Heerenveen v Excelsior result

Full-time · Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior

Eredivisie · · Abe Lenstra Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Heerenveen · Excelsior · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior — Heerenveen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.22 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.4% of 4561 landed (95% range 76.2–78.6%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Heerenveen beat Excelsior 4–0 at Abe Lenstra Stadion in the Eredivisie on Friday 16 October. Excelsior are winless in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Heerenveen led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Heerenveen: Dylan Vente (11’ pen), Oliver Braude (54’, assisted by Jacob Trenskow), Luca Oyen (84’, assisted by Ringo Meerveld) and Jacob Trenskow (88’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dylan Vente’s goal on 11 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Heerenveen 2.80, Excelsior 0.72, from 14 shots to 5 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Excelsior: Ágúst Þorsteinsson (43’).

What it changes

Heerenveen move up from 10th to eighth (nine league matches played).

Excelsior move down from ninth to 10th (nine league matches played).

Heerenveen’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 9, across nine matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jacob Trenskow (Heerenveen) 8.3, Oliver Braude (Heerenveen) 5.6 and Dylan Vente (Heerenveen) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Heerenveen or Excelsior (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.4% of the time in the last 90 days (3530 of 4561).

Next up

Heerenveen next travel to ADO Den Haag on 24 October 2026.

Excelsior next travel to Fortuna Sittard on 25 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Heerenveen: ADO Den Haag v Heerenveen, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Excelsior: Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior, Sunday 25 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion · Heerenveen
  • Referee: Robin Hensgens
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Heerenveen 3 · draws 1 · Excelsior 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Heerenveen 1W 1D 3L · Excelsior 1W 2D 2L

Heerenveen 4–0 Excelsior (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.13 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHeerenveen for / againstLineExcelsior for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5our book
2 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
15.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.63 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 7 against n 8
Cards shown
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8

Referee: Robin Hensgens.

Heerenveen
Heerenveen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Proper n 856.6
26/2
0.63/0
—
Roberts Uldriķis n 835.9
1.94/2
0.91/1
—
M. Farji n 823.1
1.93/1
3.45/1
—
L. Smans n 850.4
1.84/3
24/3
—
N. Hopland n 849.6
1.83/2
0.51/1
—
Heerenveen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rivera n 863.6
3.47/6
2.37/5
D. Vente n 884.1
2.36/6
0.84/2
Roberts Uldriķis n 835.9
1.94/2
0.31/0
L. Oyen n 832
1.84/1
1.44/0
J. Trenskow n 886
1.46/3
15/2
Heerenveen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Smans n 850.4
00/0
0.93/1
L. Oyen n 832
0.41/0
0.41/0
M. Rivera n 863.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Trenskow n 886
0.43/0
0.11/0
M. Farji n 823.1
0.51/0
00/0
Heerenveen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Egbring n 830.5
3.33/2
S. Kersten n 884.5
2.57/5
H. Petrov n 828.3
2.44/2
M. Farji n 823.1
2.44/1
L. Smans n 850.4
2.26/3
Heerenveen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Klaverboer n 890
2.66/4
Excelsior
Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Groen n 620.2
4.55/1
00/0
—
Alireza Jahanbakhsh n 818.4
3.14/1
00/0
—
Giulliano Cairo n 39.7
3.11/0
00/0
—
V. Sulzbacher n 837.4
36/4
0.62/0
—
N. Naujoks n 884.5
1.78/3
0.84/2
—
Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mario Domínguez n 811.1
5.12/2
11/0
N. Groen n 620.2
33/1
1.52/0
A. Sliti n 856
2.46/4
1.24/2
Alireza Jahanbakhsh n 818.4
2.44/0
0.61/0
N. Naujoks n 884.5
26/5
1.15/3
Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Irakli Yegoian n 864
0.42/0
0.53/0
A. Sliti n 856
0.63/0
0.21/0
N. Groen n 620.2
0.71/0
00/0
N. Naujoks n 884.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
I. Silva Timas n 741.9
0.31/0
0.31/0
Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giulliano Cairo n 39.7
9.32/1
D. van Vianen n 761.9
3.15/2
V. Sulzbacher n 837.4
2.75/3
K. Bos n 848.5
2.66/3
J. Plug n 890
2.38/6
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
3.45/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HeerenveenExcelsior
52%Possession48%
2.80Expected goals (xG)0.72
14Shots5
7Shots on target1
6Shots off target3
1Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box3
4Corners1
3Offsides0
9Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
518Passes489

Heerenveen player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Klaverboer9000000006.7
O. Braude9010112008.6
S. Kersten9000000107.4
V. Zagaritis9000001007.3
M. Linday9000001307
J. Trenskow9011511109
M. Willemsen8600001107.7
N. Courtens8200000306.3
L. Smans8200112007.1
D. Vente8210411006.8
M. Rivera7300111006.5
M. Farji1700001106.6
Roberts Uldriķis800110006.7
L. Oyen810110007.4
R. Meerveld801001007.1
H. Petrov400000007

Excelsior player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000005.6
C. Widell9000100006
J. Plug9000000306.3
Irakli Yegoian9000111306.2
R. Meissen9000000205.9
L. Hartjes9000101206.5
Eric da Silva Moreira7700000205.7
S. Janssen6600001006.1
A. Sliti6600001006.3
Á. Þorsteinsson66000000Y6.1
David Garden4500100006.4
Mario Domínguez4500100106.5
O. Turay2400000005.7
V. Sulzbacher2400000105.9
I. Silva Timas2400000006.2
N. Naujoks1300000005.8

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Heerenveen v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HeerenveenLLDWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ExcelsiorWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Heerenveen 3 · 1 draw · Excelsior 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 Excelsior 1–2 Heerenveen
  • 2025-10-04 Heerenveen 2–1 Excelsior
  • 2024-01-19 Excelsior 3–0 Heerenveen
  • 2023-09-23 Heerenveen 0–3 Excelsior
  • 2023-05-13 Heerenveen 0–0 Excelsior
  • 2022-11-05 Excelsior 0–1 Heerenveen
League standing · 2026/27
Heerenveen#8 pos12 pts9 pl+4 GD
Excelsior#10 pos11 pts9 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Heerenveen scored1.67
Excelsior scored1.78
Heerenveen conceded1.22
Excelsior conceded2

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Heerenveen v Excelsior?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Heerenveen v Excelsior was Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and Excelsior?
In their last 6 meetings, Heerenveen won 3, Excelsior won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heerenveen and Excelsior?
Recent form — Heerenveen 1W 1D 3L; Excelsior 1W 2D 2L.

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