GroningenNEC Nijmegen

Groningen v NEC Nijmegen result

Full-time · Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie · · Euroborg

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Groningen · NEC Nijmegen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen — Groningen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 571 of 889 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Groningen beat NEC Nijmegen 2–1 at Euroborg in the Eredivisie on Sunday 10 May. NEC Nijmegen have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Groningen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Groningen: Marco Rente (45’, assisted by Y. Taha) and Tygo Land (51’, assisted by Y. Taha); NEC Nijmegen: Darko Nejašmić (76’, assisted by Sami Ouaissa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marco Rente’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Groningen 1.56, NEC Nijmegen 1.08, from 11 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Bos showed three yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Groningen: Tika de Jonge (44’) and Thijmen Blokzijl (90+4’); NEC Nijmegen: Bryan Linssen (66’).

What it changes

Groningen stay ninth after this result (33 league matches played).

NEC Nijmegen stay third after this result (33 league matches played).

NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Darko Nejašmić (NEC Nijmegen) 8.6, Marco Rente (Groningen) 8.5 and Y. Taha (Groningen) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.

NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Groningen: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Euroborg · Groningen
  • Referee: A. Bos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Groningen 2 · draws 1 · NEC Nijmegen 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Groningen 2W 1D 2L · NEC Nijmegen 1W 3D 1L

Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.5 / 7.29
Corners
against 5.63 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.13 / 6.43
Shots on target
against 5 / 5.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 1.71
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.29 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · A. Bos
21.3 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGroningen for / againstLineNEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.25our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
7.29 for · 2.57 against n 7
Shots
17.75 for · 13.38 against n 8
19.5standard
17.71 for · 11.14 against n 7
Shots on target
6.13 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.43 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 9 against n 8
21.5standard
11.57 for · 9.57 against n 7
Cards shown
1.38 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.71 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: A. Bos — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.3 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Groningen

Groningen Goalkeeper

Groningen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Vaessen28862418 min702.6 /90371.4 /9000 /90
H. Jurjus779552 min264.2 /9061 /9000 /90
Groningen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Vaessen n 884.4
2.96/4
H. Jurjus n 880.3
3.97/5

Groningen Defensive

Groningen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Blokzijl33902962 min361.1 /90280.9 /90260.8 /901243.8 /90220.7 /9030.1 /90
M. Peersman32852708 min351.2 /90270.9 /90100.3 /901123.7 /90361.2 /9050.2 /90
D. Janse30882639 min341.2 /90270.9 /90240.8 /901284.4 /90331.1 /9060.2 /90
M. Rente27792125 min401.7 /90291.2 /9090.4 /901466.2 /90170.7 /9030.1 /90
Tyrique Mercera1657905 min282.8 /9070.7 /9060.6 /90585.8 /90161.6 /9010.1 /90
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Groningen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Blokzijl n 888.4
0.64/1
0.11/0
—
T. van Bergen n 890
1.55/4
1.97/5
T. Chery
J. Schreuders n 883.4
0.85/1
0.94/2
K. Sano
M. Peersman n 882.3
14/2
1.46/2
—
Y. Taha n 882
0.85/1
0.84/2
K. Sano
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Groningen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 888.4
1.16/3
T. van Bergen n 890
0.95/2
J. Schreuders n 883.4
1.65/2
M. Peersman n 882.3
1.14/2
Y. Taha n 882
0.74/1
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Groningen Attacking

Groningen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. van Bergen33872882 min100.3 /9040.1 /90742.3 /90381.2 /90300.9 /90311 /90
B. Willumsson25481201 min60.4 /9000 /90312.3 /90191.4 /90171.3 /9010.1 /90
O. Zawada925226 min20.8 /9000 /90124.8 /9041.6 /9020.8 /9000 /90
J. Schreuders33832744 min10 /9030.1 /90250.8 /90160.5 /90381.2 /90270.9 /90
Y. Taha32822619 min60.2 /9070.2 /90702.4 /90391.3 /90712.4 /90301 /90
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Groningen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 888.4
0.32/0
00/0
T. van Bergen n 890
2.98/7
1.38/2
J. Schreuders n 883.4
0.84/2
0.42/1
M. Peersman n 882.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
Y. Taha n 882
38/7
1.57/2
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Groningen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Groningen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Blokzijl n 888.4
00/0
0.11/0
T. van Bergen n 890
0.65/0
0.11/0
J. Schreuders n 883.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Peersman n 882.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Y. Taha n 882
0.11/0
0.43/0
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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz29902610 min973.3 /90461.6 /9010 /90
J. Cillessen792641 min294.1 /90121.7 /9000 /90
R. Janse18484 min33.2 /9022.1 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 890
3.97/6
J. Cillessen n 891.4
4.38/8

