Poblense v AD Ceuta FC prediction

Copa del Rey ·

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Poblense v AD Ceuta FC, Copa del Rey on Thu, 29 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.73 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Predicted on 21 October 2026, before the fixture moved
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Poblense host AD Ceuta FC in the Copa del Rey on Thursday 29 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

AD Ceuta FC have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Poblense have lost at least their last four matches in all competitions. AD Ceuta FC are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

At home, Poblense have no wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 4 home matches in all competitions — 0.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 3.50.

Eight of AD Ceuta FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of AD Ceuta FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, AD Ceuta FC have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.29.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Carlos Hernández (3.8 per match over 11 appearances, four goals) and Alejandro Camacho (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been AD Ceuta FC’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AD Ceuta FC (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Carlos Hernández averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 920 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Alejandro Camacho averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 743 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Copa del Rey
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Poblense 0W 0D 4L · AD Ceuta FC 0W 2D 3L

Poblense v AD Ceuta FC (Copa del Rey): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Poblense v AD Ceuta FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PoblenseLLLL
Last 4: 0W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 3.5 conceded per game
AD Ceuta FCDDLLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Goals per game
Poblense scored1
AD Ceuta FC scored1
Poblense conceded3.5
AD Ceuta FC conceded1.8

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Poblense v AD Ceuta FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Poblense v AD Ceuta FC is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.73 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Poblense and AD Ceuta FC?
Recent form — Poblense 0W 0D 4L; AD Ceuta FC 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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