GroningenUtrecht

Groningen v Utrecht result

Full-time · Groningen 2–1 Utrecht

Eredivisie · · Euroborg

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Groningen 2–1 Utrecht — Groningen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.80 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Groningen beat Utrecht 2–1 at Euroborg in the Eredivisie on Sunday 9 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Utrecht, from fewer shots (14 to 16), created the better chances, 2.27 xG to 1.55 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Groningen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Groningen: Brynjólfur Willumsson (8’) and Thom van Bergen (48’); Utrecht: Adrian Blake (80’, assisted by Davy van den Berg).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thom van Bergen’s goal on 48 minutes.

Discipline

Joey Kooij, Netherlands showed two yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Utrecht: Dani de Wit (84’) and Joris van Overeem (88’).

What it changes

Groningen are fourth (shared) after this result (one league match played). Groningen have scored 26 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Groningen have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Utrecht are 13th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Utrecht have scored 19 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games). Utrecht have conceded 31 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thom van Bergen (Groningen) 7.9, Brynjólfur Willumsson (Groningen) 6.7 and David van der Werff (Groningen) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Groningen next travel to AZ Alkmaar on 8 November 2026.

Utrecht next host NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Groningen: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Groningen 2–1 Utrecht · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Euroborg · Groningen
  • Referee: Joey Kooij, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Groningen 1 · draws 0 · Utrecht 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Groningen 2W 0D 3L · Utrecht 4W 1D 0L

Groningen 2–1 Utrecht (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5 / 5.43
Corners
against 5.88 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.13 / 7
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 5.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.5 / 1.29
Cards
against 0.63 / 1.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.25 yellows
Referee · Joey Kooij, Netherlands
22.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameGroningen for / againstLineUtrecht for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.43 for · 5 against n 7
Shots
14.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.57 for · 14.29 against n 7
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
7 for · 5.43 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.57 for · 8.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.29 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: Joey Kooij, Netherlands — 3.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 22.5 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
GroningenUtrecht
59%Possession41%
1.55Expected goals (xG)2.27
16Shots14
5Shots on target7
4Shots off target7
7Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box12
5Corners1
1Offsides4
12Fouls17
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
6Saves3
449Passes306
81%Pass accuracy74%

Groningen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Vaessen9000002008.6
J. Schreuders9000100306.2
T. Blokzijl9000000107.3
T. de Jonge9000100006
T. Land9000003007.3
D. van der Werff9000004208.7
T. van Bergen9010421207.6
P. Clement8100001007
B. Willumsson8110330207.3
Wouter Prins7100000006.3
M. Rente3000000106.9
E. van der Laan sub6000000006.7
Tyrique Mercera sub1900000106.3
T. Hernes sub900001006.9
R. Metu sub900000106.7

Utrecht Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Brouwer9000000006.6
N. Vesterlund9000113306.6
M. Eerdhuijzen9000311005.9
A. Zagré9000005307.3
D. de Wit90002201Y6.3
J. van Overeem90001001Y6.7
Ángel Alarcón8400320005.9
S. Horemans7000001206.5
F. Pohl6200000206.3
D. Min6200001006.3
Y. Cathline6200100406.6
D. van den Berg sub2801002006.9
Zidane Iqbal sub2800002007
A. Blake sub2810210007.9
G. Offerhaus sub2000000107.2
K. Paredes sub1300100006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Groningen v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
GroningenLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
UtrechtWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Groningen 1 · 0 draws · Utrecht 5 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-02-14 Groningen 1–2 Utrecht
  • 2025-09-14 Utrecht 0–1 Groningen
  • 2025-04-13 Utrecht 3–1 Groningen
  • 2024-10-20 Groningen 0–1 Utrecht
  • 2023-04-07 Groningen 1–2 Utrecht
  • 2022-11-06 Utrecht 2–1 Groningen
League standing · 2026/27
Groningen#8 pos15 pts11 pl+2 GD
Utrecht#12 pos12 pts11 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Groningen scored2.36
Utrecht scored1.73
Groningen conceded2.18
Utrecht conceded2.82

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Groningen v Utrecht?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Groningen v Utrecht was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.80 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Utrecht?
In their last 6 meetings, Groningen won 1, Utrecht won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Groningen and Utrecht?
Recent form — Groningen 2W 0D 3L; Utrecht 4W 1D 0L.

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