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Kaplan29842427 min552 /90271 /90150.6 /902087.7 /90371.4 /90100.4 /90
E. Dasa24831998 min221 /90190.9 /9080.4 /90793.6 /90150.7 /9010 /90
P. Sandler24781871 min190.9 /90241.2 /9080.4 /90924.4 /90291.4 /9070.3 /90
Deveron Fonville23611397 min473 /90130.8 /90120.8 /90956.1 /90130.8 /9030.2 /90
B. Pereira21611278 min493.5 /90141 /9040.3 /901127.9 /90231.6 /9020.1 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Sano n 888
1.47/2
0.84/1
Y. Taha
S. Ouaissa n 888
15/2
1.58/3
—
T. Chery n 890.4
0.65/0
15/2
T. van Bergen
B. Linssen n 876.6
0.95/1
0.31/1
—
B. Önal n 877.9
0.43/0
15/2
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Sano n 888
1.56/4
S. Ouaissa n 888
1.38/2
T. Chery n 890.4
0.11/0
B. Linssen n 876.6
0.11/0
B. Önal n 877.9
16/1
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Chery33832735 min90.3 /9070.2 /90702.3 /90421.4 /90551.8 /90210.7 /90
B. Linssen33702307 min130.5 /9070.3 /90632.5 /90331.3 /90401.6 /9060.2 /90
Koki Ogawa24551310 min90.6 /9030.2 /90312.1 /90191.3 /90171.2 /9060.4 /90
N. Lebreton23671531 min50.3 /9060.4 /90321.9 /90201.2 /90241.4 /90221.3 /90
V. Misidjan1743724 min10.1 /9020.2 /9081 /9040.5 /90101.2 /9081 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sano n 888
15/2
0.43/0
S. Ouaissa n 888
1.76/4
16/2
T. Chery n 890.4
1.55/3
0.63/1
B. Linssen n 876.6
3.17/6
1.66/3
B. Önal n 877.9
16/1
0.64/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Sano n 888
00/0
0.43/0
S. Ouaissa n 888
0.11/0
0.43/0
T. Chery n 890.4
0.21/1
0.22/0
B. Linssen n 876.6
0.74/1
00/0
B. Önal n 877.9
0.43/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GroningenNEC Nijmegen
50%Possession50%
1.56Expected goals (xG)1.08
11Shots12
7Shots on target3
2Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box5
5Corners6
6Offsides4
16Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves5
357Passes361
72%Pass accuracy73%

Groningen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Vaessen9000000006
M. Rente9010111308.2
T. Blokzijl90000001Y7.6
D. Janse9000000206.3
M. Peersman9000000106.6
T. de Jonge90001111Y6.3
J. Schreuders9000320106.9
T. van Bergen9000111007
T. Land8210110108
D. van der Werff6900003007.2
Y. Taha6902112207.5
Wouter Prins sub2100100006.2
T. Hernes sub2100000006.5
R. Metu sub800001006.3

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Crettaz9000001007.3
Deveron Fonville9000000506.9
S. Ouaissa9001001106.3
D. Nejašmić9010210208.6
N. Lebreton9000101006.5
K. Sano9000001107
T. Chery7100110006.2
B. Linssen71001001Y6.3
E. Dasa6000000006.5
B. Nuytinck6000000106.2
P. Sandler6000001006.9
B. Pereira sub3000100006.3
B. Önal sub3000000006.5
Danilo sub3000111006.7
Koki Ogawa sub1900000006.9
Y. El Kachati sub1900000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Groningen v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GroningenWWDLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
NEC NijmegenWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Groningen 2 · 1 draw · NEC Nijmegen 3 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-09 NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Groningen
  • 2025-02-08 Groningen 2–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2024-11-03 NEC Nijmegen 6–0 Groningen
  • 2023-04-25 Groningen 0–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2022-08-26 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Groningen
  • 2022-03-12 Groningen 4–3 NEC Nijmegen
League standing · 2025/26
Groningen#9 pos48 pts34 pl+4 GD
NEC Nijmegen#3 pos59 pts34 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Groningen scored1.44
NEC Nijmegen scored2.26
Groningen conceded1.32
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.56

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Groningen v NEC Nijmegen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Groningen v NEC Nijmegen was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and NEC Nijmegen?
In their last 6 meetings, Groningen won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Groningen and NEC Nijmegen?
Recent form — Groningen 2W 1D 2L; NEC Nijmegen 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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