Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan prediction

Ekstraklasa · Thu, 17 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Orlen Stadion

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wisla Plock · Lech Poznan · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan, Ekstraklasa on Thu, 17 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Wisla Plock host Lech Poznan in the Ekstraklasa on Thursday 17 December (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Wisla Plock or Lech Poznan (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Wisla Plock have scored 12 goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Lech Poznan have scored 32 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Lech Poznan have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Wisla Plock’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Wisla Plock’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Wisla Plock have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.43. Wisla Plock have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

13 of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 11 of Lech Poznan’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Lech Poznan have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 2.14. Lech Poznan have conceded 11 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 12 games, ranked per game).

Wisla Plock (12th) and Lech Poznan (first) are 16 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lech Poznan the stronger side, 444 rating points above Wisla Plock (Lech Poznan 1916, Wisla Plock 1472, after at least 218 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lech Poznan are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Wisla Plock. The most recent meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Lech Poznan 2–2 Wisla Plock.

Team news

Predicted Wisla Plock XI (3-5-2): R. Leszczyński, M. Kamiński, M. Haglind-Sangré, A. Silva, Ž. Rogelj, D. Gallapeni, J. Pršir, S. Tavares, F. Hiszpański, Ł. Sekulski, S. Akere — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Afonso Silva (4.5 per match over nine appearances, one assist) and D. Gallapeni (4.0 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Wisla Plock’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Wisla Plock (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Afonso Silva averages 1.7 tackles per 90 over 802 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last nine appearances. D. Gallapeni averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 1063 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Lech Poznan XI (4-4-2): M. Lis, M. Skrzypczak, M. Gurgul, J. Pereira, T. Yegbe, R. Murawski, A. Kozubal, P. Wålemark, P. Rodríguez, Y. Agnero, M. Ishak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pablo Rodríguez (5.6 per match over 18 appearances, six goals and seven assists) and P. Wålemark (4.5 per match over 18 appearances, eight goals and three assists) have been Lech Poznan’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lech Poznan (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pablo Rodríguez averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1304 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. P. Wålemark averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1337 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Thu, 17 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT · Ekstraklasa · Orlen Stadion
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Wisla Plock 1 · draws 2 · Lech Poznan 3 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Wisla Plock 2W 1D 2L · Lech Poznan 3W 1D 1L

Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.75

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.88 / 5.13

Corners

against 4.5 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.13 / 5.88

Shots on target

against 4 / 7.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.25

Cards

against 2.25 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Wisla Plock for / against	Line	Lech Poznan for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	12.38 for · 15.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 17.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.88 for · 7.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.75 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5

Wisla Plock

Wisla Plock Goalkeeper

Wisla Plock — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Leszczyński	12	901080 min	312.6 /90	151.3 /90	00 /90

Wisla Plock — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wisla Plock before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Leszczyński n 8	90	2.6 7/3

Wisla Plock Defensive

Wisla Plock — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Haglind-Sangré	12	901080 min	211.8 /90	80.7 /90	121 /90	564.7 /90	100.8 /90	20.2 /90
M. Kamiński	12	901080 min	70.6 /90	141.2 /90	80.7 /90	292.4 /90	50.4 /90	00 /90
Afonso Silva	9	89802 min	151.7 /90	192.1 /90	30.3 /90	667.4 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Flis	3	75225 min	20.8 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90	114.4 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
M. Karamarko	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	00 /90	36 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Wisla Plock — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wisla Plock before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Haglind-Sangré n 8	90	0.8 3/3	0.9 6/1	—
Ž. Rogelj n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.5 4/0	—
M. Kamiński n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0	—
R. Leszczyński n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
P. Kun n 8	85.8	1.7 8/4	2.1 7/6	—
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Wisla Plock — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wisla Plock before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Haglind-Sangré n 8	90	2 7/4
Ž. Rogelj n 8	90	0.8 4/1
M. Kamiński n 8	90	0.5 3/1
P. Kun n 8	85.8	1.7 6/4
D. Gallapeni n 8	77.3	4.4 7/7
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Wisla Plock Attacking

