Ajax v Utrecht result
Team pages: Ajax · Utrecht · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Ajax 1–2 Utrecht — Utrecht won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.
The result
Utrecht won 2–1 at Johan Cruijff Arena in the Eredivisie on Sunday 10 May. Ajax have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Utrecht: N. Vesterlund (81’, assisted by Gjivai Zechiël) and M. van der Hoorn (90’, assisted by Souffian El Karouani); Ajax: Wout Weghorst (84’, assisted by Rayane Bounida).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. van der Hoorn’s goal on 90 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Ajax 0.00, Utrecht 0.00, from 15 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).
Discipline
J. Manschot showed four yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Ajax: Steven Berghuis (4’) and Sean Steur (88’); Utrecht: J. Karlsson (15’) and Dani de Wit (38’).
What it changes
Ajax stay fourth after this result (33 league matches played).
Utrecht move up from seventh to sixth (33 league matches played).
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gjivai Zechiël (Utrecht) 8.8, Souffian El Karouani (Utrecht) 7.0 and Anton Gaaei (Ajax) 6.9 led the match.
Head-to-head
Utrecht are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Ajax.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Ajax next travel to Twente on 8 November 2026.
Utrecht next host NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Ajax: Twente v Ajax, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Ajax 1–2 Utrecht · Eredivisie
- Venue: Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam
- Referee: J. Manschot
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Ajax 2 · draws 1 · Utrecht 3 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Ajax 2W 2D 1L · Utrecht 3W 0D 2L
Ajax 1–2 Utrecht (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Ajax for / against | Line | Utrecht for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.88 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.88 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.63 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 6.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.38 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11 for · 9.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: J. Manschot — 2.73 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 16.82 fouls over 11 matches.
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Ajax
Ajax Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Jaroš | 26 | 902341 min | 883.4 /90 | 421.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Paes | 9 | 90810 min | 252.8 /90 | 91 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. Pasveer | 7 | 90630 min | 263.7 /90 | 172.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Jaroš n 8 | 90.1 | 3.7 |
| M. Paes n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| R. Pasveer n 8 | 90 | 3.6 |
Ajax Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Baas | 38 | 883355 min | 742 /90 | 471.3 /90 | 411.1 /90 | 1875 /90 | 320.9 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| A. Gaaei | 31 | 712195 min | 351.4 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 833.4 /90 | 271.1 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| Lucas Rosa | 29 | 802319 min | 783 /90 | 451.7 /90 | 160.6 /90 | 1535.9 /90 | 351.4 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| J. Šutalo | 28 | 782181 min | 140.6 /90 | 482 /90 | 130.5 /90 | 943.9 /90 | 100.4 /90 | 10 /90 |
| J. Mokio | 28 | 581635 min | 603.3 /90 | 241.3 /90 | 100.6 /90 | 1136.2 /90 | 181 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 88.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | D. de Wit |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.6 | S. El Karouani |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 58.9 | 0.8 | 0.8 | G. Zechiël |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | S. El Karouani |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 88.6 | 1.4 |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 1.5 |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 2.1 |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 58.9 | 0.8 |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 1.7 |
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Ajax Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts | 39 | 813171 min | 170.5 /90 | 130.4 /90 | 722 /90 | 411.2 /90 | 832.4 /90 | 952.7 /90 |
| W. Weghorst | 26 | 741929 min | 80.4 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 361.7 /90 | 150.7 /90 | 351.6 /90 | 60.3 /90 |
| K. Dolberg | 22 | 611338 min | 50.3 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 292 /90 | 140.9 /90 | 110.7 /90 | 100.7 /90 |
| Rayane Bounida | 20 | 511020 min | 20.2 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 211.9 /90 | 111 /90 | 363.2 /90 | 252.2 /90 |
| S. Berghuis | 16 | 641023 min | 40.4 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 292.6 /90 | 151.3 /90 | 312.7 /90 | 50.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 88.6 | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 58.9 | 1 | 0.6 |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts n 8 | 88.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Y. Baas n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. Klaassen n 8 | 74.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| O. Gloukh n 8 | 58.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| A. Gaaei n 8 | 81.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
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Utrecht
Utrecht Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas | 38 | 883357 min | 1333.6 /90 | 511.4 /90 | 10 /90 |
| M. Brouwer | 6 | 71426 min | 163.4 /90 | 71.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas n 8 | 90 | 4.1 |
Utrecht Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. El Karouani | 40 | 833327 min | 1022.8 /90 | 300.8 /90 | 90.2 /90 | 1885.1 /90 | 561.5 /90 | 70.2 /90 |
