West Ham v Stoke City prediction

Championship · Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · London Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for West Ham v Stoke City, Championship on Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

West Ham host Stoke City in the Championship on Saturday 28 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

West Ham have scored 37 goals, the most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games).

West Ham have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. West Ham are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Stoke City are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of West Ham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 11 of West Ham’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, West Ham have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.71 and conceding 1.71. West Ham have conceded 23 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games).

Nine of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Stoke City have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.50. Stoke City have scored 24 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 15 games). Stoke City have conceded 18 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

West Ham (ninth) and Stoke City (third) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stoke City the stronger side, 98 rating points above West Ham (Stoke City 1616, West Ham 1518, after at least 15 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 April 2018, finished West Ham 1–1 Stoke City.

Team news

Predicted West Ham XI (4-4-2): M. Hermansen, M. Kilman, K. Mavropanos, J. Veltman, Morato, J. Bowen, A. Engels, D. Mukasa, M. Solomon, J. Piroe, V. Castellanos — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jarrod Bowen (6.5 per match over 18 appearances, nine goals and eight assists) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (4.7 per match over 15 appearances, five goals and one assist) have been West Ham’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for West Ham (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jarrod Bowen averages 3.2 key passes per 90 over 1591 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Konstantinos Mavropanos averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1744 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Stoke City XI (3-4-3): V. Johansson, B. Wilmot, L. Graham, B. Lawal, B. Johnson, E. Soumaré, E. Galbraith, L. Bombino, J. McGlynn, J. Devenny, R. Boženík — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ethan Galbraith (4.2 per match over 16 appearances, three goals and four assists) and Jack McGlynn (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Stoke City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stoke City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ethan Galbraith averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1737 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Jack McGlynn averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 2187 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 28 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Championship · London Stadium
Head-to-head (last 2): West Ham 1 · draws 1 · Stoke City 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: West Ham 1W 1D 3L · Stoke City 4W 1D 0L

West Ham v Stoke City (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.75 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

7.88 / 4.88

Corners

against 4.13 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7.25 / 3.38

Shots on target

against 3.38 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.5 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.63 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	West Ham for / against	Line	Stoke City for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	7.88 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	18.63 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.63 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.38 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.13 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

West Ham

West Ham Goalkeeper

West Ham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Hermansen	16	911449 min	311.9 /90	161 /90	00 /90
F. Herrick	2	90180 min	63 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90

West Ham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Hermansen n 8	90	1.5 3/2

West Ham Defensive

West Ham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Kilman	18	911629 min	211.2 /90	100.6 /90	110.6 /90	985.4 /90	170.9 /90	50.3 /90
K. Mavropanos	15	871307 min	231.6 /90	191.3 /90	60.4 /90	886.1 /90	110.8 /90	30.2 /90
K. Walker-Peters	13	68887 min	171.7 /90	70.7 /90	60.6 /90	404.1 /90	141.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Veltman	12	61728 min	192.3 /90	91.1 /90	40.5 /90	435.3 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90
Morato	9	72645 min	202.8 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90	324.5 /90	91.3 /90	20.3 /90
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West Ham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Kilman n 8	90	1.5 8/2	1.1 6/2	—
J. Bowen n 8	90	0.4 3/0	1.6 7/5	—
M. Solomon n 8	61.6	0.7 2/2	1.1 4/2	—
V. Castellanos n 8	52.4	1.1 3/1	0.4 2/0	—
M. Hermansen n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
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West Ham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Kilman n 8	90	1.1 7/1
J. Bowen n 8	90	0.5 3/1
M. Solomon n 8	61.6	0.5 3/0
V. Castellanos n 8	52.4	0.9 2/2
A. Engels n 8	87	2.1 7/4
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West Ham Attacking

West Ham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
V. Castellanos	17	601022 min	40.4 /90	40.4 /90	353.1 /90	171.5 /90	181.6 /90	50.4 /90
J. Piroe	14	54750 min	40.5 /90	20.2 /90	232.8 /90	121.4 /90	81 /90	20.2 /90
Pablo	11	61671 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	141.9 /90	70.9 /90	81.1 /90	50.7 /90
Edvin Austbø	9	42377 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	41 /90	51.2 /90
J. Ajala	2	55110 min	21.6 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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West Ham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kilman n 8	90	1.1 5/3	0.4 3/0
J. Bowen n 8	90	2.6 8/6	1.4 7/3
M. Solomon n 8	61.6	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
V. Castellanos n 8	52.4	3 7/5	1.7 4/4
M. Hermansen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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West Ham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for West Ham before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Kilman n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. Bowen n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.5 2/2
M. Solomon n 8	61.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
V. Castellanos n 8	52.4	0 0/0	0.4 2/0
M. Hermansen n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Stoke City

Stoke City Goalkeeper

Stoke City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Johansson	16	901447 min	472.9 /90	161 /90	00 /90

Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 8	90	2.5 6/3

Stoke City Defensive

Stoke City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Wilmot	16	881402 min	161 /90	251.6 /90	140.9 /90	613.9 /90	171.1 /90	10.1 /90
Luke Graham	14	911267 min	251.8 /90	181.3 /90	100.7 /90	906.4 /90	151.1 /90	30.2 /90
B. Lawal	8	74593 min	81.2 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90	263.9 /90	101.5 /90	20.3 /90
Bosun Lawal	8	68547 min	71.2 /90	40.7 /90	91.5 /90	264.3 /90	91.5 /90	30.5 /90
M. Talovierov	8	57454 min	40.8 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	234.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
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Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
B. Wilmot n 8	90	1 6/2	0.6 3/1	—
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	1.7 6/4	1.7 6/4	—
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0.6 5/0	1.1 5/4	—
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.3 6/3	1.5 5/4	—
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Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.9 5/1
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	2.4 6/5
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.5 7/2
Luke Graham n 8	90	1.8 6/4
Ben Johnson n 8	90	1.3 5/2
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Stoke City Attacking

Stoke City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
George Hirst	13	44570 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	30.5 /90
J. McGlynn	11	72796 min	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	121.4 /90	80.9 /90	131.5 /90	30.3 /90
R. Boženík	11	44485 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	142.6 /90	40.7 /90	71.3 /90	10.2 /90
J. Devenny	10	70700 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	101.3 /90	50.6 /90	111.4 /90	70.9 /90
L. Cissé	9	56505 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	71.2 /90	101.8 /90
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Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	1.1 5/4	0.5 4/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0.9 5/1	0.2 1/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.5 4/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Stoke City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
V. Johansson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Wilmot n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 8	75	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Galbraith n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0
Luke Graham n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind West Ham v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

West HamWLLDL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Stoke CityWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

West Ham 1 · 1 draw · Stoke City 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2018-04-16 West Ham 1–1 Stoke City
2017-12-16 Stoke City 0–3 West Ham

League standing · 2026/27

West Ham#9 pos23 pts15 pl+14 GD

Stoke City#3 pos29 pts15 pl+6 GD

Goals per game

West Ham scored2.47

Stoke City scored1.6

West Ham conceded1.53

Stoke City conceded1.2

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and Stoke City?: In their last 2 meetings, West Ham won 1, Stoke City won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Ham and Stoke City?: Recent form — West Ham 1W 1D 3L; Stoke City 4W 1D 0L.

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