Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa prediction

Ekstraklasa · · Stadion Wojska Polskiego

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa, Ekstraklasa on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 254 landed (95% range 73.7–83.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Legia Warszawa host Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Legia Warszawa to win.

The key numbers

12 of Raków Częstochowa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Raków Częstochowa have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Raków Częstochowa are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Legia Warszawa, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Seven of Legia Warszawa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Legia Warszawa’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Legia Warszawa have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 0.71. Legia Warszawa have scored 23 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Legia Warszawa have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 12 of Raków Częstochowa’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). Away from home, Raków Częstochowa have two wins, one draw and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.63. Raków Częstochowa have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Raków Częstochowa have conceded 28 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Legia Warszawa are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Legia Warszawa (third) and Raków Częstochowa (18th) are 18 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Legia Warszawa the stronger side, 344 rating points above Raków Częstochowa (Legia Warszawa 1740, Raków Częstochowa 1396, after at least 249 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 March 2026, finished Legia Warszawa 1–1 Raków Częstochowa.

Team news

Predicted Legia Warszawa XI (3-4-3): O. Hindrich, R. Augustyniak, R. Deziel, K. Piątkowski, B. Kapustka, W. Urbański, P. Wszołek, K. Chodyna, L. Zjawinski, M. Ševčík, R. Adamski — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, R. Augustyniak (5.7 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Rúben Vinagre (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Legia Warszawa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Legia Warszawa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Augustyniak averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 1145 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Rúben Vinagre averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 813 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Raków Częstochowa XI (3-4-3): K. Trelowski, S. Svarnas, B. Racovitan, F. Tudor, O. Repka, J. C. Silva, K. Struski, T. Pieńko, P. Makuch, M. Emreli, L. Diaby-Fadiga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patryk Makuch (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and one assist) and L. Diaby-Fadiga (4.0 per match over eight appearances, five goals) have been Raków Częstochowa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Raków Częstochowa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patryk Makuch averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1086 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. L. Diaby-Fadiga averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 428 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Ekstraklasa · Stadion Wojska Polskiego
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Legia Warszawa 0 · draws 3 · Raków Częstochowa 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Legia Warszawa 2W 2D 1L · Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L

Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 4.75
Corners
against 4.25 / 4.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4 / 6 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLegia Warszawa for / againstLineRaków Częstochowa for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 16.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.38 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 15 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 2 against n 8

Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa Goalkeeper

Legia Warszawa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
O. Hindrich13881145 min372.9 /9090.7 /9000 /90
Legia Warszawa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
O. Hindrich n 886.1
3.47/5

Legia Warszawa Defensive

Legia Warszawa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Augustyniak13881145 min201.6 /90120.9 /90120.9 /90987.7 /90191.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Piątkowski12881053 min181.5 /90191.6 /9060.5 /90685.8 /9080.7 /9000 /90
Robert Deziel12861031 min191.7 /9070.6 /9070.6 /90524.5 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
A. Reca341123 min53.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9075.1 /9000 /9000 /90
Z. Arsenic285170 min42.1 /9021.1 /9010.5 /9052.6 /9021.1 /9000 /90
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Legia Warszawa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Augustyniak n 886.1
1.26/3
1.76/5
—
O. Hindrich n 886.1
0.11/0
0.31/1
—
B. Kapustka n 881.6
0.74/1
1.45/4
—
K. Piątkowski n 885.9
0.75/0
1.36/3
—
Robert Deziel n 884.5
0.75/0
0.42/1
—
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Legia Warszawa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Augustyniak n 886.1
1.35/1
B. Kapustka n 881.6
1.97/3
K. Piątkowski n 885.9
1.36/3
Robert Deziel n 884.5
1.68/3
P. Wszołek n 870.3
1.16/1
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Legia Warszawa Attacking

