MoldeBrann

Molde v Brann result

Full-time · Molde 1–2 Brann

Eliteserien · · Aker Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Molde · Brann · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Molde 1–2 Brann — Brann won this Eliteserien match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,997 of 2,670 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Brann won 2–1 at Aker Stadion in the Eliteserien on Saturday 18 July. It is Brann’s first win over Molde since 21 October 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Brann led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Brann: Denzel De Roeve (8’) and Kristian Eriksen (35’, assisted by Ulrik Mathisen); Molde: S. Diop (88’, assisted by E. Breivik).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Denzel De Roeve’s goal on 8 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Molde out-shot Brann 15 to 9 and created the better chances, 1.54 xG to 1.13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Lien showed five yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Molde: S. Kabini (20’), M. Løvik (45+2’), S. Hansen (78’) and V. Bender (83’); Brann: Kristian Eriksen (54’).

What it changes

Molde stay fifth after this result (13 league matches played). Molde have scored 21 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 13 games, ranked per game). Molde have conceded 17 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.

Brann move up from seventh to sixth (14 league matches played). Brann have scored 28 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Brann have conceded 22 goals, the eighth-most of the 16 clubs.

Molde have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Brann have scored in 12 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Kristian Eriksen (Brann) 7.1, E. Breivik (Molde) 6.9 and Denzel De Roeve (Brann) 6.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Molde are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Brann.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Molde or Brann (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Next up

Molde next travel to Sandefjord on 8 November 2026.

Brann next travel to Fredrikstad on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Molde: Sandefjord v Molde, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Brann: Fredrikstad v Brann, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Molde 1–2 Brann · Eliteserien
  • Venue: Aker Stadion · Molde
  • Referee: M. Lien
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Molde 5 · draws 0 · Brann 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Molde 2W 1D 2L · Brann 2W 0D 3L

Molde 1–2 Brann (Eliteserien): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.71
Corners
against 5.38 / 3.71 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.88 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 1.43
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3 yellows
Referee · M. Lien
22.6 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 12 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMolde for / againstLineBrann for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.25our book
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.71 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots
13.25 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.86 for · 13.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.57 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.71 for · 13 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.43 for · 1.71 against n 7

Referee: M. Lien — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 22.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Molde

Molde Goalkeeper

Molde — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Posiadała982737 min303.7 /9091.1 /9000 /90
M. Kikkenborg486343 min61.6 /9061.6 /9000 /90
Molde — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Posiadała n 890
3.67/5
M. Kikkenborg n 485.8
1.62/0

Molde Defensive

Molde — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Stenevik12901079 min322.7 /90110.9 /9080.7 /90625.2 /90151.3 /9010.1 /90
S. Hansen12851020 min232 /90201.8 /9050.4 /90948.3 /90100.9 /9000 /90
B. Risa1178853 min60.6 /9040.4 /90101.1 /90232.4 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
S. Kabini883662 min182.4 /9081.1 /9040.5 /90364.9 /90111.5 /9030.4 /90
M. Linnes653317 min61.7 /9061.7 /9030.9 /90257.1 /9030.9 /9000 /90
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Molde — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Stenevik n 890
1.16/2
1.36/3
—
E. Breivik n 889.3
15/2
16/1
Felix Horn Myhre
S. Hansen n 882.5
1.14/2
1.25/2
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
V. Hoff n 877.9
0.32/0
14/2
Felix Horn Myhre
B. Risa n 872.9
0.85/0
0.93/2
—
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Molde — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Stenevik n 890
38/7
E. Breivik n 889.3
1.13/3
S. Hansen n 882.5
2.36/4
V. Hoff n 877.9
1.45/2
B. Risa n 872.9
0.52/1
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Molde Attacking

Molde — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Gulbrandsen1154590 min40.6 /9000 /90121.8 /9060.9 /9071.1 /9071.1 /90
C. Zady Sery942376 min00 /9010.2 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9061.4 /90
J. Abdulai659353 min10.3 /9010.3 /90102.5 /9041 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
I. F. Gosik23365 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /90
E. Breivik12901074 min60.5 /9010.1 /90221.8 /90131.1 /90242 /9070.6 /90
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Molde — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Stenevik n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
E. Breivik n 889.3
1.66/5
16/2
S. Hansen n 882.5
0.84/2
00/0
V. Hoff n 877.9
0.63/1
0.42/1
B. Risa n 872.9
00/0
00/0
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Molde — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Molde before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Stenevik n 890
00/0
00/0
E. Breivik n 889.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. Hansen n 882.5
00/0
0.32/0
V. Hoff n 877.9
0.11/0
00/0
B. Risa n 872.9
00/0
00/0
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Brann

