Watford v Millwall prediction

Championship · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Vicarage Road

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Watford · Millwall · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Watford v Millwall, Championship on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Watford host Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Six of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Watford’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Watford have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.63. Watford have scored 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Watford have conceded 23 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

11 of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in seven of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Millwall have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 0.88 and conceding 2.25. Millwall have scored 23 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Millwall have conceded 27 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Watford (20th) and Millwall (16th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Millwall the stronger side, 98 rating points above Watford (Millwall 1426, Watford 1329, after at least 245 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Millwall are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Watford. The most recent meeting, on 17 January 2026, finished Watford 0–2 Millwall.

Team news

Predicted Watford XI (5-3-2): F. Ravaglia, M. Pollock, K. Keben, B. Mlačić, O. Traoré, M. Bola, E. Kayembe, H. Kyprianou, I. Bravo, M. Boadu, M. Doumbia — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Hector Kyprianou (3.3 per match over 16 appearances, one goal) and Iker Bravo (3.2 per match over 16 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Watford’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Watford (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Hector Kyprianou averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 1681 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Iker Bravo averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1177 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Millwall XI (4-2-3-1): M. Crocombe, J. Cooper, C. Taylor, Z. Sturge, J. Osei-Tutu, C. Neghli, D. Mazou-Sacko, J. Metcalfe, K. Lisbie, L. Cundle, L. Dykes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Caleb Taylor (4.6 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Jenson Metcalfe (3.8 per match over 17 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Millwall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Millwall (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Caleb Taylor averages 1.2 tackles per 90 over 1535 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jenson Metcalfe averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1312 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · Vicarage Road
Head-to-head (last 6): Watford 1 · draws 1 · Millwall 4 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Watford 2W 1D 2L · Millwall 1W 1D 3L

Watford v Millwall (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.75 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5.88

Corners

against 6 / 5.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 4.13

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Watford for / against	Line	Millwall for / against
Goals scored	0.75 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.25 for · 17.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.63 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
F. Ravaglia	16	911452 min	553.4 /90	201.2 /90	10.1 /90
D. Bachmann	1	9090 min	66 /90	55 /90	00 /90

Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	3.8 7/7

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Pollock	16	911452 min	191.2 /90	211.3 /90	201.2 /90	704.3 /90	191.2 /90	30.2 /90
K. Keben	16	881407 min	211.3 /90	140.9 /90	140.9 /90	503.2 /90	140.9 /90	30.2 /90
J. Zemura	13	58754 min	161.9 /90	151.8 /90	20.2 /90	475.6 /90	121.4 /90	30.4 /90
O. Traoré	12	67798 min	111.2 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	232.6 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
M. Bola	8	54433 min	102.1 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90	316.4 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Pollock n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.5 3/1	—
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
K. Keben n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.5 3/1	—
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	1 6/2	1.6 7/5	—
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.1 5/4	0.6 4/1	—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Pollock n 8	90	0.9 6/1
K. Keben n 8	90	1.1 6/2
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	1.8 6/6
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.8 7/5
Iker Bravo n 8	73.1	0.9 4/1
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Doumbia	15	56844 min	20.2 /90	00 /90	181.9 /90	101.1 /90	101.1 /90	50.5 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard	10	60598 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.8 /90	40.6 /90	71.1 /90	20.3 /90
Rocco Vata	9	33295 min	00 /90	00 /90	113.4 /90	51.5 /90	72.1 /90	41.2 /90
M. Boadu	7	54379 min	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	81.9 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90
S. Mavididi	7	42297 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.5 /90	20.6 /90	51.5 /90	82.4 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Pollock n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Keben n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
E. Kayembe n 8	90	1.6 7/4	0.3 1/1
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Pollock n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
F. Ravaglia n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Keben n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Hector Kyprianou n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
E. Kayembe n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Millwall

Millwall Goalkeeper

Millwall — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
M. Crocombe	11	86945 min	282.7 /90	151.4 /90
F. Marschall	5	81405 min	112.4 /90	30.7 /90
L. Jensen	2	90180 min	21 /90	00 /90

Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 8	84.4	3.2 5/5
F. Marschall n 5	81	2.4 2/2

Millwall Defensive

Millwall — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Cooper	17	901522 min	150.9 /90	191.1 /90	140.8 /90	995.9 /90	191.1 /90	20.1 /90
C. Taylor	16	901440 min	171.1 /90	402.5 /90	120.8 /90	1016.3 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90
Zak Norton Sturge	16	801280 min	221.5 /90	191.3 /90	90.6 /90	694.9 /90	211.5 /90	40.3 /90
J. Osei-Tutu	10	71707 min	91.1 /90	70.9 /90	20.3 /90	344.3 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
E. Baggott	6	53317 min	41.1 /90	41.1 /90	10.3 /90	185.1 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90
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Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Cooper n 8	90	1.8 6/5	0.8 4/2	—
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.2 5/3	0.4 3/0	—
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.6 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	1.4 6/4	1.4 5/5	—
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	1.4 6/2	1.9 7/5	—
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Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	1 4/2
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.5 7/4
C. Taylor n 8	90	1.1 6/3
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	1 4/2
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	3.5 8/7
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Millwall Attacking

Millwall — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Dykes	14	791106 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	242 /90	80.7 /90	151.2 /90	40.3 /90
T. Arconte	9	69619 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	111.6 /90	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	60.9 /90
J. Coburn	6	63377 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	71.7 /90	10.2 /90
Z. Lovelace	6	35212 min	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Y. Issoufou	4	31123 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90
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Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	1 5/3	0.5 4/0
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	1.4 7/3	0.4 2/1
C. Taylor n 8	90	1 6/2	0.4 3/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
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Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Millwall before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Cooper n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
C. Neghli n 8	87.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
C. Taylor n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Zak Norton Sturge n 8	82.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jenson Metcalfe n 8	81.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Watford v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

WatfordWLLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

MillwallDLWLL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Watford 1 · 1 draw · Millwall 4 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-01-17 Watford 0–2 Millwall
2025-09-22 Millwall 1–0 Watford
2025-03-08 Watford 1–2 Millwall
2024-08-10 Millwall 2–3 Watford
2024-03-02 Millwall 1–0 Watford
2023-10-28 Watford 2–2 Millwall

League standing · 2026/27

Watford#20 pos15 pts15 pl-10 GD

Millwall#16 pos18 pts15 pl-4 GD

Goals per game

Watford scored0.87

Millwall scored1.53

Watford conceded1.53

Millwall conceded1.8

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Millwall?: In their last 6 meetings, Watford won 1, Millwall won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Watford and Millwall?: Recent form — Watford 2W 1D 2L; Millwall 1W 1D 3L.

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