AjaxPSV Eindhoven

Ajax v PSV Eindhoven result

Full-time · Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven

Eredivisie · · Johan Cruijff Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Ajax · PSV Eindhoven · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 557 of 869 times (64.1%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax and PSV Eindhoven drew 2–2 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Saturday 2 May. Ajax have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. PSV Eindhoven have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — PSV Eindhoven: Ricardo Pepi (1’, assisted by Yarek Gasiorowski) and Myron Boadu (77’); Ajax: Anton Gaaei (11’, assisted by Mika Godts) and Mika Godts (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Mika Godts’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: PSV Eindhoven, from fewer shots (7 to 13), created the better chances, 1.80 xG to 0.95 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

A. Lindhout showed three yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ajax: Sean Steur (75’); PSV Eindhoven: Couhaib Driouech (83’) and Dennis Man (88’).

What it changes

Ajax stay fourth after this result (32 league matches played).

PSV Eindhoven stay first after this result (32 league matches played).

Ajax are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mika Godts (Ajax) 8.3, Yarek Gasiorowski (PSV Eindhoven) 7.4 and Anton Gaaei (Ajax) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ajax are unbeaten in the last four meetings with PSV Eindhoven.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.

PSV Eindhoven next travel to Cambuur on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for PSV Eindhoven: Cambuur v PSV Eindhoven, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
  • Referee: A. Lindhout
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 2 · draws 3 · PSV Eindhoven 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ajax 3W 1D 1L · PSV Eindhoven 3W 0D 2L

Ajax 2–2 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 / 6.5
Corners
against 6.63 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 8.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 5.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.7 yellows
Referee · A. Lindhout
19.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAjax for / againstLinePSV Eindhoven for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.5our book
2.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
11.38 for · 14.25 against n 8
19.5standard
17.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
8.5 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.38 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
9.13 for · 8.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: A. Lindhout — 2.7 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 19.8 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Jaroš26902341 min883.4 /90421.6 /9000 /90
M. Paes890720 min253.1 /9070.9 /9000 /90
R. Pasveer790630 min263.7 /90172.4 /9000 /90
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Jaroš n 890.1
3.76/5
M. Paes n 890
3.17/6
R. Pasveer n 890
3.68/6

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Y. Baas37883265 min742 /90451.2 /90401.1 /901865.1 /90320.9 /9060.2 /90
A. Gaaei30702105 min341.5 /90200.9 /9050.2 /90793.4 /90251.1 /9060.3 /90
Lucas Rosa28802229 min763.1 /90431.7 /90160.6 /901475.9 /90331.3 /9040.2 /90
J. Šutalo27772091 min130.6 /90472 /90130.6 /90903.9 /90100.4 /9010 /90
J. Mokio27571545 min573.3 /90221.3 /9090.5 /901056.1 /90181 /9010.1 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Mika Godts n 888.6
15/3
1.86/4
G. Til
Y. Baas n 890
0.63/1
0.64/1
—
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.87/4
0.64/0
—
O. Gloukh n 867.9
0.85/0
0.74/0
—
A. Gaaei n 881.3
1.15/3
00/0
—
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Mika Godts n 888.6
1.77/3
Y. Baas n 890
1.56/4
D. Klaassen n 874.9
2.18/5
O. Gloukh n 867.9
0.84/1
A. Gaaei n 881.3
1.98/3
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mika Godts38813081 min160.5 /90120.4 /90712.1 /90401.2 /90812.4 /90932.7 /90
W. Weghorst26741929 min80.4 /9030.1 /90361.7 /90150.7 /90351.6 /9060.3 /90
K. Dolberg21601256 min50.4 /9030.2 /90292.1 /90141 /90110.8 /9080.6 /90
Rayane Bounida20511020 min20.2 /9080.7 /90211.9 /90111 /90363.2 /90252.2 /90
S. Berghuis1563952 min40.4 /9020.2 /90282.6 /90151.4 /90282.6 /9050.5 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mika Godts n 888.6
1.98/5
1.36/3
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
1.16/1
0.63/1
O. Gloukh n 867.9
15/1
0.74/0
A. Gaaei n 881.3
0.11/0
00/0
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mika Godts n 888.6
0.54/0
0.43/0
Y. Baas n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Klaassen n 874.9
0.32/0
00/0
O. Gloukh n 867.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
A. Gaaei n 881.3
00/0
0.11/0
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PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven Goalkeeper

PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Kovář40903600 min1253.1 /90561.4 /9000 /90
N. Schiks290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
N. Olij19090 min33 /9011 /9000 /90
PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 890
3.98/7

