Boca Juniors v Vasco DA Gama result

Full-time · Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · · Estadio Alberto José Armando

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Boca Juniors · Vasco DA Gama

The model’s pre-match pick

Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama — Vasco DA Gama won this CONMEBOL Sudamericana match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.1% of 4297 landed (95% range 75.9–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Vasco DA Gama won 1–0 at Estadio Alberto José Armando in CONMEBOL Sudamericana on Wednesday 14 October.

Vasco DA Gama are unbeaten in their last seven matches.

The goals

Vasco DA Gama led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Vasco DA Gama: Adson (25’, assisted by Andrés Gómez). Andrés Gómez (64’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Adson’s goal on 25 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Boca Juniors out-shot Vasco DA Gama 18 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.55 xG to 0.49 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adson (Vasco DA Gama) 8.1, L. Di Lollo (Boca Juniors) 7.5 and Cuiabano (Vasco DA Gama) 6.0 led the match.

What the model said

Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.1% of the time in the last 90 days (3315 of 4297).

Next up

Boca Juniors next host Talleres Cordoba on 17 October 2026.

Vasco DA Gama next travel to Sao Paulo on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Boca Juniors: Boca Juniors v Talleres Cordoba, Saturday 17 October — the preview. Next for Vasco DA Gama: Sao Paulo v Vasco DA Gama, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama · CONMEBOL Sudamericana
  • Venue: Estadio Alberto José Armando · Ciudad de Buenos Aires
  • Referee: Piero Maza Gomez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Boca Juniors 3W 2D 0L · Vasco DA Gama 4W 1D 0L

Boca Juniors 0–1 Vasco DA Gama (CONMEBOL Sudamericana): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 14 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1 / 0.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2
over 8 matches
3.57 / 6.75
Corners
against 3.43 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 3.14 / 2.63 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.57 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBoca Juniors for / againstLineVasco DA Gama for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
2our book
1.63 for · 0.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.57 for · 3.43 against n 7
9.5standard
6.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 10.86 against n 7
19.5standard
16.88 for · 9.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.57 for · 3.14 against n 7
8.5standard
5.75 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.29 for · 10.43 against n 7
21.5standard
13.38 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Piero Maza Gomez.

Boca Juniors
Boca Juniors — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Delgado n 874.6
1.85/4
1.77/4
Santiago Sosa
A. Velasco n 857.3
1.85/2
1.45/2
—
E. Valencia n 837.4
1.84/2
1.54/1
—
C. Palacios n 863.3
1.66/2
1.85/4
—
M. Braida n 880
1.56/3
25/5
—
Boca Juniors — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Velasco n 857.3
4.37/5
0.83/1
E. Valencia n 837.4
3.35/4
1.53/1
Angel Romero n 826.5
35/2
0.81/1
Sebastián Villa n 840.8
2.56/1
0.83/0
Miguel Merentiel n 867.1
2.37/6
1.35/3
Boca Juniors — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Valencia n 837.4
0.62/0
0.62/0
Miguel Merentiel n 867.1
0.85/0
00/0
L. Flores n 864.1
0.41/1
0.42/0
Angel Romero n 826.5
0.81/1
00/0
M. Delgado n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Boca Juniors — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Delgado n 874.6
3.57/6
L. Paredes n 873.8
3.17/6
M. Braida n 880
36/6
D. Gorosito n 881
2.57/6
C. Rey n 845.9
25/3
Boca Juniors — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Montero n 890
37/5
L. Brey n 886.5
12/1
Vasco DA Gama
Vasco DA Gama — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
David n 828.4
3.24/4
24/1
—
Santiago Sosa n 868.6
36/5
00/0
M. Delgado
Jair n 848
1.95/3
2.67/4
—
Claudio Spinelli n 841.8
1.95/2
1.64/1
—
Ramon Rique n 845.8
1.75/1
0.73/0
—
Vasco DA Gama — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
David n 828.4
44/3
24/1
F. Colidio n 871.3
3.58/6
1.95/4
Claudio Spinelli n 841.8
3.27/5
1.95/2
Adson n 849
2.14/3
0.93/1
Marino Hinestroza n 834.8
1.94/1
00/0
Vasco DA Gama — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
David n 828.4
1.23/0
00/0
F. Colidio n 871.3
0.32/0
0.53/0
Bruno Duarte n 863.1
0.42/0
0.42/0
A. Lescano n 873.3
0.53/0
00/0
Andrés Gómez n 867.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
Vasco DA Gama — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cuiabano n 874.4
3.98/4
Ramon Rique n 845.8
35/4
Alan Saldivia n 877.8
2.96/5
Santiago Sosa n 868.6
2.56/5
Andrés Gómez n 867.3
2.25/5
Vasco DA Gama — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Léo Jardim n 890.9
2.25/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Boca JuniorsVasco DA Gama
60%Possession40%
1.55Expected goals (xG)0.49
18Shots9
2Shots on target2
11Shots off target3
5Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box5
9Corners1
1Offsides1
8Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
1Saves2
532Passes366

Boca Juniors player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Montero9000000006.6
L. Lozano9000200106.3
L. Di Lollo9000100407
Facundo Herrera9000102206.9
L. Blanco9000205407.4
M. Delgado90000012Y6.6
L. Flores9000100005.8
E. Valencia9000200005.7
S. Ascacibar8600400106.4
C. Palacios6700000106.2
W. H. Alarcon Cepeda5800000007
Sebastián Villa3200312107.2
Miguel Merentiel2300211006.7
Angel Romero400000106.4

Vasco DA Gama player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Thiago Mendes9000000106.9
Cuiabano9000100506.3
Robert Renan9000000207.2
Alan Saldivia9000100007.3
Léo Jardim9000000007.4
A. Lescano8200000106.6
Paulo Henrique8200101107.1
Bruno Duarte7800211006.7
Santiago Sosa78000000Y6.6
Adson68104104Y7.5
Andrés Gómez64010012R6.5
Tchê Tchê2200000006.9
Gabriel Pereira1200000007
Brenner1200000106.6
Ramon Rique800000006.7
Puma Rodríguez800000007.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Boca Juniors v Vasco DA Gama — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Boca JuniorsDWWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Vasco DA GamaWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2024
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Boca Juniors#2 pos11 pts6 pl+4 GD
Vasco DA Gama#2 pos10 pts6 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Boca Juniors scored1.67
Vasco DA Gama scored1.67
Boca Juniors conceded1
Vasco DA Gama conceded1

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Boca Juniors v Vasco DA Gama?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Boca Juniors v Vasco DA Gama was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Boca Juniors and Vasco DA Gama?
Recent form — Boca Juniors 3W 2D 0L; Vasco DA Gama 4W 1D 0L.

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