Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin prediction

Ekstraklasa · Wed, 16 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Chorten Arena

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Jagiellonia · Pogon Szczecin · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin, Ekstraklasa on Wed, 16 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Jagiellonia host Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa on Wednesday 16 December (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Jagiellonia or Pogon Szczecin (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Pogon Szczecin have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Jagiellonia are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Pogon Szczecin.

Form and the table

11 of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Jagiellonia’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Jagiellonia have four wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.57. Jagiellonia have scored 17 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Jagiellonia have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in eight of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Pogon Szczecin have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.00. Pogon Szczecin have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game). Pogon Szczecin have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Jagiellonia (ninth) and Pogon Szczecin (fourth) are six points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Pogon Szczecin the stronger side, 101 rating points above Jagiellonia (Pogon Szczecin 1663, Jagiellonia 1562, after at least 286 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 May 2026, finished Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin.

Team news

Predicted Jagiellonia XI (4-2-3-1): S. Abramowicz, R. Conceição, G. Montóia, B. Vital, D. Stojinović, T. Romanczuk, J. Imaz, F. Klynge, S. Lozano, E. Kozlowski, N. Prelec — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Taras Romanczuk (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, one assist) and Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Jagiellonia’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Jagiellonia (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Taras Romanczuk averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 993 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 972 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Pogon Szczecin XI (4-4-2): V. Cojocaru, D. Keramitsis, A. Szalai, L. Willen, B. Mendy, D. Churlinov, P. Mukairu, P. Dziczek, J. Biegański, J. Sanchez, K. Acosta — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, P. Mukairu (5.0 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Leo Borges (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Pogon Szczecin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Pogon Szczecin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Mukairu averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Leo Borges averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 426 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 16 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Ekstraklasa · Chorten Arena
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Jagiellonia 2 · draws 3 · Pogon Szczecin 1 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Jagiellonia 2W 0D 3L · Pogon Szczecin 4W 0D 1L

Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.63 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.38 / 3.63

Corners

against 4.63 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.5 / 2.25

Cards

against 2 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Jagiellonia for / against	Line	Pogon Szczecin for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.25 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.5 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia Goalkeeper

Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sławomir Abramowicz	15	901353 min	533.5 /90	161.1 /90	00 /90
M. Perchel	1	9090 min	44 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Jagiellonia — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sławomir Abramowicz n 8	90.4	3.9 7/6

Jagiellonia Defensive

Jagiellonia — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rodrigo Conceição	16	711128 min	352.8 /90	191.5 /90	30.2 /90	917.3 /90	201.6 /90	20.2 /90
Bernardo Vital	13	901171 min	151.2 /90	60.5 /90	70.5 /90	675.1 /90	221.7 /90	50.4 /90
Guilherme Manuel Serrão Montóia	12	81972 min	312.9 /90	121.1 /90	50.5 /90	595.5 /90	191.8 /90	50.5 /90
Y. Kobayashi	10	77765 min	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	10.1 /90	242.8 /90	40.5 /90	10.1 /90
N. Wojtuszek	9	84759 min	182.1 /90	50.6 /90	40.5 /90	394.6 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
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Jagiellonia — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Szmyt n 8	72.6	1.1 4/2	0.6 2/2	—
Rodrigo Conceição n 8	83.6	1.5 7/3	1.5 5/3	—
Sławomir Abramowicz n 8	90.4	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0	—
Jesús Imaz n 8	80.9	0.3 2/0	0.7 5/0	—
Nik Prelec n 8	75	1.2 6/2	1.1 5/2	—
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Jagiellonia — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Szmyt n 8	72.6	0.9 5/1
Rodrigo Conceição n 8	83.6	3 8/6
Jesús Imaz n 8	80.9	0.8 4/2
Nik Prelec n 8	75	0.3 2/0
Ferslev Anders Klynge n 8	59.1	3.2 6/4
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Jagiellonia Attacking

Jagiellonia — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Nik Prelec	14	71987 min	40.4 /90	30.3 /90	171.6 /90	60.5 /90	131.2 /90	30.3 /90
Jeremy Agbonifo	10	34342 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	92.4 /90
A. Cirkovic	6	30182 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90
Y. Sylla	4	45180 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	21 /90
Dimitris Rallis	4	31124 min	00 /90	00 /90	42.9 /90	10.7 /90	10.7 /90	32.2 /90
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Jagiellonia — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Szmyt n 8	72.6	1.7 7/3	0.5 3/0
Rodrigo Conceição n 8	83.6	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
Sławomir Abramowicz n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jesús Imaz n 8	80.9	2.1 6/4	0.8 4/2
Nik Prelec n 8	75	1.3 7/2	0.3 2/0
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Jagiellonia — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Jagiellonia before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Szmyt n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
Rodrigo Conceição n 8	83.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Sławomir Abramowicz n 8	90.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jesús Imaz n 8	80.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Nik Prelec n 8	75	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin Goalkeeper

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Valentin Cojocaru	12	901080 min	443.7 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Pogon Szczecin Defensive

Pogon Szczecin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Keramitsis	12	901080 min	161.3 /90	161.3 /90	70.6 /90	554.6 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90
A. Szalai	8	89709 min	30.4 /90	81 /90	20.3 /90	182.3 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
B. Mendy	8	69549 min	71.1 /90	101.6 /90	00 /90	172.8 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
Lukas Willen	6	84503 min	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	00 /90	203.6 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90
Hussein Ali	6	51305 min	41.2 /90	00 /90	30.9 /90	82.4 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90
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Pogon Szczecin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.4 7/2	1 5/3	—
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1 5/2	—
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	2.8 8/5	1.1 5/3	—
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2 6/4	0.9 4/2	—
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	1.3 6/3	2.2 6/5	—
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Pogon Szczecin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.5 6/4
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	2.1 7/2
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2.9 8/6
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	2.2 6/2
D. Churlinov n 8	76.9	0.7 4/1
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Pogon Szczecin Attacking

Pogon Szczecin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Sanchez	6	84501 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	101.8 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
J. Nsame	5	38189 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	52.4 /90	52.4 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90
F. Cuic	4	43172 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	31.6 /90
M. Agger	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90
P. Mukairu	12	841005 min	20.2 /90	40.4 /90	201.8 /90	70.6 /90	80.7 /90	272.4 /90
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Pogon Szczecin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	1.9 8/4	0.4 3/0
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
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Pogon Szczecin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mukairu n 8	84.3	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
M. Wojciechowski n 8	78.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

JagielloniaLLWWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Pogon SzczecinWWWWL

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Jagiellonia 2 · 3 draws · Pogon Szczecin 1 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-05-09 Jagiellonia 3–2 Pogon Szczecin
2025-11-09 Pogon Szczecin 1–2 Jagiellonia
2025-05-24 Jagiellonia 1–1 Pogon Szczecin
2024-12-01 Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Jagiellonia
2024-04-26 Jagiellonia 2–2 Pogon Szczecin
2023-10-28 Pogon Szczecin 2–1 Jagiellonia

League standing · 2026/27

Jagiellonia#9 pos18 pts12 pl-1 GD

Pogon Szczecin#4 pos24 pts12 pl+8 GD

Goals per game

Jagiellonia scored1.42

Pogon Szczecin scored1.67

Jagiellonia conceded1.5

Pogon Szczecin conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Jagiellonia v Pogon Szczecin is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Jagiellonia and Pogon Szczecin?: In their last 6 meetings, Jagiellonia won 2, Pogon Szczecin won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Jagiellonia and Pogon Szczecin?: Recent form — Jagiellonia 2W 0D 3L; Pogon Szczecin 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 01:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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