Fortuna Sittard v Ajax result

Full-time · Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax

Eredivisie · Sat, 12 Sep 2026 19:00 BST · Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fortuna Sittard · Ajax · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax — Ajax won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.40 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Ajax won 5–1 at Fortuna Sittard Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 12 September. Ajax have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Ajax led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Ajax: Julian Brandt (35’), T. Kehrer (62’), Davy Klaassen (73’, assisted by T. Kehrer), K. Dolberg (79’, assisted by Oscar Gloukh) and Youri Baas (90’, assisted by Viktor Tsygankov); Fortuna Sittard: Anthony Descotte (52’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Kehrer’s goal on 62 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Fortuna Sittard 0.71, Ajax 4.13, from 8 shots to 27 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands showed six yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Fortuna Sittard: Lequincio Zeefuik (44’); Ajax: Jorthy Mokio (6’), Youri Baas (23’), Steven Berghuis (64’), Caio Henrique (71’) and A. Ouazane (81’).

What it changes

Fortuna Sittard move down from fourth to seventh (six league matches played). Fortuna Sittard have scored 12 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Fortuna Sittard have conceded 14 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Ajax move down from fourth to fifth (five league matches played). Ajax have scored 14 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Ajax have conceded six goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Kehrer (Ajax) 9.7, Anthony Descotte (Fortuna Sittard) 5.5 and Julian Brandt (Ajax) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ajax are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Fortuna Sittard, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Fortuna Sittard next travel to GO Ahead Eagles on 22 November 2026.

Ajax next host ADO Den Haag on 22 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Fortuna Sittard: GO Ahead Eagles v Fortuna Sittard, Sunday 22 November — the preview. Next for Ajax: Ajax v ADO Den Haag, Sunday 22 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax · Eredivisie
Venue: Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Sittard
Referee: Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Fortuna Sittard 0 · draws 2 · Ajax 4 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Fortuna Sittard 3W 1D 1L · Ajax 3W 1D 1L

Fortuna Sittard 1–5 Ajax (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.88

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 7.38

Corners

against 6.88 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 8.25

Shots on target

against 5.5 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands

20.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 6 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 6 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Fortuna Sittard for / against	Line	Ajax for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.63 for · 6.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	9.75 for · 18 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	22.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	8.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.38 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 20.33 fouls over 9 matches.

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Fortuna Sittard

Fortuna Sittard Goalkeeper

Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Branderhorst	5	90450 min	214.2 /90	91.8 /90	00 /90

Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Branderhorst n 8	90	3.6 5/5

Fortuna Sittard Defensive

Fortuna Sittard — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Justin Quincy Hubner	5	90450 min	40.8 /90	51 /90	40.8 /90	142.8 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
Ivo Pinto	5	81405 min	61.3 /90	20.4 /90	71.6 /90	132.9 /90	20.4 /90	00 /90
J. Dahlhaus	5	73363 min	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	82 /90	41 /90	10.2 /90
S. van Ottele	4	63251 min	62.2 /90	51.8 /90	20.7 /90	124.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90
N. de Groot	4	30121 min	43 /90	00 /90	10.7 /90	86 /90	10.7 /90	00 /90
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Fortuna Sittard — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Justin Quincy Hubner n 8	84.4	0.8 3/1	0.3 2/0	Caio Henrique
M. Branderhorst n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
P. Brittijn n 8	84.8	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1	Caio Henrique
L. Zeefuik n 5	84	2.4 5/2	2.1 5/4	S. Berghuis
Ivo Pinto n 8	65.9	0.5 3/0	0.9 4/1	Caio Henrique
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Fortuna Sittard — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Justin Quincy Hubner n 8	84.4	1.1 5/2
P. Brittijn n 8	84.8	0.8 5/1
L. Zeefuik n 5	84	0.4 2/0
Ivo Pinto n 8	65.9	1.9 8/3
J. Dahlhaus n 8	77.8	1.3 5/1
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Fortuna Sittard Attacking

Fortuna Sittard — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Zeefuik	5	84420 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	71.5 /90	40.9 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
A. Descotte	4	54216 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	31.3 /90	20.8 /90	20.8 /90
O. Romeny	2	81162 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	52.8 /90	42.2 /90	10.6 /90	42.2 /90
P. Brittijn	5	88439 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
É. Michut	5	69344 min	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	51.3 /90	20.5 /90
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Fortuna Sittard — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Justin Quincy Hubner n 8	84.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Branderhorst n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Brittijn n 8	84.8	0.5 2/2	0.4 2/1
L. Zeefuik n 5	84	1.5 4/1	0.9 3/1
Ivo Pinto n 8	65.9	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Fortuna Sittard — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Fortuna Sittard before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Branderhorst n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Justin Quincy Hubner n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Brittijn n 8	84.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
L. Zeefuik n 5	84	0.6 3/0	0.2 1/0
Ivo Pinto n 8	65.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Ajax

Ajax Goalkeeper

Ajax — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. ter Stegen	6	90540 min	193.2 /90	101.7 /90	00 /90
M. Paes	4	92367 min	92.2 /90	51.2 /90	00 /90

Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. ter Stegen n 6	90	3.2 5/3
M. Paes n 8	90.9	2.2 5/4

