Kristiansund BK v Valerenga prediction

Eliteserien · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Nordmøre stadion

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Kristiansund BK · Valerenga · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Kristiansund BK v Valerenga, Eliteserien on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.40 at Betfair

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Kristiansund BK host Valerenga in the Eliteserien on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Valerenga’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Valerenga have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Kristiansund BK’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Kristiansund BK’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Kristiansund BK have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.75. Kristiansund BK have scored 29 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 25 games). Kristiansund BK have conceded 51 goals, the fourth-most of the 16 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of Valerenga’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Valerenga have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 2.50. Valerenga have scored 43 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 25 games). Valerenga have conceded 46 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs.

Kristiansund BK (15th) and Valerenga (eighth) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Valerenga the stronger side, 168 rating points above Kristiansund BK (Valerenga 1674, Kristiansund BK 1506, after at least 266 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Valerenga are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Kristiansund BK. The most recent meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Valerenga 3–1 Kristiansund BK.

Team news

Predicted Kristiansund BK XI (4-2-3-1): M. Lansing, M. Elvius, J. Isaksen, M. Williamsen, D. Ulvestad, H. Bruseth, D. Tufekcic, Z. Bytyqi, S. Skeide, W. Igor, L. Alvheim — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Leander Alvheim (5.3 per match over eight appearances, six goals) and Wilfred George Igor (3.9 per match over 22 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Kristiansund BK’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Kristiansund BK (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Leander Alvheim averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 694 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. Wilfred George Igor averages 0.5 key passes per 90 over 1891 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Valerenga XI (4-4-2): O. Hedvall, S. Jarl, A. Olsen, H. Sjatil, D. Gjengaar, P. Strand, C. Lange, G. Zahid, L. Haren, O. Saeter, M. Grundetjern — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Carl Lange (4.5 per match over 24 appearances, six goals and one assist) and Lucas Haren (4.2 per match over 24 appearances, 11 goals and two assists) have been Valerenga’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Valerenga (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Carl Lange averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 2027 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Lucas Haren averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1623 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Eliteserien · Nordmøre stadion
Referee: Marius Lien
Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Kristiansund BK 2 · draws 0 · Valerenga 4 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Kristiansund BK 1W 1D 3L · Valerenga 3W 0D 2L

Kristiansund BK v Valerenga (Eliteserien): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.75

Goals

against 3 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.29 / 6.43

Corners

against 6.43 / 6.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.57 / 5.86

Shots on target

against 7.14 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.57 / 2

Cards

against 1.43 / 1.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

232

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Kristiansund BK for / against	Line	Valerenga for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.29 for · 6.43 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.43 for · 6.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.71 for · 18.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17.29 for · 14.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.57 for · 7.14 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.86 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.71 for · 15.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	11.71 for · 9.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.57 for · 1.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1.29 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Marius Lien.

Kristiansund BK

Kristiansund BK Goalkeeper

Kristiansund BK — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Adrian Sæther	12	901080 min	423.5 /90	201.7 /90	10.1 /90
Michael Lansing	11	90990 min	464.2 /90	272.5 /90	20.2 /90
Adrian Sæther	2	90180 min	63 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Kristiansund BK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kristiansund BK before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Adrian Sæther n 8	90	3.2 6/4
Michael Lansing n 8	90	4.4 8/8

Kristiansund BK Defensive

Kristiansund BK — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dan Peter Ulvestad	22	861902 min	140.7 /90	261.2 /90	200.9 /90	743.5 /90	70.3 /90	20.1 /90
Frederik Flex	19	631195 min	262 /90	161.2 /90	50.4 /90	654.9 /90	70.5 /90	40.3 /90
Julius Mar Juliusson	18	891603 min	331.9 /90	201.1 /90	80.4 /90	754.2 /90	201.1 /90	50.3 /90
Jesper Isaksen	17	701194 min	282.1 /90	131 /90	10.1 /90	886.6 /90	191.4 /90	30.2 /90
Alexander Munksgaard	15	881317 min	302.1 /90	161.1 /90	60.4 /90	624.2 /90	141 /90	00 /90
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Kristiansund BK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kristiansund BK before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Dan Peter Ulvestad n 8	87.4	0.9 5/2	0.4 3/0	—
Wilfred George Igor n 8	73	1.4 4/3	1.8 6/3	—
Heine Gikling Bruseth n 8	81.8	1.9 7/5	2.6 7/6	—
Adrian Kurd Rønning n 8	39.9	1.7 5/1	0.8 3/0	—
Frederik Flex n 8	36.1	0.3 1/0	1.9 4/2	—
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Kristiansund BK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kristiansund BK before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Dan Peter Ulvestad n 8	87.4	0.8 4/1
Wilfred George Igor n 8	73	2.8 7/6
Heine Gikling Bruseth n 8	81.8	2.2 7/6
Adrian Kurd Rønning n 8	39.9	0.8 3/0
Frederik Flex n 8	36.1	2.5 6/1
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Kristiansund BK Attacking

