Dynamo Dresden v FSV Mainz 05 result

Full-time · Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FSV Mainz 05

DFB Pokal · Mon, 18 Aug 2025 17:00 BST · Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dynamo Dresden · FSV Mainz 05

The model’s pre-match pick

Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 — FSV Mainz 05 won this DFB Pokal match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

FSV Mainz 05 won 1–0 at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion in the DFB Pokal on Monday 18 August. Dynamo Dresden have lost their last four matches in all competitions. FSV Mainz 05 are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

FSV Mainz 05 led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — FSV Mainz 05: Nadiem Amiri (22’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nadiem Amiri’s goal on 22 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Dynamo Dresden 0.00, FSV Mainz 05 0.00, from 16 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

F. Badstubner showed four yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Dynamo Dresden: L. Boeder (21’) and N. Fröling (32’); FSV Mainz 05: Dominik Kohr (32’) and B. Bobzien (90+3’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Robin Zentner (FSV Mainz 05) 8.1, K. Faber (Dynamo Dresden) 7.9 and Nadiem Amiri (FSV Mainz 05) 6.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Dynamo Dresden or FSV Mainz 05 (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.3% of the time in the last 90 days (3366 of 4357).

Next up

Dynamo Dresden next travel to Holstein Kiel on 25 October 2026.

FSV Mainz 05 next host Werder Bremen on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dynamo Dresden: Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for FSV Mainz 05: FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 · DFB Pokal
Venue: Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion · Dresden
Referee: F. Badstubner
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Dynamo Dresden 1W 0D 4L · FSV Mainz 05 1W 3D 1L

Dynamo Dresden 0–1 FSV Mainz 05 (DFB Pokal): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.88 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.67 / 6

Corners

against 4 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 2 over 9.5

over 3 matches

3.33 / 4.25

Shots on target

against 5 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 2 over 8.5

over 3 matches

1 / 1.63

Cards

against 2.33 / 3 · 1 of the last 2 over 3.5

over 3 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Dynamo Dresden for / against	Line	FSV Mainz 05 for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.67 for · 4 against n 3 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	18.33 for · 10.67 against n 3 Last 5	19.5standard	14.88 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.33 for · 5 against n 3 Last 5	8.5standard	4.25 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11 for · 13.67 against n 3 Last 5	21.5standard	11.63 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1 for · 2.33 against n 3 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: F. Badstubner.

Dynamo Dresden

Dynamo Dresden — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Giorbelidze n 6	51.5	1.7 5/1	2 4/1	—
P. Weihrauch n 8	67.4	1.2 4/3	0.8 3/1	—
N. Fröling n 8	55.9	1.2 5/1	0.2 1/0	—
C. Daferner n 7	58.4	1.1 3/1	1.5 5/2	—
K. Faber n 8	51.3	1.1 4/1	1.3 4/1	D. Kohr

Dynamo Dresden — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Daferner n 7	58.4	2.6 6/4	1.3 5/1
D. Kother n 5	54.6	2.6 3/3	1.6 3/2
N. Fröling n 8	55.9	1.4 6/1	0.4 2/0
P. Weihrauch n 8	67.4	1.2 6/1	0.3 2/0
C. Löwe n 8	70.5	1 4/1	0.3 1/1

Dynamo Dresden — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Kother n 5	54.6	0.7 2/0	0.3 1/0
C. Daferner n 7	58.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
C. Löwe n 8	70.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
N. Fröling n 8	55.9	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
T. Schreiber n 7	90	0 0/0	0 0/0

Dynamo Dresden — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Giorbelidze n 6	51.5	3.5 5/3
Kofi Jeremy Amoako n 5	24.4	2.2 2/1
V. Drchal n 3	30.7	2 1/1
A. Rossipal n 8	71.9	1.9 7/4
M. Akoto n 6	26.8	1.7 3/0

Dynamo Dresden — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Broll n 3	90	3 3/3

FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Veratschnig n 8	36.9	2.4 6/1	1.8 3/3	—
N. Weiper n 8	29.3	2.3 3/2	0 0/0	—
M. Jenz n 8	90	1.9 8/5	0.1 1/0	—
L. Maloney n 8	29.3	1.9 4/1	0 0/0	—
D. Kohr n 8	67	1.8 7/3	1.8 6/2	K. Faber

FSV Mainz 05 — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Sieb n 8	12.5	3.6 3/1	0 0/0
J. Burkardt n 8	84.8	2.9 8/6	1.1 5/2
N. Weiper n 8	29.3	2.7 4/1	1.5 4/0
N. Amiri n 8	89.6	1.6 7/5	0.6 5/0
Lee Jae-Sung n 8	78.9	1.1 5/2	0.6 3/1

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Weiper n 8	29.3	0.4 1/0	0.8 2/0
P. Nebel n 8	89.4	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
A. Nordin n 8	19.6	0 0/0	0.6 1/0
N. Amiri n 8	89.6	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
J. Burkardt n 8	84.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0

FSV Mainz 05 — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Kohr n 8	67	2.9 5/5
L. Maloney n 8	29.3	2.7 4/2
N. Amiri n 8	89.6	2.6 7/7
M. Jenz n 8	90	2.4 4/4
P. Mwene n 8	68.3	2.3 5/5

FSV Mainz 05 — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 9 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Zentner n 8	90	3.4 8/6

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Dynamo Dresden		FSV Mainz 05
52%	Possession	48%
16	Shots	12
7	Shots on target	6
7	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	1
10	Shots inside the box	6
3	Corners	4
0	Offsides	1
13	Fouls	16
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
5	Saves	7
395	Passes	370
70%	Pass accuracy	72%

Dynamo Dresden player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
T. Schreiber	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.2
K. Faber	90	0	0	2	5	0	6.9
L. Boeder	90	0	0	1	1	Y	6.7
L. Bünning	90	1	0	1	3	0	7.3
S. Risch	90	1	0	1	1	0	6.2
Kofi Jeremy Amoako	90	2	2	0	5	0	6.9
J. Lemmer	90	3	1	3	0	0	5.9
V. Šapina	84	0	0	0	4	0	6.6
D. Kother	78	1	1	1	1	0	6.7
N. Fröling	77	2	1	1	0	Y	6.6
N. Hauptmann	64	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
L. Herrmann sub	27	1	1	0	3	0	6.9
S. Kutschke sub	14	1	0	2	0	0	7.3
Tony Menzel sub	14	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
J. Oehmichen sub	13	1	0	0	1	0	6.7

FSV Mainz 05 player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Zentner	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
D. da Costa	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
S. Widmer	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.7
K. Sano	90	0	2	0	1	2	0	7
A. Nordin	90	0	2	0	1	3	0	7.5
A. Sieb	90	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.9
N. Amiri	79	1	1	1	1	2	0	8.2
P. Nebel	75	0	2	2	0	0	0	6.5
D. Kohr	64	0	0	0	0	4	Y	7.3
B. Hollerbach	64	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
S. Bell	45	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.6
M. Leitsch sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Hanche-Olsen sub	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
B. Bobzien sub	27	0	1	0	0	1	Y	6
Lee Jae-Sung sub	16	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
L. Maloney sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Dynamo Dresden v FSV Mainz 05 — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Dynamo DresdenLWLLL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

FSV Mainz 05DLDWD

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Goals per game

Dynamo Dresden scored1.4

FSV Mainz 05 scored1.8

Dynamo Dresden conceded1.8

FSV Mainz 05 conceded1.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Dynamo Dresden v FSV Mainz 05?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Dynamo Dresden v FSV Mainz 05 was Home or Away.
What is the recent form of Dynamo Dresden and FSV Mainz 05?: Recent form — Dynamo Dresden 1W 0D 4L; FSV Mainz 05 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.