box11
11Corners1
3Offsides4
8Fouls11
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves4
327Passes382
72%Pass accuracy77%

Stoke City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Gavin Bazunu9000000005.7
Sydney Agina9000000005.6
A. Phillips9000000006
R. Otegbayo9000100205.9
E. Bocat9000110306.5
T. Seko9000100106.6
S. Thomas9000004006.7
S. Nzonzi7400100207.3
R. Boženík7400102006.3
L. Baker6000111006.3
M. Manhoef5900111006.5
S. Gallagher sub3100001006.7
L. Cissé sub3000210007
B. Pearson sub1600000106.9
M. Smit sub1600000006.7

Millwall Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Patterson9000000007.5
T. Crama9000102006.7
C. Taylor9000000006.3
J. Cooper9000000106.9
D. Mazou-Sacko90000000Y6.5
C. Neghli9011112008
C. De Norre85000002Y6.6
O. Azeez8510322208.2
Zak Norton Sturge8000000106.6
T. Ballo8001211507
J. Coburn8010311006.9
D. McNamara sub10000000Y6.7
T. Watson sub1000000006.2
M. Ivanović sub1000110006.2
L. Cundle sub900000006.3
M. Langstaff sub900000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Stoke City v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Stoke CityLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
MillwallDWLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Stoke City 0 · 2 draws · Millwall 4 · 1.17 goals/game
  • 2025-10-21 Millwall 2–0 Stoke City
  • 2025-03-15 Millwall 1–0 Stoke City
  • 2024-11-09 Stoke City 1–1 Millwall
  • 2023-12-23 Stoke City 0–0 Millwall
  • 2023-08-26 Millwall 1–0 Stoke City
  • 2023-02-25 Stoke City 0–1 Millwall
League standing · 2025/26
Stoke City#17 pos55 pts46 pl-5 GD
Millwall#3 pos83 pts46 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Stoke City scored1.11
Millwall scored1.39
Stoke City conceded1.22
Millwall conceded1.07

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Stoke City v Millwall?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Stoke City v Millwall was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Millwall?
In their last 6 meetings, Stoke City won 0, Millwall won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Stoke City and Millwall?
Recent form — Stoke City 1W 1D 3L; Millwall 2W 2D 1L.

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