Wisla Plock — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Ł. Sekulski	10	58576 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	71.1 /90	40.6 /90	10.2 /90
S. Hamulić	8	56451 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	173.4 /90	81.6 /90	30.6 /90	61.2 /90
S. Akere	6	64385 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	71.6 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	40.9 /90
Jime	6	60361 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90	10.2 /90
D. Jurić	3	2164 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Wisla Plock — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wisla Plock before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kamiński n 8	90	0.6 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Haglind-Sangré n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
Ž. Rogelj n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
R. Leszczyński n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Kun n 8	85.8	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
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Wisla Plock — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wisla Plock before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ž. Rogelj n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Haglind-Sangré n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Kamiński n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Leszczyński n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Kun n 8	85.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Lech Poznan

Lech Poznan Goalkeeper

Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Lis	17	901530 min	643.8 /90	90.5 /90	00 /90

Lech Poznan — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Lis n 8	90	5.8 8/6

Lech Poznan Defensive

Lech Poznan — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Gurgul	17	871485 min	171 /90	231.4 /90	80.5 /90	422.5 /90	60.4 /90	20.1 /90
Joel Pereira	17	831414 min	362.3 /90	110.7 /90	30.2 /90	875.5 /90	161 /90	20.1 /90
M. Skrzypczak	13	871125 min	70.6 /90	131 /90	50.4 /90	413.3 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90
W. Mońka	12	841005 min	60.5 /90	131.2 /90	60.5 /90	292.6 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
T. Yegbe	11	82898 min	70.7 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90	262.6 /90	141.4 /90	10.1 /90
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Lech Poznan — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Lis n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
M. Gurgul n 8	90	0.1 1/0	1 5/3	—
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	0.6 3/2	1.9 6/6	—
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68	1.2 6/1	3 8/6	—
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	0.5 3/0	2 7/3	—
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Lech Poznan — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Gurgul n 8	90	1.1 5/3
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	2.2 6/4
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68	1.3 5/2
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	0.7 4/0
R. Murawski n 8	82.9	2.7 5/4
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Lech Poznan Attacking

Lech Poznan — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Agnero	15	47707 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	202.5 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90	101.3 /90
M. Ishak	12	61729 min	40.5 /90	30.4 /90	263.2 /90	121.5 /90	111.4 /90	00 /90
Pablo Rodríguez	17	721223 min	60.4 /90	70.5 /90	292.1 /90	120.9 /90	362.6 /90	181.3 /90
P. Wålemark	17	681157 min	80.6 /90	30.2 /90	342.6 /90	231.8 /90	272.1 /90	161.2 /90
R. Murawski	16	751197 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	80.6 /90	20.2 /90	120.9 /90	30.2 /90
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Lech Poznan — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Lis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gurgul n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68	3 8/4	1.3 5/3
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	4.1 8/4	2.4 8/4
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Lech Poznan — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lech Poznan before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Lis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Gurgul n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Joel Pereira n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Pablo Rodríguez n 8	68	0.8 3/2	0.7 2/1
P. Wålemark n 8	65.9	1 4/2	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Wisla PlockWLWLD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Lech PoznanWDWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Wisla Plock 1 · 2 draws · Lech Poznan 3 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-05-23 Lech Poznan 2–2 Wisla Plock
2025-11-30 Wisla Plock 0–0 Lech Poznan
2023-02-11 Wisla Plock 0–1 Lech Poznan
2022-07-31 Lech Poznan 1–3 Wisla Plock
2022-04-16 Wisla Plock 0–1 Lech Poznan
2021-10-22 Lech Poznan 4–1 Wisla Plock

League standing · 2026/27

Wisla Plock#12 pos15 pts12 pl-6 GD

Lech Poznan#1 pos31 pts12 pl+21 GD

Goals per game

Wisla Plock scored1

Lech Poznan scored2.67

Wisla Plock conceded1.5

Lech Poznan conceded0.92

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Wisla Plock v Lech Poznan is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Wisla Plock and Lech Poznan?: In their last 6 meetings, Wisla Plock won 1, Lech Poznan won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wisla Plock and Lech Poznan?: Recent form — Wisla Plock 2W 1D 2L; Lech Poznan 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 01:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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