Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction

Eliteserien · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Briskeby Arena

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 07:44 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ham-Kam · Sarpsborg 08 FF · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF, Eliteserien on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.55 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Ham-Kam host Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Eliteserien on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Ham-Kam’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in eight of Ham-Kam’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Ham-Kam have no wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.83 and conceding 2.83. Ham-Kam have scored 35 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 25 games). Ham-Kam have conceded 53 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs.

10 of Sarpsborg 08 FF’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Sarpsborg 08 FF’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Sarpsborg 08 FF have one win, four draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.33. Sarpsborg 08 FF have scored 32 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 25 games). Sarpsborg 08 FF have conceded 39 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Ham-Kam (13th) and Sarpsborg 08 FF (ninth) are four points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ham-Kam the stronger side, 8 rating points above Sarpsborg 08 FF (Ham-Kam 1491, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1483, after at least 145 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Sarpsborg 08 FF are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Ham-Kam. The most recent meeting, on 26 July 2026, finished Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Ham-Kam.

Team news

Predicted Ham-Kam XI (5-3-2): M. Sandberg, M. Gjone, A. Andresen, F. Sjolstad, S. Nilsen, E. Amundsen-Day, L. Mares, P. Metcalfe, L. Mettler, D. Benjamin, A. Potur — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mame Alassane Niang (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, six goals) and Aksel Baran Potur (4.0 per match over 17 appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Ham-Kam’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Ham-Kam (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Mame Alassane Niang averages 1.6 shots per 90 over 900 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances. Aksel Baran Potur averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1328 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Sarpsborg 08 FF XI (4-4-2): L. Øy, B. Utvik, S. Rosted, A. Hiim, P. Reinhardsen, O. Skarsem, A. Sher, S. Christiansen, S. Sörli, D. Karlsbakk, B. Guèye — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aimar Sher (3.6 per match over 23 appearances, one goal) and Sondre Sörli (3.5 per match over 25 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Sarpsborg 08 FF’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sarpsborg 08 FF (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Aimar Sher averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1886 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Sondre Sörli averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 2129 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:00 GMT · Eliteserien · Briskeby Arena
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Ham-Kam 1 · draws 1 · Sarpsborg 08 FF 4 · 3.5 goals/game
Recent form: Ham-Kam 2W 1D 2L · Sarpsborg 08 FF 3W 0D 2L

Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88

Goals

against 2.75 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

3.57 / 9

Corners

against 5 / 5.29 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.71 / 6.43

Shots on target

against 6.71 / 4.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.43 / 1.43

Cards

against 0.71 / 1.86 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Ham-Kam for / against	Line	Sarpsborg 08 FF for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.57 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	9 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.14 for · 18 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	18.71 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	2.71 for · 6.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	6.43 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.43 for · 10 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.43 for · 0.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.43 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5

Ham-Kam

Ham-Kam Goalkeeper

Ham-Kam — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Marcus Sandberg	25	902250 min	893.6 /90	431.7 /90	00 /90

Ham-Kam — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ham-Kam before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Marcus Sandberg n 8	90	3.6 7/6

Ham-Kam Defensive

Ham-Kam — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Fredrik Sjolstad	25	691724 min	201 /90	130.7 /90	201 /90	713.7 /90	50.3 /90	10.1 /90
Ethan Amundsen-Day	23	841933 min	231.1 /90	341.6 /90	150.7 /90	763.5 /90	180.8 /90	20.1 /90
Martin Gjone	21	861796 min	221.1 /90	271.4 /90	160.8 /90	713.6 /90	170.9 /90	10.1 /90
Snorre Strand Nilsen	14	61856 min	121.3 /90	60.6 /90	40.4 /90	535.6 /90	151.6 /90	20.2 /90
Anton Ekeroth	12	841013 min	100.9 /90	60.5 /90	30.3 /90	585.2 /90	181.6 /90	40.4 /90
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Ham-Kam — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ham-Kam before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Marcus Sandberg n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Fredrik Sjolstad n 8	69.5	0 0/0	0.5 2/1	—
Ethan Amundsen-Day n 8	72.9	0.9 4/2	0.6 2/1	—
Martin Gjone n 8	82.9	0.7 5/0	0.5 4/0	—
Patrick Metcalfe n 8	90	1.1 5/2	0.8 5/1	—
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Ham-Kam — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ham-Kam before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Fredrik Sjolstad n 8	69.5	0.8 2/2
Ethan Amundsen-Day n 8	72.9	1.1 6/1
Martin Gjone n 8	82.9	1.2 6/3
Patrick Metcalfe n 8	90	2.1 7/5
Henrik Udahl n 8	45.9	1.2 3/1
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Ham-Kam Attacking

