WatfordCoventry

Watford v Coventry result

Full-time · Watford 0–4 Coventry

Championship · · Vicarage Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Watford · Coventry · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Watford 0–4 Coventry — Coventry won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Coventry won 4–0 at Vicarage Road in the Championship on Saturday 2 May. Watford are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Coventry are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

Coventry led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Coventry: Ellis Simms (19’, assisted by Jake Bidwell; 43’, assisted by Joshua Eccles; 58’, assisted by V. Torp) and V. Torp (85’, assisted by J. Allen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ellis Simms’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Watford 1.70, Coventry 1.39, from 13 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

R. Ricardo showed three yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Watford: Imrân Louza (25’) and Nestory Irankunda (78’); Coventry: Joel Latibeaudiere (25’).

What it changes

Watford stay 16th after this result (46 league matches played).

Coventry stay first after this result (46 league matches played).

Coventry’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 46, across 12 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ellis Simms (Coventry) 12.8, V. Torp (Coventry) 9.5 and Joshua Eccles (Coventry) 6.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Coventry are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Watford, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.

Coventry next host Crystal Palace on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Coventry: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Watford 0–4 Coventry · Championship
  • Venue: Vicarage Road · Watford
  • Referee: R. Ricardo
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Watford 0 · draws 3 · Coventry 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Watford 0W 1D 4L · Coventry 2W 3D 0L

Watford 0–4 Coventry (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 2
Goals
against 2 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.13
Corners
against 4.88 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.88 yellows
Referee · R. Ricardo
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWatford for / againstLineCoventry for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
3our book
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 2.5 against n 8
Shots
12.88 for · 14 against n 8
19.5standard
14.38 for · 9 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: R. Ricardo — 4.88 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Selvik40893555 min1142.9 /90541.4 /9010 /90
N. Baxter884675 min131.7 /90141.9 /9000 /90
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Selvik n 890
3.57/7
N. Baxter n 884.4
1.75/2

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bola36832981 min331 /90461.4 /9080.2 /901173.5 /90150.5 /9020.1 /90
M. Pollock34842864 min290.9 /90300.9 /90290.9 /901725.4 /90270.8 /9070.2 /90
J. Ngakia33782566 min1144 /90351.2 /9060.2 /901866.5 /90291 /9040.1 /90
J. Abankwah31842602 min441.5 /90291 /90120.4 /901445 /90401.4 /9060.2 /90
K. Keben30752254 min281.1 /90230.9 /90110.4 /901074.3 /90170.7 /9030.1 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Louza n 881.5
1.75/4
1.77/3
—
L. Kjerrumgaard n 867.1
0.74/0
0.21/0
—
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
0.31/1
—
N. Irankunda n 869
25/4
27/4
—
M. Bola n 877.3
0.74/1
0.74/1
—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Louza n 881.5
1.55/3
L. Kjerrumgaard n 867.1
0.32/0
N. Irankunda n 869
1.54/3
M. Bola n 877.3
0.95/1
E. Kayembe n 882
1.65/4
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Kjerrumgaard42682858 min90.3 /9010 /90531.7 /90341.1 /90270.9 /9070.2 /90
M. Doumbia28581629 min50.3 /9000 /90301.7 /90140.8 /90231.3 /90110.6 /90
K. Baah2337847 min20.2 /9010.1 /90131.4 /9060.6 /90131.4 /90131.4 /90
Vivaldo Semedo1747807 min30.3 /9020.2 /90212.3 /90121.3 /9060.7 /9040.4 /90
J. Grieves429117 min10.8 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9010.8 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Louza n 881.5
1.46/3
0.42/1
L. Kjerrumgaard n 867.1
1.76/3
1.26/1
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Irankunda n 869
2.37/3
1.34/2
M. Bola n 877.3
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Louza n 881.5
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Kjerrumgaard n 867.1
00/0
00/0
E. Selvik n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Irankunda n 869
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Bola n 877.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Coventry

Coventry Goalkeeper

Coventry — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Rushworth45904050 min1202.7 /90420.9 /9000 /90
B. Wilson392275 min31 /9031 /9000 /90
Coventry — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Rushworth n 890
1.42/1
B. Wilson n 890.6
2.65/4