Legia Warszawa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Zjawinski1270844 min40.4 /9000 /90181.9 /9070.7 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
R. Adamski1056557 min30.5 /9000 /90132.1 /9071.1 /9020.3 /9050.8 /90
M. Ševčík962558 min20.3 /9000 /9091.5 /9040.6 /9091.5 /9071.1 /90
J. Żewłakow730208 min20.9 /9010.4 /9041.7 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9031.3 /90
M. Szczepaniak657342 min00 /9000 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90
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Legia Warszawa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Augustyniak n 886.1
1.26/3
0.84/2
O. Hindrich n 886.1
00/0
00/0
B. Kapustka n 881.6
0.85/1
0.32/0
K. Piątkowski n 885.9
0.94/2
0.32/0
Robert Deziel n 884.5
0.43/0
00/0
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Legia Warszawa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Legia Warszawa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Augustyniak n 886.1
0.43/0
0.32/0
O. Hindrich n 886.1
00/0
00/0
B. Kapustka n 881.6
00/0
00/0
K. Piątkowski n 885.9
00/0
00/0
Robert Deziel n 884.5
00/0
00/0
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Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa Goalkeeper

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Trelowski1190990 min444 /90201.8 /9010.1 /90
W. Zolneczko19090 min11 /9022 /9000 /90
Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 890
3.86/5

Raków Częstochowa Defensive

Raków Częstochowa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Bogdan Racovitan1190990 min70.6 /90100.9 /90131.2 /90333 /90100.9 /9030.3 /90
F. Tudor981729 min141.7 /90162 /9040.5 /90425.2 /90101.2 /9050.6 /90
S. Svarnas976685 min121.6 /9081.1 /9040.5 /90293.8 /9050.7 /9020.3 /90
Didí Gaucho459237 min93.4 /9062.3 /9010.4 /90238.7 /9083 /9020.8 /90
J. Napieraj382246 min31.1 /9010.4 /9000 /90176.2 /9041.5 /9010.4 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Makuch n 883.9
1.14/3
2.18/5
—
M. Emreli n 878.8
1.67/3
0.64/0
—
J. C. Silva n 870.1
0.84/1
1.33/3
—
Bogdan Racovitan n 890
0.86/0
0.84/2
—
K. Trelowski n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Makuch n 883.9
0.84/2
M. Emreli n 878.8
0.41/1
J. C. Silva n 870.1
0.83/1
Bogdan Racovitan n 890
0.43/0
O. Repka n 884.4
0.74/1
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Raków Częstochowa Attacking

Raków Częstochowa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Makuch12841002 min60.5 /9010.1 /90302.7 /90141.3 /90211.9 /9050.4 /90
M. Emreli1278939 min30.3 /9010.1 /90302.9 /90131.2 /90131.2 /90161.5 /90
Adam Basse432126 min00 /9000 /9032.1 /9000 /9000 /9021.4 /90
I. Brusberg336108 min00 /9000 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9021.7 /90
J. C. Silva1273876 min00 /9010.1 /90101 /9030.3 /90101 /90121.2 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Makuch n 883.9
2.86/6
1.55/4
M. Emreli n 878.8
2.78/7
16/1
J. C. Silva n 870.1
1.35/3
0.32/0
Bogdan Racovitan n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
K. Trelowski n 890
00/0
00/0
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Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Makuch n 883.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
M. Emreli n 878.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. C. Silva n 870.1
00/0
00/0
Bogdan Racovitan n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Trelowski n 890
00/0
00/0
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Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Legia WarszawaWWDLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Raków CzęstochowaLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Legia Warszawa 0 · 3 draws · Raków Częstochowa 3 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 Legia Warszawa 1–1 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2025-09-20 Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Legia Warszawa
  • 2025-03-16 Raków Częstochowa 3–2 Legia Warszawa
  • 2024-09-15 Legia Warszawa 0–1 Raków Częstochowa
  • 2024-04-13 Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Legia Warszawa
  • 2023-10-08 Legia Warszawa 1–2 Raków Częstochowa
League standing · 2026/27
Legia Warszawa#3 pos24 pts13 pl+12 GD
Raków Częstochowa#18 pos6 pts12 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Legia Warszawa scored1.77
Raków Częstochowa scored1.33
Legia Warszawa conceded0.85
Raków Częstochowa conceded2.33

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Legia Warszawa v Raków Częstochowa is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa?
In their last 6 meetings, Legia Warszawa won 0, Raków Częstochowa won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Legia Warszawa and Raków Częstochowa?
Recent form — Legia Warszawa 2W 2D 1L; Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L.

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