| M. van der Hoorn | 31 | 822556 min | 291 /90 | 291 /90 | 281 /90 | 1445.1 /90 | 291 /90 | 10 /90 |
| S. Horemans | 29 | 832403 min | 451.7 /90 | 341.3 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 923.4 /90 | 180.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| N. Viergever | 29 | 802327 min | 301.2 /90 | 240.9 /90 | 220.9 /90 | 793.1 /90 | 220.9 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| M. Didden | 27 | 822219 min | 311.3 /90 | 241 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 1134.6 /90 | 321.3 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Engwanda n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0.4 | — |
| S. El Karouani n 8 | 84.3 | 1.3 | 1.2 | A. Gaaei |
| G. Zechiël n 8 | 86.8 | 1 | 1.3 | O. Gloukh |
| V. Barkas n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| D. de Wit n 8 | 89.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | Mika Godts |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Engwanda n 8 | 90 | 2.8 |
| S. El Karouani n 8 | 84.3 | 3.1 |
| G. Zechiël n 8 | 86.8 | 1.2 |
| D. de Wit n 8 | 89.9 | 2.3 |
| M. van der Hoorn n 8 | 85.3 | 0.8 |
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Utrecht Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Rodríguez | 31 | 662052 min | 50.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 441.9 /90 | 221 /90 | 261.1 /90 | 271.2 /90 |
| S. Haller | 22 | 561225 min | 10.1 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 211.5 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 171.2 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| A. Blake | 22 | 541192 min | 30.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 262 /90 | 131 /90 | 171.3 /90 | 171.3 /90 |
| D. Min | 19 | 51974 min | 30.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 201.8 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 100.9 /90 | 121.1 /90 |
| A. Stepanov | 12 | 68811 min | 40.4 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 212.3 /90 | 91 /90 | 60.7 /90 | 80.9 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Engwanda n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| S. El Karouani n 8 | 84.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| G. Zechiël n 8 | 86.8 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| V. Barkas n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. de Wit n 8 | 89.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Engwanda n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| S. El Karouani n 8 | 84.3 | 0 | 0 |
| G. Zechiël n 8 | 86.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| V. Barkas n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| D. de Wit n 8 | 89.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Ajax | Utrecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 64% | Possession | 36% |
| 15 | Shots | 14 |
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 7 | Shots off target | 3 |
| 2 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 10 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 662 | Passes | 367 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 81% |
Ajax Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Paes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| A. Gaaei | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Šutalo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Y. Baas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Lucas Rosa | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Mika Godts | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| J. Mokio | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| Y. Regeer | 73 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. Berghuis | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.7 |
| O. Gloukh | 58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| K. Dolberg | 57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| W. Weghorst sub | 33 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. Klaassen sub | 32 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Rayane Bounida sub | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Sean Steur sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.3 |
| O. Edvardsen sub | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Utrecht Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Barkas | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| N. Vesterlund | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.6 |
| M. van der Hoorn | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| S. El Karouani | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Engwanda | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.2 |
| G. Zechiël | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.3 |
| D. de Wit | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | Y | 7.2 |
| Y. Cathline | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| S. Haller | 75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| M. Eerdhuijzen | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Karlsson | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 6 |
| N. Viergever sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| A. Blake sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Min sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| S. Horemans sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Ajax v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-09 Utrecht 2–1 Ajax
- 2025-04-20 Utrecht 4–0 Ajax
- 2024-12-04 Ajax 2–2 Utrecht
- 2024-03-03 Ajax 2–0 Utrecht
- 2023-10-22 Utrecht 4–3 Ajax
- 2023-05-21 Ajax 3–1 Utrecht
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Ajax v Utrecht?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Ajax v Utrecht was Both teams to score: Yes.
- What is the head-to-head record between Ajax and Utrecht?
- In their last 6 meetings, Ajax won 2, Utrecht won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Ajax and Utrecht?
- Recent form — Ajax 2W 2D 1L; Utrecht 3W 0D 2L.
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