West Brom v Watford result
Team pages: West Brom · Watford · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
West Brom 1–0 Watford — West Brom won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
West Brom beat Watford 1–0 at The Hawthorns in the Championship on Saturday 5 September. West Brom have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
West Brom led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — West Brom: Jimmy Morgan (36’, assisted by Harry Whitwell).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jimmy Morgan’s goal on 36 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: West Brom 1.14, Watford 1.26, from 9 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
Michael Salisbury, England showed eight yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — West Brom: Jimmy Morgan (34’), Ousmane Diakité (42’), Nathaniel Phillips (88’), Harry Whitwell (89’) and Isaac Price (90+5’); Watford: Martín Payero (16’), Edouard Kayembe (63’) and Iker Bravo (90+5’).
What it changes
West Brom have scored eight goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). West Brom have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Watford have scored four goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Watford are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Whitwell (West Brom) 6.8, J. Morgan (West Brom) 4.9 and Jimmy Morgan (West Brom) 4.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, West Brom or Watford (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).
Next up
West Brom next travel to Swansea on 21 November 2026.
Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for West Brom: Swansea v West Brom, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: West Brom 1–0 Watford · Championship
- Venue: The Hawthorns · West Bromwich
- Referee: Michael Salisbury, England
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): West Brom 2 · draws 2 · Watford 2 · 3.33 goals/game
- Recent form: West Brom 2W 1D 2L · Watford 1W 2D 2L
West Brom 1–0 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | West Brom for / against | Line | Watford for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.75 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.75 for · 12.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.13 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 8.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Michael Salisbury, England.
West Brom
West Brom Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O’Leary | 5 | 91454 min | 153 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Ingram | 1 | 9090 min | 44 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. O’Leary n 8 | 90.5 | 3 |
West Brom Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Campbell | 6 | 91544 min | 91.5 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 61 /90 | 183 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| C. Styles | 6 | 76453 min | 112.2 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 234.6 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| N. Phillips | 5 | 91454 min | 61.2 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 214.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| N. Galves | 5 | 91453 min | 112.2 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 204 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Alex Williams | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 66 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Campbell n 8 | 90.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | — |
| I. Price n 8 | 89 | 0.3 | 1.1 | — |
| O. Diakité n 8 | 87.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | — |
| Jimmy Morgan n 6 | 77.5 | 2.1 | 2.1 | — |
| C. Styles n 8 | 79.1 | 0.4 | 1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Campbell n 8 | 90.5 | 1.1 |
| I. Price n 8 | 89 | 2 |
| O. Diakité n 8 | 87.9 | 1.9 |
| Jimmy Morgan n 6 | 77.5 | 1 |
| C. Styles n 8 | 79.1 | 2.1 |
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West Brom Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Morgan | 6 | 78465 min | 40.8 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 81.5 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 71.4 /90 | 30.6 /90 |
| Felix Horn Myhre | 6 | 66393 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 40.9 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 30.7 /90 |
| A. Heggebø | 2 | 82163 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 42.2 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 |
| J. Morgan | 2 | 82163 min | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.1 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 10.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| B. Stewart | 2 | 56111 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Campbell n 8 | 90.5 | 0.2 | 0 |
| I. Price n 8 | 89 | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| O. Diakité n 8 | 87.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Jimmy Morgan n 6 | 77.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| C. Styles n 8 | 79.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Campbell n 8 | 90.5 | 0 | 0 |
| I. Price n 8 | 89 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| O. Diakité n 8 | 87.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Jimmy Morgan n 6 | 77.5 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| C. Styles n 8 | 79.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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Watford
Watford Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia | 5 | 92462 min | 132.5 /90 | 51 /90 | 00 /90 |
| D. Bachmann | 1 | 9090 min | 66 /90 | 55 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Ravaglia n 5 | 92.4 | 2.5 |
| D. Bachmann n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Watford Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Keben | 6 | 85507 min | 112 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 244.3 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| M. Pollock | 5 | 92462 min | 81.6 /90 | 51 /90 | 61.2 /90 | 234.5 /90 | 91.8 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| O. Traoré | 5 | 71357 min | 61.5 /90 | 41 /90 | 00 /90 | 123 /90 | 61.5 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| J. Zemura | 4 | 84336 min | 71.9 /90 | 71.9 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 215.6 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| Albert Eames | 2 | 68136 min | 42.6 /90 | 32 /90 | 21.3 /90 | 64 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Keben n 8 | 85.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | — |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 84.4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | — |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 60.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | — |
| M. Doumbia n 8 | 50 | 1.3 | 0.7 | — |
| E. Bove n 8 | 55.6 | 1.4 | 2 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Keben n 8 | 85.9 | 1.7 |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 84.4 | 1.6 |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 60.5 | 1.5 |
| M. Doumbia n 8 | 50 | 1.1 |
| E. Bove n 8 | 55.6 | 2.6 |
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Watford Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Doumbia | 6 | 60357 min | 10.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 92.3 /90 | 41 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 20.5 /90 |
| Rocco Vata | 5 | 27135 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 85.3 /90 | 42.7 /90 | 53.3 /90 | 21.3 /90 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 3 | 65195 min | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 83.7 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| Hector Kyprianou | 6 | 83495 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 50.9 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
| O. Maamma | 6 | 62374 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.2 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 92.2 /90 | 112.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Keben n 8 | 85.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 84.4 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 60.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| M. Doumbia n 8 | 50 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| E. Bove n 8 | 55.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Keben n 8 | 85.9 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Hector Kyprianou n 8 | 84.4 | 0 | 0 |
| O. Maamma n 8 | 60.5 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Doumbia n 8 | 50 | 0.2 | 0 |
| E. Bove n 8 | 55.6 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| West Brom | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| 51% | Possession | 49% |
| 1.14 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.26 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 2 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 3 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 7 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 18 | Fouls | 11 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 441 | Passes | 414 |
| 86% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
West Brom Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Campbell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| N. Galves | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| I. Price | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| C. Styles | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Harry Whitwell | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | Y | 8.2 |
| M. O’Leary | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| O. Diakité | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| J. Morgan | 82 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.8 |
| Jimmy Morgan | 82 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| C. Mepham | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| A. Heggebø | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| R. Nzingoula | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Molumby sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Felix Horn Myhre sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| N. Phillips sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.6 |
| B. Stewart sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| B. Stewart sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Watford Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Bove | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Iker Bravo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | Y | 7.2 |
| K. Keben | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Hector Kyprianou | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| M. Pollock | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| F. Ravaglia | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| L. Kjerrumgaard | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| O. Maamma | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Payero | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.6 |
| Albert Eames | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| J. Zemura | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| E. Kayembe sub | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.7 |
| S. Coulibaly sub | 31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| S. Mavididi sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Amin Nabizada sub | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| M. Doumbia sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind West Brom v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-21 West Brom 3–0 Watford
- 2025-10-22 Watford 2–1 West Brom
- 2025-04-12 West Brom 2–1 Watford
- 2024-12-15 Watford 2–1 West Brom
- 2024-04-01 West Brom 2–2 Watford
- 2023-09-20 Watford 2–2 West Brom
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for West Brom v Watford?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for West Brom v Watford was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Watford?
- In their last 6 meetings, West Brom won 2, Watford won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of West Brom and Watford?
- Recent form — West Brom 2W 1D 2L; Watford 1W 2D 2L.
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