Ajax Defensive

Ajax — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Bouwman	10	90901 min	131.3 /90	181.8 /90	30.3 /90	323.2 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
Caio Henrique	9	66593 min	121.8 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90	223.3 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
Y. Baas	7	74519 min	50.9 /90	101.7 /90	20.3 /90	244.2 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90
Lucas Rosa	5	91453 min	153 /90	51 /90	30.6 /90	316.2 /90	51 /90	10.2 /90
A. Gaaei	5	88442 min	132.6 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90	306.1 /90	112.2 /90	20.4 /90
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Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Bouwman n 8	89.8	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0	—
J. Mokio n 8	55.9	1.8 6/2	0.6 2/1	—
S. Berghuis n 8	67.9	0.7 4/0	1.2 5/2	L. Zeefuik
D. Klaassen n 8	68.4	0.7 3/1	0.8 5/0	—
Caio Henrique n 8	71.5	0.8 4/1	0.5 3/0	Ivo Pinto
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Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 8	89.8	1.5 6/2
J. Mokio n 8	55.9	1.4 3/2
S. Berghuis n 8	67.9	1.3 6/2
D. Klaassen n 8	68.4	1.3 6/2
Caio Henrique n 8	71.5	1.7 6/4
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Ajax Attacking

Ajax — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Berghuis	9	70633 min	20.3 /90	50.7 /90	243.4 /90	111.6 /90	213 /90	60.9 /90
Marcos Leonardo	9	37333 min	20.5 /90	00 /90	154.1 /90	61.6 /90	41.1 /90	00 /90
K. Dolberg	6	59355 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	133.3 /90	82 /90	41 /90	00 /90
T. Arokodare	6	46278 min	51.6 /90	20.6 /90	144.5 /90	92.9 /90	51.6 /90	51.6 /90
O. Edvardsen	5	42212 min	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	31.3 /90	20.8 /90	73 /90	10.4 /90
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Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 8	89.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
J. Mokio n 8	55.9	1.4 5/1	0.4 2/0
S. Berghuis n 8	67.9	3.6 8/7	1.7 7/3
D. Klaassen n 8	68.4	1.5 6/3	0.7 4/0
Caio Henrique n 8	71.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ajax before kick-off, to 6 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Bouwman n 8	89.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Mokio n 8	55.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
S. Berghuis n 8	67.9	0.2 1/0	0.8 3/2
D. Klaassen n 8	68.4	0.7 4/0	0 0/0
Caio Henrique n 8	71.5	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Fortuna Sittard		Ajax
35%	Possession	65%
0.71	Expected goals (xG)	4.13
8	Shots	27
4	Shots on target	11
2	Shots off target	12
2	Blocked shots	4
4	Shots inside the box	24
3	Corners	11
2	Offsides	1
5	Fouls	12
1	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
6	Saves	3
331	Passes	621
82%	Pass accuracy	91%

Fortuna Sittard Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Branderhorst	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Ivo Pinto	90	0	0	0	0	5	0	5.9
P. Brittijn	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.2
Rodrigo Guth	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Justin Quincy Hubner	90	0	1	1	1	0	0	5.3
S. 't Zand	90	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.3
O. Romeny	89	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.6
É. Michut	86	0	1	0	1	1	0	7.2
J. Dahlhaus	76	0	0	0	0	3	0	6
M. Ihattaren	76	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
L. Zeefuik	45	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7
A. Descotte sub	45	1	2	2	0	0	0	7.7
S. van Ottele sub	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
N. de Groot sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
Moussa Gbemou sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
K. van Burgsteden sub	8	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6

Ajax Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. ter Stegen	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
A. Gaaei	90	0	0	2	1	3	2	0	7.2
T. Kehrer	90	1	1	2	2	1	2	0	8.2
Y. Baas	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7.3
Caio Henrique	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.9
S. Amrabat	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
J. Brandt	74	1	0	4	4	0	0	0	7.3
T. Arokodare	74	0	0	5	0	2	0	0	6.5
S. Berghuis	68	0	0	1	1	7	0	Y	7
J. Mokio	58	0	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.2
O. Edvardsen	57	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.3
A. Ouazane sub	33	0	0	1	0	2	0	Y	7.2
D. Klaassen sub	32	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.2
V. Tsygankov sub	22	0	1	0	0	3	0	0	7
K. Dolberg sub	16	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.9
O. Gloukh sub	16	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Fortuna Sittard v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Fortuna SittardDWLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

AjaxDWWWL

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Fortuna Sittard 0 · 2 draws · Ajax 4 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-02-14 Ajax 4–1 Fortuna Sittard
2025-12-06 Fortuna Sittard 1–3 Ajax
2025-02-09 Fortuna Sittard 0–2 Ajax
2024-09-18 Ajax 5–0 Fortuna Sittard
2024-03-10 Ajax 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
2023-09-03 Fortuna Sittard 0–0 Ajax

League standing · 2026/27

Fortuna Sittard#7 pos20 pts12 pl0 GD

Ajax#3 pos25 pts12 pl+17 GD

Goals per game

Fortuna Sittard scored1.67

Ajax scored2.67

Fortuna Sittard conceded1.67

Ajax conceded1.25

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Fortuna Sittard v Ajax?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Fortuna Sittard v Ajax was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax?: In their last 6 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 0, Ajax won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Sittard and Ajax?: Recent form — Fortuna Sittard 3W 1D 1L; Ajax 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 1 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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