West BromWatford

West Brom v Watford result

Full-time · West Brom 1–0 Watford

Championship · · The Hawthorns

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

West Brom 1–0 Watford — West Brom won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.29 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

West Brom beat Watford 1–0 at The Hawthorns in the Championship on Saturday 5 September. West Brom have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

West Brom led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — West Brom: Jimmy Morgan (36’, assisted by Harry Whitwell).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jimmy Morgan’s goal on 36 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: West Brom 1.14, Watford 1.26, from 9 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Michael Salisbury, England showed eight yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — West Brom: Jimmy Morgan (34’), Ousmane Diakité (42’), Nathaniel Phillips (88’), Harry Whitwell (89’) and Isaac Price (90+5’); Watford: Martín Payero (16’), Edouard Kayembe (63’) and Iker Bravo (90+5’).

What it changes

West Brom have scored eight goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). West Brom have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Watford have scored four goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Watford have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Watford are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Harry Whitwell (West Brom) 6.8, J. Morgan (West Brom) 4.9 and Jimmy Morgan (West Brom) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, West Brom or Watford (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (3985 of 5118).

Next up

West Brom next travel to Swansea on 21 November 2026.

Watford next travel to Sheffield Utd on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for West Brom: Swansea v West Brom, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Watford: Sheffield Utd v Watford, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: West Brom 1–0 Watford · Championship
  • Venue: The Hawthorns · West Bromwich
  • Referee: Michael Salisbury, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Brom 2 · draws 2 · Watford 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Brom 2W 1D 2L · Watford 1W 2D 2L

West Brom 1–0 Watford (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWest Brom for / againstLineWatford for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
0.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12.75 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 15.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.13 for · 13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 9.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Michael Salisbury, England.

West Brom

West Brom Goalkeeper

West Brom — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. O’Leary591454 min153 /9061.2 /9000 /90
M. Ingram19090 min44 /9033 /9000 /90
West Brom — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. O’Leary n 890.5
36/6

West Brom Defensive

West Brom — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Campbell691544 min91.5 /9040.7 /9061 /90183 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
C. Styles676453 min112.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90234.6 /9020.4 /9000 /90
N. Phillips591454 min61.2 /9061.2 /9091.8 /90214.2 /9010.2 /9010.2 /90
N. Galves591453 min112.2 /9071.4 /9010.2 /90204 /9000 /9000 /90
Alex Williams19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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West Brom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Campbell n 890.5
0.65/0
0.54/0
—
I. Price n 889
0.32/0
1.16/3
—
O. Diakité n 887.9
1.46/4
1.46/3
—
Jimmy Morgan n 677.5
2.15/3
2.15/3
—
C. Styles n 879.1
0.43/0
16/1
—
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West Brom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Campbell n 890.5
1.16/3
I. Price n 889
26/4
O. Diakité n 887.9
1.97/5
Jimmy Morgan n 677.5
12/1
C. Styles n 879.1
2.17/4
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West Brom Attacking

West Brom — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jimmy Morgan678465 min40.8 /9020.4 /9081.5 /9061.2 /9071.4 /9030.6 /90
Felix Horn Myhre666393 min10.2 /9000 /9040.9 /9020.5 /9051.1 /9030.7 /90
A. Heggebø282163 min10.6 /9000 /9042.2 /9010.6 /9000 /9021.1 /90
J. Morgan282163 min10.6 /9000 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90
B. Stewart256111 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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West Brom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Campbell n 890.5
0.22/0
00/0
I. Price n 889
1.98/4
1.57/3
O. Diakité n 887.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
Jimmy Morgan n 677.5
1.54/2
1.23/2
C. Styles n 879.1
0.63/1
0.43/0
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West Brom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Brom before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Campbell n 890.5
00/0
00/0
I. Price n 889
0.52/2
0.11/0
O. Diakité n 887.9
00/0
00/0
Jimmy Morgan n 677.5
0.83/1
0.42/0
C. Styles n 879.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Watford

Watford Goalkeeper

Watford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
F. Ravaglia592462 min132.5 /9051 /9000 /90
D. Bachmann19090 min66 /9055 /9000 /90
Watford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
F. Ravaglia n 592.4
2.53/2
D. Bachmann n 890
2.96/5