Brann Goalkeeper

Brann — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Simen Vidtun Nilsen790630 min192.7 /90101.4 /9000 /90
M. Dyngeland690540 min152.5 /90111.8 /9000 /90
Brann — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Simen Vidtun Nilsen n 790
2.76/3
M. Dyngeland n 890
2.96/5

Brann Defensive

Brann — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen1282981 min222 /9090.8 /9090.8 /90736.7 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90
Joachim Soltvedt1182907 min131.3 /9090.9 /9030.3 /90292.9 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
Thore Pedersen1169758 min141.7 /90101.2 /9050.6 /90354.2 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Vetle Dragsnes988788 min141.6 /9050.6 /9030.3 /90354 /9030.3 /9010.1 /90
Denzel De Roeve877613 min345 /9060.9 /9010.1 /90497.2 /9050.7 /9010.1 /90
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Brann — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Noah Jean Holm n 866.4
2.27/2
1.74/4
—
Felix Horn Myhre n 890
1.16/2
1.66/6
V. Hoff
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 877.6
0.74/1
0.63/1
S. Hansen
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson n 868.8
14/2
1.88/3
—
Ulrik Mathisen n 862
0.53/0
1.87/2
—
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Brann — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Noah Jean Holm n 866.4
13/2
Felix Horn Myhre n 890
1.55/3
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 877.6
1.96/5
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson n 868.8
27/3
Ulrik Mathisen n 862
0.73/1
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Brann Attacking

Brann — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Noah Jean Holm1375976 min50.5 /9020.2 /90302.8 /90131.2 /9080.7 /9040.4 /90
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson1269833 min20.2 /9010.1 /9080.9 /9050.5 /90141.5 /90111.2 /90
Bård Finne1049487 min20.4 /9020.4 /90122.2 /9081.5 /90101.8 /9010.2 /90
N. Castro12828 min00 /9013.2 /9026.4 /9013.2 /9039.6 /9026.4 /90
Felix Horn Myhre12901080 min10.1 /9010.1 /9050.4 /9020.2 /90171.4 /9050.4 /90
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Brann — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Noah Jean Holm n 866.4
1.95/4
1.24/3
Felix Horn Myhre n 890
0.43/0
00/0
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 877.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson n 868.8
0.84/1
0.52/1
Ulrik Mathisen n 862
1.16/0
0.74/0
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Brann — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brann before kick-off, to 12 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Noah Jean Holm n 866.4
0.53/0
00/0
Felix Horn Myhre n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen n 877.6
00/0
00/0
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson n 868.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Ulrik Mathisen n 862
0.21/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MoldeBrann
47%Possession53%
1.54Expected goals (xG)1.13
15Shots9
2Shots on target2
9Shots off target3
4Blocked shots4
12Shots inside the box7
6Corners4
0Offsides3
13Fouls15
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves2
495Passes582
84%Pass accuracy84%

Molde Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Posiadała9000000006.3
S. Hansen90001101Y6.9
S. Kabini90000001Y6.9
E. Breivik9001302007.9
E. Hestad9000005307.9
S. Granaas9000203407.5
J. Abdulai8200201206.9
M. Løvik76001011Y6.5
I. Amundsen4500000106
O. Spiten-Nysæter4500000106.2
V. Hoff3500000006.5
D. Daga sub5500000306.6
B. Risa sub4500000007
S. Diop sub4510211207.2
V. Bender sub14000001Y6.7
Trent Toure Kone Doherty sub800000006.3

Brann Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dyngeland9000000007.2
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen9000000307.2
Thore Pedersen9000000106.9
Joachim Soltvedt9000003307.7
Kristian Eriksen90102124Y7.3
Felix Horn Myhre9000000107
Niklas Jensen Wassberg8300000406.9
Ulrik Mathisen6901101207.3
Denzel De Roeve6310110307.6
Noah Jean Holm6300000106.3
Kristall Máni Ingason6300001206.6
Vetle Dragsnes sub2700000006.3
Jacob Lungi Sørensen sub2700000006.7
N. Castro sub2700100006.7
S. Magnusson sub2100000206.9
Bård Finne sub1300000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Molde v Brann — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MoldeLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BrannWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Molde 5 · 0 draws · Brann 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-22 Molde 4–0 Brann
  • 2025-05-29 Brann 0–3 Molde
  • 2024-11-23 Molde 2–1 Brann
  • 2024-05-26 Brann 1–3 Molde
  • 2023-10-21 Brann 3–2 Molde
  • 2023-07-09 Molde 2–0 Brann
League standing · 2026
Molde#4 pos43 pts25 pl+20 GD
Brann#7 pos32 pts25 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Molde scored2.36
Brann scored1.8
Molde conceded1.56
Brann conceded1.68

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Molde v Brann?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Molde v Brann was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Brann?
In their last 6 meetings, Molde won 5, Brann won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Molde and Brann?
Recent form — Molde 2W 1D 2L; Brann 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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