Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin prediction

Ekstraklasa · Mon, 02 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 22:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Raków Częstochowa · Pogon Szczecin · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin, Ekstraklasa on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Predicted on 24 October 2026, before the fixture moved

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Raków Częstochowa host Pogon Szczecin in the Ekstraklasa on Monday 2 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Pogon Szczecin have conceded nine goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Pogon Szczecin are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Raków Częstochowa have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. Pogon Szczecin have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

12 of Raków Częstochowa’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 12 of Raków Częstochowa’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%). At home, Raków Częstochowa have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 2.57. Raków Częstochowa have scored 16 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Raków Częstochowa have conceded 28 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in seven of Pogon Szczecin’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Pogon Szczecin have four wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.17 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 0.67. Pogon Szczecin have scored 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far).

Raków Częstochowa (18th) and Pogon Szczecin (third) are 18 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Pogon Szczecin the stronger side, 383 rating points above Raków Częstochowa (Pogon Szczecin 1779, Raków Częstochowa 1396, after at least 249 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Pogon Szczecin.

Team news

Predicted Raków Częstochowa XI (4-2-3-1): K. Trelowski, S. Svarnas, B. Racovitan, F. Tudor, A. Brorsson, O. Repka, J. C. Silva, K. Struski, T. Pieńko, M. Bulat, P. Makuch — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Patryk Makuch (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and one assist) and L. Diaby-Fadiga (4.0 per match over eight appearances, five goals) have been Raków Częstochowa’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Raków Częstochowa (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Patryk Makuch averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1086 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. L. Diaby-Fadiga averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 428 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Pogon Szczecin XI (4-4-2): V. Cojocaru, D. Keramitsis, B. Mendy, A. Riccio, A. Szalai, P. Dziczek, P. Mukairu, D. Churlinov, M. Wojciechowski, J. Sanchez, J. Biegański — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, P. Mukairu (5.2 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and four assists) and Leo Borges (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal) have been Pogon Szczecin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Pogon Szczecin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), P. Mukairu averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Leo Borges averages 2.5 tackles per 90 over 426 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Ekstraklasa · Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Raków Częstochowa 3 · draws 1 · Pogon Szczecin 2 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L · Pogon Szczecin 5W 0D 0L

Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75

Goals

against 2.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.75 / 3.13

Corners

against 4.38 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 6 / 4.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2

Cards

against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Raków Częstochowa for / against	Line	Pogon Szczecin for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.13 for · 16.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.75 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 13.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.88 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5

Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa Goalkeeper

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trelowski	11	90990 min	444 /90	222 /90	10.1 /90
W. Zolneczko	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Raków Częstochowa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trelowski n 8	90	3.8 6/5

Raków Częstochowa Defensive

Raków Częstochowa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bogdan Racovitan	11	90990 min	80.7 /90	100.9 /90	131.2 /90	343.1 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
F. Tudor	9	81729 min	151.9 /90	162 /90	40.5 /90	445.4 /90	101.2 /90	50.6 /90
S. Svarnas	9	76685 min	111.4 /90	81.1 /90	40.5 /90	283.7 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90
Didí Gaucho	4	59237 min	93.4 /90	62.3 /90	10.4 /90	238.7 /90	83 /90	20.8 /90
J. Napieraj	3	82246 min	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	00 /90	176.2 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	1.1 4/3	2.1 8/5	—
M. Emreli n 8	78.8	1.6 7/3	0.6 4/0	—
J. C. Silva n 8	70.1	0.8 4/1	1.3 3/3	—
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	90	0.8 6/0	0.8 4/2	—
K. Trelowski n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
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Raków Częstochowa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	0.8 4/2
M. Emreli n 8	78.8	0.6 1/1
J. C. Silva n 8	70.1	0.8 3/1
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	90	0.5 3/1
O. Repka n 8	84.4	0.7 4/1
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Raków Częstochowa Attacking