Watford Defensive

Watford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Keben685507 min112 /9040.7 /9071.2 /90244.3 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90
M. Pollock592462 min81.6 /9051 /9061.2 /90234.5 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90
O. Traoré571357 min61.5 /9041 /9000 /90123 /9061.5 /9010.3 /90
J. Zemura484336 min71.9 /9071.9 /9010.3 /90215.6 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90
Albert Eames268136 min42.6 /9032 /9021.3 /9064 /9000 /9000 /90
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Watford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Keben n 885.9
0.85/1
0.42/1
—
Hector Kyprianou n 884.4
0.95/2
0.54/0
—
O. Maamma n 860.5
1.34/2
1.14/1
—
M. Doumbia n 850
1.33/2
0.73/0
—
E. Bove n 855.6
1.45/1
25/4
—
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Watford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Keben n 885.9
1.77/3
Hector Kyprianou n 884.4
1.66/3
O. Maamma n 860.5
1.55/1
M. Doumbia n 850
1.14/1
E. Bove n 855.6
2.68/4
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Watford Attacking

Watford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Doumbia660357 min10.3 /9000 /9092.3 /9041 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
Rocco Vata527135 min00 /9000 /9085.3 /9042.7 /9053.3 /9021.3 /90
L. Kjerrumgaard365195 min10.5 /9000 /9083.7 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9010.5 /90
Hector Kyprianou683495 min00 /9000 /9050.9 /9020.4 /9050.9 /9020.4 /90
O. Maamma662374 min00 /9000 /9051.2 /9030.7 /9092.2 /90112.6 /90
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Watford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Keben n 885.9
00/0
00/0
Hector Kyprianou n 884.4
0.84/2
0.43/0
O. Maamma n 860.5
1.34/3
0.73/1
M. Doumbia n 850
2.34/3
0.92/1
E. Bove n 855.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Watford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Watford before kick-off, to 2 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Keben n 885.9
00/0
0.11/0
Hector Kyprianou n 884.4
00/0
00/0
O. Maamma n 860.5
00/0
00/0
M. Doumbia n 850
0.21/0
00/0
E. Bove n 855.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
West BromWatford
51%Possession49%
1.14Expected goals (xG)1.26
9Shots11
4Shots on target2
2Shots off target3
3Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box8
5Corners4
2Offsides0
18Fouls11
5Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
441Passes414
86%Pass accuracy82%

West Brom Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Campbell9000100007
N. Galves9000001407.3
I. Price90000010Y6.7
C. Styles9000002407.2
Harry Whitwell90010025Y8.2
M. O’Leary9000000007.2
O. Diakité90001012Y6.6
J. Morgan82104300Y7.8
Jimmy Morgan82103300Y7.3
C. Mepham8100001007.6
A. Heggebø7300110206.7
R. Nzingoula7300000307.2
J. Molumby sub1700000106.9
Felix Horn Myhre sub1700000206.9
N. Phillips sub9000000Y6.6
B. Stewart sub800000006.6
B. Stewart sub800000006.6

Watford Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Bove9000001306.6
Iker Bravo90001113Y7.2
K. Keben9000001106.6
Hector Kyprianou9000000106.6
M. Pollock9000000107.3
F. Ravaglia9000000007.3
L. Kjerrumgaard8200002006.5
O. Maamma6700111206.3
M. Payero67001011Y6.6
Albert Eames5900000106
J. Zemura4500001006.3
E. Kayembe sub45000000Y6.7
S. Coulibaly sub3100100007
S. Mavididi sub2300101206.6
Amin Nabizada sub2300000006.2
M. Doumbia sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind West Brom v Watford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West BromWWLLD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
WatfordWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Brom 2 · 2 draws · Watford 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-21 West Brom 3–0 Watford
  • 2025-10-22 Watford 2–1 West Brom
  • 2025-04-12 West Brom 2–1 Watford
  • 2024-12-15 Watford 2–1 West Brom
  • 2024-04-01 West Brom 2–2 Watford
  • 2023-09-20 Watford 2–2 West Brom
League standing · 2026/27
West Brom#5 pos28 pts15 pl+8 GD
Watford#20 pos15 pts15 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
West Brom scored1.53
Watford scored0.87
West Brom conceded1
Watford conceded1.53

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for West Brom v Watford?
TACTIX’s free model pick for West Brom v Watford was Home or Away (best price 1.29 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Watford?
In their last 6 meetings, West Brom won 2, Watford won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Brom and Watford?
Recent form — West Brom 2W 1D 2L; Watford 1W 2D 2L.

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