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. van Ewijk43883764 min932.2 /90521.2 /90120.3 /901664 /90380.9 /9080.2 /90
J. Dasilva43833587 min691.7 /90441.1 /9090.2 /901383.5 /90260.7 /9060.2 /90
Liam Kitching41863513 min441.1 /90381 /90220.6 /902275.8 /90471.2 /9080.2 /90
B. Thomas35863014 min371.1 /90260.8 /90300.9 /901825.4 /90270.8 /9070.2 /90
J. Latibeaudiere15851275 min100.7 /90120.8 /90161.1 /90624.4 /9090.6 /9000 /90
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Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Grimes n 889.5
0.43/0
0.65/0
—
C. Rushworth n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
M. van Ewijk n 888.1
0.94/3
0.53/1
—
J. Dasilva n 885.8
0.73/2
0.11/0
—
H. Wright n 858.9
14/1
0.63/0
—
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Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Grimes n 889.5
1.45/4
M. van Ewijk n 888.1
1.96/4
J. Dasilva n 885.8
1.24/3
H. Wright n 858.9
0.21/0
Liam Kitching n 890
16/1
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Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Wright42652744 min180.6 /9020.1 /90812.7 /90391.3 /90200.7 /90170.6 /90
E. Simms31521608 min110.6 /9020.1 /90553.1 /90311.7 /90160.9 /9010.1 /90
B. Thomas-Asante30621866 min130.6 /9040.2 /90482.3 /90251.2 /90201 /90150.7 /90
Yang Min-Hyeok24590 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9022 /90
M. Grimes47884158 min20 /9020 /90230.5 /9060.1 /90811.8 /90110.2 /90
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Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Grimes n 889.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
C. Rushworth n 890
00/0
00/0
M. van Ewijk n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
J. Dasilva n 885.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
H. Wright n 858.9
2.77/4
1.15/1
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Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Grimes n 889.5
0.11/0
00/0
C. Rushworth n 890
00/0
00/0
M. van Ewijk n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
J. Dasilva n 885.8
00/0
00/0
H. Wright n 858.9
0.42/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
WatfordCoventry
43%Possession57%
1.70Expected goals (xG)1.39
13Shots18
4Shots on target7
5Shots off target5
4Blocked shots6
12Shots inside the box7
0Corners6
5Offsides1
16Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves3
388Passes498
84%Pass accuracy88%

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Selvik9000000007.2
J. Abankwah9000000106.7
M. Pollock9000000106.3
J. Ngakia9000001306.9
E. Kayembe9000102206.3
N. Irankunda90006310Y5.9
I. Louza82000021Y7.2
O. Maamma8200210106.2
S. Goglichidze6200000206
N. Mendy6200002207.3
G. Chakvetadze6200002007
M. Bola sub2800000006.7
E. Bove sub2800000206.3
J. Grieves sub2800000106.3
T. Ince sub800000006.5
M. Doumbia sub800000006.6

Coventry Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Rushworth9000000007.6
J. Latibeaudiere90000001Y7.6
L. Woolfenden9000000307.3
J. Bidwell9001111007.3
V. Torp9011211308.2
M. Grimes9000002407.9
B. Thomas-Asante8700200006.3
E. Simms7930332009.9
K. Kesler-Hayden7000100307.5
J. Eccles7001223207.3
R. Esse7000101306.9
M. van Ewijk sub2000002006.9
J. Allen sub2001001106.9
E. Mason-Clark sub2000000106.2
H. Wright sub1100000006.5
Miguel Brau sub30000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Watford v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
WatfordDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
CoventryDDDWW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Watford 0 · 3 draws · Coventry 3 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-25 Coventry 3–1 Watford
  • 2025-01-25 Coventry 2–1 Watford
  • 2024-09-14 Watford 1–1 Coventry
  • 2024-03-09 Watford 1–2 Coventry
  • 2023-09-02 Coventry 3–3 Watford
  • 2023-04-10 Coventry 2–2 Watford
League standing · 2025/26
Watford#16 pos57 pts46 pl-12 GD
Coventry#1 pos95 pts46 pl+52 GD
Goals per game
Watford scored1.15
Coventry scored2.11
Watford conceded1.41
Coventry conceded0.98

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Watford v Coventry?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Coventry was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Coventry?
In their last 6 meetings, Watford won 0, Coventry won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Watford and Coventry?
Recent form — Watford 0W 1D 4L; Coventry 2W 3D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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