ExcelsiorUtrecht

Excelsior v Utrecht result

Full-time · Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht

Eredivisie · · Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Excelsior · Utrecht · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht — Utrecht won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.63 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Utrecht won 2–1 at Van Donge & De Roo Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 13 September. Excelsior have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. Utrecht have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Utrecht led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Utrecht: Artem Stepanov (36’) and Dani de Wit (90’); Excelsior: Aymen Sliti (77’, assisted by Ágúst Þorsteinsson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dani de Wit’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Excelsior 0.61, Utrecht 1.42, from 10 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands showed two yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Excelsior: Valentin Sulzbacher (71’) and Mario Domínguez (85’).

What it changes

Excelsior move down from fourth to sixth (six league matches played). Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Excelsior have conceded 28 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs.

Utrecht move up from 15th to 13th (six league matches played). Utrecht have scored 19 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Utrecht have conceded 31 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Aymen Sliti (Excelsior) 5.6, Dani de Wit (Utrecht) 5.6 and Jan Plug (Excelsior) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Excelsior next host GO Ahead Eagles on 7 November 2026.

Utrecht next host NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Excelsior: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion · Rotterdam
  • Referee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Excelsior 1 · draws 2 · Utrecht 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Excelsior 3W 1D 1L · Utrecht 0W 2D 3L

Excelsior 1–2 Utrecht (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.25 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.63 / 4.14
Corners
against 3.75 / 6.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.63 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 6.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
0.88 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.63 / 0.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4 yellows
Referee · Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands
20.38 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameExcelsior for / againstLineUtrecht for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.14 for · 6.86 against n 7
Shots
14 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.14 for · 17.57 against n 7
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.71 for · 6.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
12 for · 6.5 against n 8
21.5standard
15.57 for · 9.43 against n 7
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 0.86 against n 7

Referee: Sander van der Eijk, Netherlands — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 20.38 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel490360 min102.5 /9051.3 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
2.54/4

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Plug490360 min92.3 /9061.5 /9030.8 /90143.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
R. Meissen490360 min71.8 /9051.3 /9041 /90143.5 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
S. Janssen473291 min82.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90134 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90
C. Widell472286 min30.9 /9061.9 /9051.6 /90123.8 /9051.6 /9000 /90
N. Martens260119 min21.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Meissen n 882.6
1.85/4
0.42/1
D. de Wit
J. Plug n 490
0.83/0
00/0
A. Zagré
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Irakli Yegoian n 886.4
0.96/1
14/3
—
L. Hartjes n 886.4
1.25/3
0.54/0
—
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Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Plug n 490
2.34/2
R. Meissen n 882.6
1.67/4
Irakli Yegoian n 886.4
2.68/7
L. Hartjes n 886.4
1.86/5
S. Janssen n 862.3
2.27/2
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Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
David Garden469276 min20.7 /9000 /9051.6 /9031 /9031 /9031 /90
A. Sliti436142 min10.6 /9010.6 /9053.2 /9031.9 /9021.3 /9010.6 /90
N. Groen42184 min11.1 /9000 /9044.3 /9022.1 /9022.1 /9033.2 /90
I. Silva Timas350149 min00 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9042.4 /9000 /90
Á. Þorsteinsson267134 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /90
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Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Meissen n 882.6
0.53/1
0.32/0
J. Plug n 490
0.31/0
00/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 886.4
1.87/4
0.86/0
L. Hartjes n 886.4
0.73/1
0.32/0
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Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Meissen n 882.6
00/0
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Plug n 490
00/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 886.4
0.32/0
0.43/0
L. Hartjes n 886.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Utrecht

Utrecht Goalkeeper

Utrecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
V. Barkas490360 min184.5 /90164 /9000 /90
M. Brouwer19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 890
3.67/5
M. Brouwer n 875.8
3.16/5