Raków Częstochowa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Makuch	12	841002 min	60.5 /90	10.1 /90	292.6 /90	141.3 /90	211.9 /90	50.4 /90
M. Emreli	12	78939 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	292.8 /90	131.2 /90	131.2 /90	161.5 /90
Adam Basse	4	32126 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90
I. Brusberg	3	36108 min	00 /90	00 /90	32.5 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	21.7 /90
J. C. Silva	12	73876 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90	101 /90	121.2 /90
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Raków Częstochowa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	2.7 6/5	1.5 5/4
M. Emreli n 8	78.8	2.6 8/7	1 6/1
J. C. Silva n 8	70.1	1.3 5/3	0.3 2/0
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
K. Trelowski n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Raków Częstochowa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Raków Częstochowa before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Makuch n 8	83.9	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
M. Emreli n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
J. C. Silva n 8	70.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bogdan Racovitan n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Trelowski n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Pogon Szczecin

Pogon Szczecin Goalkeeper

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Valentin Cojocaru	11	90990 min	433.9 /90	90.8 /90	00 /90

Pogon Szczecin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	3.5 8/6

Pogon Szczecin Defensive

Pogon Szczecin — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
D. Keramitsis	11	90990 min	121.1 /90	151.4 /90	80.7 /90	494.5 /90	151.4 /90	30.3 /90
B. Mendy	8	69549 min	71.1 /90	101.6 /90	00 /90	172.8 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90
A. Szalai	7	88619 min	20.3 /90	71 /90	30.4 /90	162.3 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90
Leo Borges	5	85426 min	122.5 /90	81.7 /90	40.8 /90	234.9 /90	71.5 /90	10.2 /90
A. Riccio	5	83414 min	71.5 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	224.8 /90	81.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Pogon Szczecin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2 6/4	0.9 4/2	—
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.5 8/2	1.1 6/3	—
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1	—
P. Mukairu n 8	84.4	2.9 8/6	1.6 6/4	—
M. Wojciechowski n 8	77.5	1.5 6/4	2.3 6/6	—
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Pogon Szczecin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Dziczek n 8	90	2.9 8/6
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	1.3 6/4
P. Mukairu n 8	84.4	2.1 7/2
M. Wojciechowski n 8	77.5	2.2 6/2
D. Churlinov n 8	69.4	0.6 4/0
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Pogon Szczecin Attacking

Pogon Szczecin — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Sanchez	5	86430 min	30.6 /90	00 /90	71.5 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90	40.8 /90
F. Cuic	4	43172 min	00 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90	31.6 /90
J. Nsame	4	43170 min	00 /90	10.5 /90	52.6 /90	52.6 /90	31.6 /90	00 /90
M. Agger	1	2828 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.2 /90	00 /90
P. Dziczek	11	90990 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	151.4 /90	40.4 /90
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Pogon Szczecin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.9 6/1	0.3 2/0
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mukairu n 8	84.4	1.7 7/4	0.4 3/0
M. Wojciechowski n 8	77.5	0.6 3/1	0.3 2/0
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Pogon Szczecin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Pogon Szczecin before kick-off, to 24 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Dziczek n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/1
D. Keramitsis n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Valentin Cojocaru n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mukairu n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
M. Wojciechowski n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Raków CzęstochowaLLLWL

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

Pogon SzczecinWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Raków Częstochowa 3 · 1 draw · Pogon Szczecin 2 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-03-08 Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Pogon Szczecin
2025-08-31 Pogon Szczecin 2–0 Raków Częstochowa
2025-04-19 Pogon Szczecin 1–0 Raków Częstochowa
2024-10-20 Raków Częstochowa 1–0 Pogon Szczecin
2024-05-11 Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Pogon Szczecin
2023-11-12 Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Raków Częstochowa

League standing · 2026/27

Raków Częstochowa#18 pos6 pts12 pl-12 GD

Pogon Szczecin#3 pos24 pts11 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Raków Częstochowa scored1.33

Pogon Szczecin scored1.73

Raków Częstochowa conceded2.33

Pogon Szczecin conceded0.82

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Raków Częstochowa v Pogon Szczecin is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Raków Częstochowa and Pogon Szczecin?: In their last 6 meetings, Raków Częstochowa won 3, Pogon Szczecin won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Raków Częstochowa and Pogon Szczecin?: Recent form — Raków Częstochowa 1W 0D 4L; Pogon Szczecin 5W 0D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 22:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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