PSV Eindhoven Defensive

PSV Eindhoven — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Schouten39853326 min611.7 /90711.9 /90150.4 /901464 /90371 /9070.2 /90
Mauro Júnior35802795 min822.6 /90431.4 /9080.3 /901705.5 /90240.8 /9060.2 /90
Yarek Gasiorowski34752563 min341.2 /90451.6 /90270.9 /901144 /90230.8 /9030.1 /90
S. Dest33832723 min672.2 /90170.6 /9060.2 /901856.1 /90220.7 /9040.1 /90
R. Flamingo29611769 min351.8 /90231.2 /90170.9 /901085.5 /90231.2 /9040.2 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kovář n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. Schouten n 881.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
I. Perišić n 871.4
0.94/2
0.53/0
—
Joey Veerman n 876.1
0.62/2
0.32/0
—
G. Til n 881.9
1.55/4
1.46/3
Mika Godts
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PSV Eindhoven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Schouten n 881.8
2.68/7
I. Perišić n 871.4
1.65/4
Joey Veerman n 876.1
2.77/5
G. Til n 881.9
1.25/3
I. Saibari n 888
1.26/2
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PSV Eindhoven Attacking

PSV Eindhoven — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
G. Til36752712 min160.5 /9070.2 /90511.7 /90331.1 /90491.6 /9040.1 /90
C. Driouech30371109 min80.6 /9060.5 /90362.9 /90181.5 /90262.1 /90131.1 /90
E. Bajraktarevic27451204 min70.5 /9030.2 /90282.1 /90191.4 /90211.6 /90221.6 /90
R. Pepi26541409 min151 /9010.1 /90432.7 /90312 /90161 /90140.9 /90
M. Boadu842334 min20.5 /9000 /90123.2 /9071.9 /9041.1 /9041.1 /90
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PSV Eindhoven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Kovář n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schouten n 881.8
0.63/1
0.11/0
I. Perišić n 871.4
1.75/3
1.15/1
Joey Veerman n 876.1
0.94/1
0.43/0
G. Til n 881.9
1.85/4
1.25/2
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PSV Eindhoven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PSV Eindhoven before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Kovář n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Schouten n 881.8
00/0
00/0
I. Perišić n 871.4
0.21/0
0.64/0
Joey Veerman n 876.1
00/0
0.43/0
G. Til n 881.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
49%Possession51%
0.95Expected goals (xG)1.80
13Shots7
4Shots on target2
5Shots off target3
4Blocked shots2
6Shots inside the box5
6Corners4
1Offsides0
7Fouls14
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
475Passes502
84%Pass accuracy86%

Ajax Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Paes9000000006.5
A. Gaaei9010331107.3
J. Šutalo9000001107
Y. Baas9000100006.2
Lucas Rosa9000000206.6
J. Mokio9000101306.6
Mika Godts9011112007.7
K. Itakura8200000106.2
K. Dolberg8200000106.7
Y. Regeer7100100306.7
S. Berghuis7100103107.3
Sean Steur sub19000010Y6.3
O. Gloukh sub1900100006.6
Rayane Bounida sub800001006.7
Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu sub800000006.7

PSV Eindhoven Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Kovář9000000006.7
K. Sildillia9000001006.3
R. Flamingo9000000107.3
Yarek Gasiorowski9001001407.3
Mauro Júnior9000000206.6
G. Til9000001106.3
C. Driouech86002011Y6.2
E. Bajraktarevic7200001106.9
R. Pepi7210211007.5
P. Wanner6000000206.3
Joey Veerman5900000306.7
N. Fernandez sub3100000206.3
S. Dest sub3000000007
D. Man sub18000000Y6.3
M. Boadu sub1810110006.9
J. van den Berg sub800000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ajax v PSV Eindhoven — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AjaxWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
PSV EindhovenLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ajax 2 · 3 draws · PSV Eindhoven 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-09-21 PSV Eindhoven 2–2 Ajax
  • 2025-03-30 PSV Eindhoven 0–2 Ajax
  • 2024-11-02 Ajax 3–2 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2024-02-03 Ajax 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2023-10-29 PSV Eindhoven 5–2 Ajax
  • 2023-04-30 Ajax 1–1 PSV Eindhoven
League standing · 2025/26
Ajax#5 pos56 pts34 pl+21 GD
PSV Eindhoven#1 pos84 pts34 pl+56 GD
Goals per game
Ajax scored1.82
PSV Eindhoven scored2.97
Ajax conceded1.21
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ajax v PSV Eindhoven?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v PSV Eindhoven was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and PSV Eindhoven?
In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 2, PSV Eindhoven won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ajax and PSV Eindhoven?
Recent form — Ajax 3W 1D 1L; PSV Eindhoven 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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