Ham-Kam — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Henrik Udahl	21	651362 min	60.4 /90	00 /90	322.1 /90	151 /90	120.8 /90	80.5 /90
Mame Alassane Niang	11	82900 min	60.6 /90	00 /90	161.6 /90	90.9 /90	111.1 /90	20.2 /90
David Benjamin	11	53587 min	00 /90	20.3 /90	101.5 /90	20.3 /90	81.2 /90	10.2 /90
Danilo Al-Saed	8	28225 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	20.8 /90	72.8 /90	41.6 /90
B. Isufi	6	59352 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	41 /90	30.8 /90	51.3 /90	61.5 /90
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Ham-Kam — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ham-Kam before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Marcus Sandberg n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Fredrik Sjolstad n 8	69.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ethan Amundsen-Day n 8	72.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Martin Gjone n 8	82.9	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
Patrick Metcalfe n 8	90	0.8 4/1	0.5 3/1
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Ham-Kam — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ham-Kam before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Marcus Sandberg n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Fredrik Sjolstad n 8	69.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Ethan Amundsen-Day n 8	72.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Martin Gjone n 8	82.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Patrick Metcalfe n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Sarpsborg 08 FF

Sarpsborg 08 FF Goalkeeper

Sarpsborg 08 FF — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Leander Øy	15	901350 min	493.3 /90	201.3 /90	00 /90
Mamour Ndiaye	10	90900 min	343.4 /90	121.2 /90	10.1 /90

Sarpsborg 08 FF — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarpsborg 08 FF before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Leander Øy n 8	90	2.8 5/3
Mamour Ndiaye n 8	90	3.5 7/7

Sarpsborg 08 FF Defensive

Sarpsborg 08 FF — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Bjorn Utvik	24	882121 min	261.1 /90	231 /90	220.9 /90	1114.7 /90	210.9 /90	50.2 /90
Anders Hiim	24	842011 min	482.1 /90	291.3 /90	90.4 /90	944.2 /90	140.6 /90	20.1 /90
Claus Niyukuri	21	651371 min	312 /90	181.2 /90	80.5 /90	835.4 /90	201.3 /90	20.1 /90
Eirik Wichne	16	47758 min	313.7 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90	475.6 /90	161.9 /90	10.1 /90
S. Rosted	11	80880 min	101 /90	101 /90	90.9 /90	515.2 /90	70.7 /90	10.1 /90
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Sarpsborg 08 FF — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarpsborg 08 FF before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sondre Sörli n 8	82	1.6 7/4	0.8 3/2	—
Daniel Karlsbakk n 8	90	1.9 6/5	1.5 6/2	—
Bjorn Utvik n 8	85.1	1.2 5/2	0.3 2/0	—
Anders Hiim n 8	71.6	0.2 1/0	0.8 5/0	—
Sander Christiansen n 8	68.1	0.5 3/0	2.1 7/4	—
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Sarpsborg 08 FF — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarpsborg 08 FF before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sondre Sörli n 8	82	0.7 4/1
Daniel Karlsbakk n 8	90	0.5 3/1
Bjorn Utvik n 8	85.1	1.2 7/2
Anders Hiim n 8	71.6	1.4 5/3
Sander Christiansen n 8	68.1	1.8 6/3
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Sarpsborg 08 FF Attacking

Sarpsborg 08 FF — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Daniel Karlsbakk	24	882122 min	70.3 /90	10 /90	431.8 /90	241 /90	220.9 /90	120.5 /90
Andreas Hansen	23	681569 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	160.9 /90	80.5 /90	160.9 /90	90.5 /90
Jo Inge Berget	4	32127 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	10.7 /90
Sondre Sörli	25	852129 min	60.3 /90	40.2 /90	361.5 /90	200.8 /90	441.9 /90	120.5 /90
Sander Christiansen	23	761758 min	10.1 /90	20.1 /90	231.2 /90	60.3 /90	110.6 /90	90.5 /90
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Sarpsborg 08 FF — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarpsborg 08 FF before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sondre Sörli n 8	82	1.5 7/4	1.2 7/2
Daniel Karlsbakk n 8	90	2.8 5/5	1.4 5/4
Bjorn Utvik n 8	85.1	1.5 6/3	0.3 2/0
Anders Hiim n 8	71.6	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
Sander Christiansen n 8	68.1	1.3 5/2	0 0/0
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Sarpsborg 08 FF — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Sarpsborg 08 FF before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sondre Sörli n 8	82	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Daniel Karlsbakk n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Bjorn Utvik n 8	85.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Anders Hiim n 8	71.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Sander Christiansen n 8	68.1	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Ham-KamWLLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game

Sarpsborg 08 FFWLWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Ham-Kam 1 · 1 draw · Sarpsborg 08 FF 4 · 3.5 goals/game

2026-07-26 Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Ham-Kam
2025-08-31 Ham-Kam 1–3 Sarpsborg 08 FF
2025-05-11 Sarpsborg 08 FF 4–0 Ham-Kam
2024-10-20 Ham-Kam 0–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF
2024-05-16 Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–7 Ham-Kam
2023-09-24 Ham-Kam 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF

League standing · 2026

Ham-Kam#13 pos27 pts25 pl-18 GD

Sarpsborg 08 FF#9 pos31 pts25 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

Ham-Kam scored1.4

Sarpsborg 08 FF scored1.28

Ham-Kam conceded2.12

Sarpsborg 08 FF conceded1.56

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Ham-Kam v Sarpsborg 08 FF is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.55 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Ham-Kam and Sarpsborg 08 FF?: In their last 6 meetings, Ham-Kam won 1, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ham-Kam and Sarpsborg 08 FF?: Recent form — Ham-Kam 2W 1D 2L; Sarpsborg 08 FF 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 07:44 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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