Kristiansund BK — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Adrian Kurd Rønning	20	49987 min	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	222 /90	111 /90	90.8 /90	111 /90
Leander Alvheim	17	761291 min	70.5 /90	00 /90	312.2 /90	171.2 /90	90.6 /90	100.7 /90
Mustapha Isah	13	71926 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	151.5 /90	80.8 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
Leander Alvheim	8	87694 min	60.8 /90	00 /90	243.1 /90	111.4 /90	81 /90	30.4 /90
Promise Meliga	1	1919 min	29.5 /90	00 /90	29.5 /90	29.5 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Kristiansund BK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kristiansund BK before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Dan Peter Ulvestad n 8	87.4	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1
Wilfred George Igor n 8	73	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0
Heine Gikling Bruseth n 8	81.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Adrian Kurd Rønning n 8	39.9	1.4 3/1	0.6 2/0
Frederik Flex n 8	36.1	0.6 2/0	0.3 1/0
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Kristiansund BK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Kristiansund BK before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Dan Peter Ulvestad n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wilfred George Igor n 8	73	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Heine Gikling Bruseth n 8	81.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Adrian Kurd Rønning n 8	39.9	0 0/0	0.6 2/0
Frederik Flex n 8	36.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Valerenga

Valerenga Goalkeeper

Valerenga — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Oscar Hedvall	25	902250 min	833.3 /90	451.8 /90	10 /90

Valerenga — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valerenga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Oscar Hedvall n 8	90	3.6 5/5

Valerenga Defensive

Valerenga — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Kolbeinn Finnsson	20	881765 min	512.6 /90	191 /90	40.2 /90	874.4 /90	170.9 /90	50.3 /90
Hakon Sjatil	20	761520 min	523.1 /90	100.6 /90	60.4 /90	744.4 /90	251.5 /90	40.2 /90
Aaron Kiil Olsen	16	891418 min	211.3 /90	130.8 /90	140.9 /90	553.5 /90	130.8 /90	50.3 /90
Ivan Näsberg	16	811299 min	130.9 /90	171.2 /90	151 /90	553.8 /90	130.9 /90	30.2 /90
Sebastian Jarl	13	851102 min	211.7 /90	201.6 /90	90.7 /90	494 /90	110.9 /90	10.1 /90
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Valerenga — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valerenga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Oscar Hedvall n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Carl Lange n 8	85.3	1.5 5/3	2.1 7/6	—
Mathias Grundetjern n 8	81.6	0.8 4/2	1 6/1	—
Lucas Haren n 8	78.8	0.6 3/1	0.7 3/1	—
Petter Strand n 8	59.5	0.4 2/0	1.5 5/1	—
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Valerenga — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valerenga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Carl Lange n 8	85.3	3 8/7
Mathias Grundetjern n 8	81.6	1 5/2
Lucas Haren n 8	78.8	2.1 6/5
Petter Strand n 8	59.5	1.3 4/2
Magnus Westergaard n 8	60.6	2.4 7/4
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Valerenga Attacking

Valerenga — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Mathias Grundetjern	24	751802 min	60.3 /90	60.3 /90	492.4 /90	251.2 /90	291.4 /90	90.4 /90
Filip Thorvaldsen	10	79790 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	202.3 /90	101.1 /90	111.3 /90	171.9 /90
Gabriel Rajkovic	10	29294 min	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	72.1 /90	41.2 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90
O. Saeter	9	49442 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	153.1 /90	51 /90	122.4 /90	20.4 /90
O. Sæter	2	2039 min	00 /90	12.3 /90	36.9 /90	12.3 /90	24.6 /90	24.6 /90
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Valerenga — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valerenga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Oscar Hedvall n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carl Lange n 8	85.3	1.7 7/5	0.7 4/1
Mathias Grundetjern n 8	81.6	3.3 8/8	1.9 6/5
Lucas Haren n 8	78.8	3.9 8/6	2 6/3
Petter Strand n 8	59.5	0.9 5/0	0.2 1/0
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Valerenga — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Valerenga before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Oscar Hedvall n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carl Lange n 8	85.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Mathias Grundetjern n 8	81.6	0.6 3/1	0.4 3/0
Lucas Haren n 8	78.8	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
Petter Strand n 8	59.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Kristiansund BK v Valerenga — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Kristiansund BKLLDLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

ValerengaLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Kristiansund BK 2 · 0 draws · Valerenga 4 · 3 goals/game

2026-05-29 Valerenga 3–1 Kristiansund BK
2025-11-22 Valerenga 3–0 Kristiansund BK
2025-04-27 Kristiansund BK 0–2 Valerenga
2023-12-10 Valerenga 0–2 Kristiansund BK
2023-12-06 Kristiansund BK 0–2 Valerenga
2022-09-11 Kristiansund BK 3–2 Valerenga

League standing · 2026

Kristiansund BK#15 pos23 pts25 pl-22 GD

Valerenga#8 pos32 pts25 pl-3 GD

Goals per game

Kristiansund BK scored1.16

Valerenga scored1.72

Kristiansund BK conceded2.04

Valerenga conceded1.84

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Kristiansund BK v Valerenga?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Kristiansund BK v Valerenga is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between Kristiansund BK and Valerenga?: In their last 6 meetings, Kristiansund BK won 2, Valerenga won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Kristiansund BK and Valerenga?: Recent form — Kristiansund BK 1W 1D 3L; Valerenga 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 10:43 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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