Estudiantes L.P. v Barracas Central result
Team pages: Estudiantes L.P. · Barracas Central · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 Barracas Central — Estudiantes L.P. won this Copa Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.
The result
Estudiantes L.P. beat Barracas Central 3–1 at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello in Copa Argentina on Thursday 27 August. It is Estudiantes L.P.’s first win over Barracas Central since 2 June 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
Estudiantes L.P. led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Barracas Central: an own goal by Kevin Jappert (40’); Estudiantes L.P.: Baltasar Rodriguez (51’, assisted by Joaquín Tobio Burgos), an own goal by Leandro González Pírez (84’) and Guido Carrillo (88’, assisted by Eric Meza).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Leandro González Pírez’s own goal on 84 minutes.
What it changes
Barracas Central have lost their last four matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Estudiantes L.P. to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (163 of 209).
Next up
Estudiantes L.P. next travel to Flamengo on 23 October 2026.
Barracas Central next travel to Sarmiento Junin on 19 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Estudiantes L.P.: Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P., Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Barracas Central: Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central, Monday 19 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 Barracas Central · Copa Argentina
- Venue: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello · Gobernador Julio A. Costa
- Referee: M. Ramirez
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Estudiantes L.P. 3 · draws 2 · Barracas Central 1 · 4.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Estudiantes L.P. 2W 1D 2L · Barracas Central 2W 0D 3L
Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 Barracas Central (Copa Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 10 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Estudiantes L.P. for / against | Line | Barracas Central for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 1.75our book | 0.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 2.57 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.38 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 9.71 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.29 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.25 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14.57 for · 10.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 3.14 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: M. Ramirez.
Estudiantes L.P.
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltasar Rodriguez n 8 | 47.8 | 4.2 | 1.2 | — |
| Tiago Palacios n 8 | 64.3 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra n 4 | 74 | 1.8 | 0.3 | — |
| Adolfo Gaich n 8 | 42.1 | 1.6 | 1.6 | — |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 41.9 | 1.6 | 1.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Carrillo n 8 | 73.1 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 41.9 | 3 | 1.3 |
| J. Correa n 8 | 44.9 | 2.8 | 1 |
| Brian Aguirre n 8 | 36.9 | 2.1 | 0.6 |
| Alexis Castro n 8 | 67.1 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Correa n 8 | 44.9 | 0.5 | 1 |
| Guido Carrillo n 8 | 73.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Joaquín Tobio Burgos n 8 | 62.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Eros Mancuso n 8 | 74.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Tiago Palacios n 8 | 64.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ezequiel Piovi n 8 | 88.5 | 3.9 |
| Alexis Castro n 8 | 67.1 | 3.9 |
| Gabriel Neves n 8 | 45.8 | 2.7 |
| Baltasar Rodriguez n 8 | 47.8 | 2.4 |
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 35.1 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fabricio Iacovich n 8 | 87.8 | 2.8 |
| Fernando Muslera n 8 | 85.9 | 2.8 |
Barracas Central
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Barbieri n 8 | 20.6 | 3.3 | 0.5 | — |
| Jhonatan Candia n 8 | 44.4 | 3 | 1.5 | — |
| Norberto Briasco n 8 | 70.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 | — |
| Ivan Guaraz n 8 | 24.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 | — |
| Nicolas Capraro n 8 | 61.8 | 2.2 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Maroni n 8 | 35.8 | 3.5 | 0.9 |
| J. Barbieri n 8 | 20.6 | 2.7 | 0.5 |
| Jhonatan Candia n 8 | 44.4 | 2.5 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Bogarín n 8 | 47.3 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Gonzalo Morales n 8 | 43.4 | 2.1 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Morales n 8 | 43.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Tomás Porra n 8 | 72.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Iván Tapia n 8 | 70.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| E. Pereyra n 8 | 36.6 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Gonzalo Maroni n 8 | 35.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Rolon n 8 | 65.6 | 2.9 |
| Dardo Miloc n 8 | 75.3 | 2.7 |
| Kevin Jappert n 8 | 79.4 | 2.6 |
| Tomás Porra n 8 | 72.9 | 2.5 |
| Damián Martínez n 8 | 59.4 | 2.5 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Agustín Miño n 8 | 92 | 3.9 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Estudiantes L.P. v Barracas Central — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-10-05 Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Barracas Central
- 2025-03-27 Barracas Central 2–1 Estudiantes L.P.
- 2024-10-25 Barracas Central 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.
- 2023-06-02 Estudiantes L.P. 5–2 Barracas Central
- 2022-07-20 Estudiantes L.P. 3–1 Barracas Central
- 2022-04-16 Barracas Central 1–6 Estudiantes L.P.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Estudiantes L.P. v Barracas Central?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Estudiantes L.P. v Barracas Central was Home win (best price 1.85 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central?
- In their last 6 meetings, Estudiantes L.P. won 3, Barracas Central won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Estudiantes L.P. and Barracas Central?
- Recent form — Estudiantes L.P. 2W 1D 2L; Barracas Central 2W 0D 3L.
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