AjaxHeerenveen

Ajax v Heerenveen result

Full-time · Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen

Eredivisie · · Johan Cruijff Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ajax · Heerenveen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax and Heerenveen drew 2–2 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Sunday 16 August. Ajax are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Heerenveen: an own goal by Bernt Klaverboer (7’), Jacob Trenskow (45’, assisted by Sam Kersten) and Maxence Rivera (82’); Ajax: A. Ouazane (33’, assisted by Caio Henrique).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Ajax out-shot Heerenveen 23 to 14 and created the better chances, 2.00 xG to 1.36 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Alex Bos, Netherlands showed four yellow cards — against 2.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ajax: Youri Regeer (57’), Aaron Bouwman (65’) and Lucas Rosa (86’); Heerenveen: Jacob Trenskow (51’).

What it changes

Ajax move down from third to fifth (two league matches played).

Heerenveen stay seventh (shared) after this result (two league matches played).

Ajax have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Sam Kersten (Heerenveen) 9.4, Jacob Trenskow (Heerenveen) 8.4 and A. Ouazane (Ajax) 7.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ajax are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Heerenveen.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ajax or Heerenveen (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

Heerenveen next host Feyenoord on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Heerenveen: Heerenveen v Feyenoord, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
  • Referee: Alex Bos, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 3 · draws 2 · Heerenveen 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ajax 4W 1D 0L · Heerenveen 2W 1D 2L

Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
9 / 6.13
Corners
against 2.71 / 5.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
8 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 3.29 / 5.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 1.25
Cards
against 2.43 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2 yellows
Referee · Alex Bos, Netherlands
17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAjax for / againstLineHeerenveen for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
9 for · 2.71 against n 7
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
22.43 for · 7.86 against n 7
19.5standard
13.25 for · 18 against n 8
Shots on target
8 for · 3.29 against n 7
8.5standard
5.13 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10 for · 12.57 against n 7
21.5standard
10.13 for · 8.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 2.43 against n 7
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Alex Bos, Netherlands — 2 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 17 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Paes492367 min92.2 /9051.2 /9000 /90
M. ter Stegen19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Paes n 890.9
2.25/4

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Bouwman591457 min71.4 /9071.4 /9000 /90193.7 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
D. Blind481322 min51.4 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90164.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
O. Wijndal472289 min51.6 /9030.9 /9000 /90134 /9082.5 /9000 /90
Caio Henrique442168 min63.2 /9021.1 /9000 /9084.3 /9021.1 /9000 /90
Lucas Rosa391273 min82.6 /9031 /9010.3 /90175.6 /9031 /9000 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bouwman n 890.9
0.95/2
0.11/0
V. Zagaritis
Y. Regeer n 868.8
1.35/2
1.55/3
M. Linday
J. Mokio n 859.4
1.76/2
0.41/1
—
M. Paes n 890.9
00/0
0.11/0
—
D. Blind n 875.6
0.43/0
0.93/1
—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
1.46/2
Y. Regeer n 868.8
25/2
J. Mokio n 859.4
3.24/3
D. Blind n 875.6
1.56/4
O. Wijndal n 867
1.75/4
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mika Godts472288 min10.3 /9030.9 /90113.4 /9051.6 /90144.4 /90134.1 /90
S. Berghuis470278 min10.3 /9031 /90113.6 /9051.6 /9082.6 /9010.3 /90
K. Dolberg465261 min10.3 /9000 /90113.8 /9072.4 /9031 /9000 /90
Marcos Leonardo438152 min00 /9000 /9042.4 /9010.6 /9021.2 /9000 /90
O. Edvardsen350150 min00 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9042.4 /9010.6 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
0.43/0
0.22/0
Y. Regeer n 868.8
0.73/1
0.53/0
J. Mokio n 859.4
2.37/2
0.63/0
M. Paes n 890.9
00/0
00/0
D. Blind n 875.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 890.9
00/0
00/0
Y. Regeer n 868.8
00/0
0.21/0
J. Mokio n 859.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Paes n 890.9
00/0
00/0
D. Blind n 875.6
00/0
00/0
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Heerenveen

