Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon prediction

Copa del Rey · · Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon, Copa del Rey on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 19:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 3.25 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.9% of 1635 landed (95% range 73.8–77.9%); it had given them 75% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Guijuelo host Sporting Gijon in the Copa del Rey on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Guijuelo or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Four of Guijuelo’s last 7 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (57%). Both teams scored in four of Guijuelo’s last 7 results in all competitions (57%). At home, Guijuelo have one win, one draw and four defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.67 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 1.50.

Eight of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Sporting Gijon’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Sporting Gijon have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.38.

Guijuelo have lost their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sporting Gijon the stronger side, 323 rating points above Guijuelo (Sporting Gijon 1740, Guijuelo 1416, after at least seven rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 1 November 2023, finished Guijuelo 0–3 Sporting Gijon.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Álex Corredera (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, two assists) and Guille Rosas (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Sporting Gijon’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Sporting Gijon (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Álex Corredera averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 985 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Guille Rosas averages 3.7 tackles per 90 over 973 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Copa del Rey · Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Guijuelo 0 · draws 0 · Sporting Gijon 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Guijuelo 1W 1D 3L · Sporting Gijon 3W 0D 2L

Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon (Copa del Rey): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GuijueloDWLLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Sporting GijonWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Guijuelo 0 · 0 draws · Sporting Gijon 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2023-11-01 Guijuelo 0–3 Sporting Gijon
Goals per game
Guijuelo scored1
Sporting Gijon scored1.2
Guijuelo conceded1.6
Sporting Gijon conceded1.6

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Guijuelo v Sporting Gijon is Home or Draw (best price 3.25 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon?
In their last 1 meetings, Guijuelo won 0, Sporting Gijon won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon?
Recent form — Guijuelo 1W 1D 3L; Sporting Gijon 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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