Utrecht Defensive

Utrecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Horemans578388 min112.6 /9071.6 /9030.7 /90266 /9040.9 /9010.2 /90
M. Didden375225 min31.2 /9000 /9031.2 /90135.2 /9062.4 /9000 /90
N. Nwankwo281162 min21.1 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9042.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
M. Eerdhuijzen268135 min10.7 /9032 /9000 /9032 /9032 /9000 /90
P. Kloosterboer22652 min11.7 /9011.7 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /90
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Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. de Wit n 884.6
2.47/6
1.66/4
R. Meissen
A. Zagré n 775.3
1.44/1
0.94/1
J. Plug
S. Horemans n 858.5
13/1
0.42/0
—
Ángel Alarcón n 875.8
1.34/3
0.93/2
—
Y. Cathline n 874.4
0.95/1
1.55/2
—
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Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. de Wit n 884.6
27/4
A. Zagré n 775.3
2.76/5
S. Horemans n 858.5
2.97/5
Ángel Alarcón n 875.8
14/3
Y. Cathline n 874.4
1.77/2
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Utrecht Attacking

Utrecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ángel Alarcón577387 min00 /9000 /9061.4 /9030.7 /9061.4 /9061.4 /90
Y. Cathline565326 min00 /9020.6 /9030.8 /9000 /9051.4 /9020.6 /90
A. Blake529147 min21.2 /9000 /9063.7 /9031.8 /9000 /9053.1 /90
A. Stepanov384253 min31.1 /9000 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9031.1 /9000 /90
Artem Stepanov290180 min21 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9021 /90
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Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. de Wit n 884.6
1.24/3
0.83/2
A. Zagré n 775.3
0.52/1
0.21/0
S. Horemans n 858.5
0.83/1
00/0
Ángel Alarcón n 875.8
1.35/3
0.63/1
Y. Cathline n 874.4
1.56/2
0.62/1
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Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. de Wit n 884.6
0.32/0
00/0
A. Zagré n 775.3
00/0
00/0
S. Horemans n 858.5
00/0
00/0
Ángel Alarcón n 875.8
00/0
0.11/0
Y. Cathline n 874.4
00/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ExcelsiorUtrecht
56%Possession44%
0.61Expected goals (xG)1.42
10Shots12
4Shots on target6
3Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
8Shots inside the box8
5Corners2
1Offsides2
9Fouls8
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
4Saves3
534Passes435
83%Pass accuracy78%

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000006.7
Irakli Yegoian9000001006.2
C. Widell9000101206.3
A. Sliti9010321107.7
J. Plug9000110207.5
R. Meissen9000001207.2
L. Hartjes8500000206.3
Á. Þorsteinsson8001111006.9
K. Bos7000001206.5
Eric da Silva Moreira7000001106.7
David Garden7000000006.3
V. Sulzbacher sub20000000Y6.5
S. Janssen sub2000000006.5
Mario Domínguez sub20000000Y6.2
Giulliano Cairo sub1200000106.5
Alireza Jahanbakhsh sub1000100006.9

Utrecht Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. van den Berg9000102307.2
N. Panagiotou9000000006.7
S. Horemans9000000106.9
M. Didden9000000007.2
D. de Wit9010112107.3
V. Barkas9000000006.3
A. Zagré8900112106.7
N. Vesterlund8100000006.2
Artem Stepanov6210110007.2
A. Blake6200320107
Ángel Alarcón6200211006.3
M. Broholm sub2800000006.7
Y. Cathline sub2800100006.9
S. van Duijn sub2800000006.2
J. van Overeem sub900000006.5
J. Medić sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Excelsior v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ExcelsiorWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
UtrechtLLDLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.8 scored / 3.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Excelsior 1 · 2 draws · Utrecht 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht
  • 2025-08-24 Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior
  • 2024-01-27 Excelsior 1–1 Utrecht
  • 2023-11-12 Utrecht 2–2 Excelsior
  • 2023-01-25 Utrecht 1–0 Excelsior
  • 2022-10-02 Excelsior 0–1 Utrecht
League standing · 2026/27
Excelsior#15 pos11 pts11 pl-12 GD
Utrecht#12 pos12 pts11 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Excelsior scored1.45
Utrecht scored1.73
Excelsior conceded2.55
Utrecht conceded2.82

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Excelsior v Utrecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Excelsior v Utrecht was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.63 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and Utrecht?
In their last 6 meetings, Excelsior won 1, Utrecht won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Excelsior and Utrecht?
Recent form — Excelsior 3W 1D 1L; Utrecht 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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