Heerenveen Goalkeeper

Heerenveen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Klaverboer19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Heerenveen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Klaverboer n 890
4.68/7

Heerenveen Defensive

Heerenveen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Willemsen19090 min00 /9011 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
V. Zagaritis19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Kersten18383 min22.2 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9022.2 /9011.1 /9000 /90
M. Egbring16868 min34 /9000 /9000 /9045.3 /9000 /9000 /90
H. Petrov12222 min00 /9028.2 /9000 /9014.1 /9000 /9000 /90
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Heerenveen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Vente n 873.3
1.57/2
0.53/0
—
V. Zagaritis n 882.1
15/1
0.42/1
A. Bouwman
M. Linday n 888.5
0.95/2
1.55/3
Y. Regeer
M. Willemsen n 887.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
B. Klaverboer n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Heerenveen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Linday n 888.5
2.46/5
V. Zagaritis n 882.1
1.66/4
M. Willemsen n 887.1
0.54/0
D. Vente n 873.3
0.32/0
S. Kersten n 889.1
1.88/4
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Heerenveen Attacking

Heerenveen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Vente19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
L. Oyen14545 min12 /9000 /9012 /9012 /9000 /9036 /90
D. Proper19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
M. Linday19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
J. Trenskow18383 min00 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9033.3 /9000 /90
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Heerenveen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Vente n 873.3
1.75/4
0.94/1
M. Linday n 888.5
0.42/1
0.32/0
V. Zagaritis n 882.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Willemsen n 887.1
0.11/0
00/0
B. Klaverboer n 890
00/0
00/0
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Heerenveen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 13 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Vente n 873.3
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Linday n 888.5
0.11/0
00/0
V. Zagaritis n 882.1
00/0
0.11/0
B. Klaverboer n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Willemsen n 887.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AjaxHeerenveen
54%Possession46%
2.00Expected goals (xG)1.36
23Shots14
4Shots on target8
10Shots off target3
9Blocked shots3
16Shots inside the box9
7Corners2
2Offsides3
8Fouls10
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves4
517Passes462
91%Pass accuracy88%

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. ter Stegen9000000008.3
Lucas Rosa90001024Y7.5
A. Bouwman90000001Y6.9
Y. Baas9000101106.9
Caio Henrique9001104006.3
Y. Regeer90001113Y7.2
A. Ouazane8710213108.5
S. Berghuis8600301006.6
D. Klaassen7300001206.9
O. Gloukh6500213007.2
K. Dolberg6500210006
Marcos Leonardo sub2500101106.3
J. Brandt sub2500001106.6
J. Mokio sub1700000006.2
O. Edvardsen sub900000006.3
T. Arokodare sub800000006.5

Heerenveen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Klaverboer9000000006.5
S. Kersten9001001407.7
M. Willemsen9000000007
V. Zagaritis9000001006.7
M. Linday9000004007
D. Proper9000101106.9
J. Trenskow90104321Y7.5
D. Vente9000210006.3
O. Braude8700000206.5
R. Meerveld7300112106.9
L. Oyen5800110106.9
M. Rivera sub3210220007.5
L. Machine sub1700000006.7
H. Petrov sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ajax v Heerenveen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AjaxWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 1 conceded per game
HeerenveenWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ajax 3 · 2 draws · Heerenveen 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax
  • 2025-11-01 Ajax 1–1 Heerenveen
  • 2025-01-19 Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax
  • 2024-08-11 Ajax 1–0 Heerenveen
  • 2024-02-11 Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax
  • 2023-11-05 Ajax 4–1 Heerenveen
League standing · 2026/27
Ajax#2 pos24 pts11 pl+17 GD
Heerenveen#7 pos18 pts11 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Ajax scored2.73
Heerenveen scored1.73
Ajax conceded1.18
Heerenveen conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ajax v Heerenveen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v Heerenveen was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Heerenveen?
In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 3, Heerenveen won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ajax and Heerenveen?
Recent form — Ajax 4W 1D 0L; Heerenveen 2W 1D 2L.

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