Swansea v Blackburn prediction

Championship · · Swansea.com Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Swansea v Blackburn, Championship on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Swansea host Blackburn in the Championship on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Swansea or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Blackburn have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Swansea’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Swansea have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.63. Swansea have scored 16 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Swansea have conceded 13 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

11 of Blackburn’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Blackburn’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Blackburn have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Blackburn have scored 19 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Blackburn have conceded 16 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Swansea (second) and Blackburn (10th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Swansea the stronger side, 12 rating points above Blackburn (Swansea 1564, Blackburn 1552, after at least 380 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Swansea are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Blackburn. The most recent meeting, on 20 January 2026, finished Swansea 3–1 Blackburn.

Team news

Predicted Swansea XI (4-3-3): L. Vigouroux, J. Tymon, B. Cabango, F. Lissah, S. Welsh, M. Stamenić, J. Fulton, S. Eustaquio, A. Idah, M. Yeo, Z. Vipotnik — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Moussa Yeo (4.7 per match over 12 appearances, three goals) and Filip Lissah (3.4 per match over 12 appearances, one assist) have been Swansea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swansea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Moussa Yeo averages 1.4 shots per 90 over 830 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. Filip Lissah averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 938 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Blackburn XI (3-4-2-1): B. Tóth, S. McLoughlin, R. Alebiosu, H. Carter, S. Morsy, O. Afolayan, K. Montgomery, T. Cantwell, M. Baradji, R. Morishita, A. Guðjohnsen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Andri Guðjohnsen (4.4 per match over 12 appearances, nine goals and one assist) and Oladapo Afolayan (4.1 per match over 14 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Blackburn’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Blackburn (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Andri Guðjohnsen averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 1025 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Oladapo Afolayan averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 998 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Swansea.com Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Swansea 5 · draws 0 · Blackburn 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Swansea 3W 0D 2L · Blackburn 3W 1D 1L

Swansea v Blackburn (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 7.25
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSwansea for / againstLineBlackburn for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
10.5 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.5 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 11.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.88 against n 8

Swansea

Swansea Goalkeeper

Swansea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Vigouroux13901176 min262 /9090.7 /9000 /90
Swansea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Vigouroux n 890
2.55/5

Swansea Defensive

Swansea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Tymon13901176 min201.5 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90393 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
F. Lissah1278938 min262.5 /90171.6 /9060.6 /90706.7 /90131.2 /9050.5 /90
Stephen Welsh1184927 min90.9 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90525 /9020.2 /9010.1 /90
B. Cabango1184920 min80.8 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90444.3 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
J. Key758404 min81.8 /9071.6 /9020.4 /90204.5 /9051.1 /9000 /90
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Swansea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tymon n 890
0.64/1
0.53/1
—
L. Vigouroux n 890
0.11/0
0.62/1
—
M. Stamenić n 866.9
1.25/1
14/2
—
F. Lissah n 879.8
14/2
1.34/3
—
M. Yeo n 871.9
1.17/0
0.63/1
—
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Swansea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tymon n 890
1.87/4
M. Stamenić n 866.9
1.25/2
F. Lissah n 879.8
2.86/4
M. Yeo n 871.9
4.18/5
A. Idah n 862.6
0.53/0
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Swansea Attacking

Swansea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Yeo1269830 min30.3 /9000 /90131.4 /9080.9 /90151.6 /90171.8 /90
A. Idah1260715 min40.5 /9010.1 /90222.8 /90111.4 /9050.6 /9070.9 /90
Z. Vipotnik1236436 min20.4 /9010.2 /90122.5 /9081.7 /9081.7 /9000 /90
Joseph Opoku1164700 min20.3 /9010.1 /90101.3 /9060.8 /90121.5 /9070.9 /90
Joseph Opoku954488 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.5 /9050.9 /9081.5 /9061.1 /90
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Swansea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Tymon n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Stamenić n 866.9
0.21/0
00/0
F. Lissah n 879.8
00/0
00/0
M. Yeo n 871.9
1.44/3
0.94/2
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Swansea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swansea before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tymon n 890
00/0
0.11/0
L. Vigouroux n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Stamenić n 866.9
00/0
00/0
F. Lissah n 879.8
00/0
0.11/0
M. Yeo n 871.9
0.53/0
00/0
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Blackburn

Blackburn Goalkeeper

Blackburn — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Tóth1090900 min272.7 /90131.3 /9000 /90
A. Pears490360 min61.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Blackburn — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Tóth n 890
2.65/3
A. Pears n 890
1.43/1

Blackburn Defensive

Blackburn — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. McLoughlin14901260 min151.1 /90271.9 /90221.6 /90664.7 /90110.8 /9030.2 /90
R. Alebiosu13861124 min191.5 /9090.7 /9020.2 /90433.4 /9060.5 /9000 /90
Tom Atcheson1086858 min111.2 /9090.9 /90151.6 /90444.6 /9080.8 /9030.3 /90
H. Pickering1084839 min171.8 /9080.9 /9080.9 /90424.5 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90
H. Carter873583 min71.1 /9010.2 /90111.7 /90253.9 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
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Blackburn — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.53/1
0.64/1
—
T. Cantwell n 878.4
1.15/2
1.98/3
—
O. Afolayan n 872.4
1.76/3
2.58/5
—
R. Alebiosu n 884.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
—
R. Morishita n 875.4
0.63/1
1.26/2
—
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Blackburn — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.64/1
T. Cantwell n 878.4
1.15/3
O. Afolayan n 872.4
1.76/3
R. Alebiosu n 884.4
2.17/7
R. Morishita n 875.4
14/1
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Blackburn Attacking

Blackburn — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Guðjohnsen1261730 min91.1 /9010.1 /90151.8 /90111.4 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
J. Fevrier1242498 min10.2 /9010.2 /90173.1 /9050.9 /90112 /9091.6 /90
Y. Ohashi335105 min00 /9000 /9021.7 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /90
A. Kargbo32162 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /9000 /9011.5 /90
T. Cantwell14771077 min20.2 /9020.2 /90221.8 /90121 /90332.8 /90110.9 /90
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Blackburn — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
0.42/1
00/0
T. Cantwell n 878.4
1.36/2
0.95/1
O. Afolayan n 872.4
2.57/5
1.67/3
R. Alebiosu n 884.4
0.75/0
0.11/0
R. Morishita n 875.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
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Blackburn — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Blackburn before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. McLoughlin n 890
00/0
0.11/0
T. Cantwell n 878.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
O. Afolayan n 872.4
0.63/1
0.21/0
R. Alebiosu n 884.4
00/0
00/0
R. Morishita n 875.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Swansea v Blackburn — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
SwanseaWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
BlackburnDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Swansea 5 · 0 draws · Blackburn 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-20 Swansea 3–1 Blackburn
  • 2025-09-30 Blackburn 1–2 Swansea
  • 2025-02-22 Swansea 3–0 Blackburn
  • 2024-10-19 Blackburn 1–0 Swansea
  • 2024-03-02 Swansea 2–1 Blackburn
  • 2023-10-28 Blackburn 0–1 Swansea
League standing · 2026/27
Swansea#2 pos23 pts12 pl+3 GD
Blackburn#10 pos18 pts12 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Swansea scored1.33
Blackburn scored1.58
Swansea conceded1.08
Blackburn conceded1.33

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Swansea v Blackburn?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Swansea v Blackburn is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Swansea and Blackburn?
In their last 6 meetings, Swansea won 5, Blackburn won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Swansea and Blackburn?
Recent form — Swansea 3W 0D 2L; Blackburn 3W 1D 1L.

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