This Matchweek

HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen

Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen result

Full-time · Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen

Eredivisie · · Abe Lenstra Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Heerenveen · NEC Nijmegen · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen — Heerenveen won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.39 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 583 of 906 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Heerenveen beat NEC Nijmegen 1–0 at Abe Lenstra Stadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 31 October. Heerenveen have won their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Heerenveen: Dylan Vente (66’, assisted by Levi Smans).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dylan Vente’s goal on 66 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Heerenveen 1.46, NEC Nijmegen 1.33, from 8 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — Heerenveen: Oliver Braude (32’), Vasilios Zagaritis (43’) and Marcus Linday (61’); NEC Nijmegen: Clement Bischoff (32’), Bryan Linssen (34’) and Ayodele Thomas (85’).

What it changes

Heerenveen move down from sixth to seventh (11 league matches played). Heerenveen have scored 19 goals, the ninth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Heerenveen have conceded 13 goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

NEC Nijmegen stay 12th after this result (11 league matches played). NEC Nijmegen have scored 17 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 19 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dylan Vente (Heerenveen) 5.2, Levi Smans (Heerenveen) 4.7 and A. Kaplan (NEC Nijmegen) 4.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Heerenveen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with NEC Nijmegen.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Heerenveen next travel to Groningen on 21 November 2026.

NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Heerenveen: Groningen v Heerenveen, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Abe Lenstra Stadion · Heerenveen
  • Referee: Sander van der Eijk
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Heerenveen 2 · draws 2 · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Heerenveen 4W 0D 1L · NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L

Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.88
Corners
against 4 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.88 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHeerenveen for / againstLineNEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5our book
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
16.63 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.5 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
5.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.75 for · 13.63 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Sander van der Eijk.

Heerenveen

Heerenveen Goalkeeper

Heerenveen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Klaverboer1090900 min272.7 /9070.7 /9000 /90
Heerenveen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Klaverboer n 890
2.55/3

Heerenveen Defensive

Heerenveen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Zagaritis1090900 min60.6 /9060.6 /9040.4 /90424.2 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
S. Kersten1084842 min202.1 /90101.1 /90101.1 /90374 /9050.5 /9010.1 /90
M. Willemsen990806 min131.5 /9060.7 /9050.6 /90283.1 /9070.8 /9000 /90
O. Braude985768 min192.2 /9060.7 /9030.4 /90455.3 /90111.3 /9000 /90
H. Petrov443173 min42.1 /9063.1 /9000 /90157.8 /9000 /9000 /90
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Heerenveen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Zagaritis n 890
16/2
1.15/2
T. Storm
B. Klaverboer n 890
00/0
0.42/1
—
J. Trenskow n 885.6
0.11/0
0.74/1
N. Lebreton
S. Kersten n 883.6
0.53/1
1.16/2
T. Storm
D. Vente n 881
0.84/1
15/2
B. Linssen
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Heerenveen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Zagaritis n 890
0.53/1
J. Trenskow n 885.6
0.75/0
S. Kersten n 883.6
1.95/4
D. Vente n 881
0.31/1
M. Willemsen n 889.5
1.67/2
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Heerenveen Attacking

Heerenveen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Vente1083828 min20.2 /9010.1 /90252.7 /90101.1 /9091 /9000 /90
L. Oyen631188 min10.5 /9010.5 /9041.9 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9041.9 /90
M. Farji426105 min10.9 /9000 /9043.4 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9032.6 /90
Roberts Uldriķis32368 min00 /9000 /9034 /9011.3 /9022.6 /9000 /90
J. Trenskow1086858 min60.6 /9030.3 /90202.1 /90131.4 /90202.1 /9080.8 /90
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Heerenveen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Zagaritis n 890
0.84/1
0.53/1
B. Klaverboer n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Trenskow n 885.6
26/4
1.25/2
S. Kersten n 883.6
0.31/1
00/0
D. Vente n 881
3.28/7
1.35/3
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Heerenveen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Heerenveen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Zagaritis n 890
00/0
00/0
B. Klaverboer n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Trenskow n 885.6
0.74/1
0.32/0
S. Kersten n 883.6
00/0
00/0
D. Vente n 881
0.32/0
0.11/0
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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz1186945 min272.6 /90111 /9000 /90
N. Polster580400 min184.1 /9081.8 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 884.4
2.74/3
N. Polster n 580
4.14/3

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Storm13851099 min231.9 /9090.7 /9030.2 /90625.1 /90191.6 /9030.2 /90
Deveron Fonville1078777 min192.2 /90161.9 /9030.3 /90576.6 /90101.2 /9000 /90
P. Schuurs755386 min92.1 /90102.3 /9020.5 /90143.3 /9051.2 /9000 /90
Gabriel Brás575374 min112.6 /9051.2 /9000 /90225.3 /9051.2 /9010.2 /90
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar559297 min82.4 /9051.5 /9010.3 /90226.7 /9092.7 /9020.6 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Lebreton n 882.6
1.46/3
27/5
J. Trenskow
B. Linssen n 879.1
1.66/4
0.32/0
D. Vente
T. Storm n 883.6
1.37/2
0.85/1
S. Kersten
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
0.63/1
—
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.85/1
1.16/3
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 882.6
2.56/3
B. Linssen n 879.1
0.11/0
T. Storm n 883.6
1.97/4
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
D. Nejašmić n 890
2.68/6
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Linssen14741033 min10.1 /9010.1 /90201.7 /9070.6 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90
T. Chery13831082 min60.5 /9010.1 /90292.4 /90171.4 /90262.2 /9050.4 /90
Dušan Tadić1179872 min00 /9020.2 /9090.9 /9040.4 /90181.9 /9040.4 /90
Adam Tahaui745316 min10.3 /9000 /9041.1 /9010.3 /9072 /9030.9 /90
K. Sierhuis648290 min10.3 /9000 /90134 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9000 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 882.6
1.86/3
0.74/1
B. Linssen n 879.1
2.16/4
0.64/0
T. Storm n 883.6
0.11/0
00/0
T. Chery n 888.9
2.37/6
1.16/2
D. Nejašmić n 890
0.63/2
0.11/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 882.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Linssen n 879.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Storm n 883.6
00/0
00/0
T. Chery n 888.9
0.53/1
0.11/0
D. Nejašmić n 890
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
HeerenveenNEC Nijmegen
38%Possession62%
1.46Expected goals (xG)1.33
8Shots21
2Shots on target1
3Shots off target15
3Blocked shots5
7Shots inside the box15
5Corners7
0Offsides1
7Fouls7
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves1
343Passes548

Heerenveen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Willemsen9000000006.7
O. Braude90000010Y6.3
S. Kersten9000001106.6
M. Linday90000013Y6.5
D. Vente9010110007.7
B. Klaverboer9000000006.6
V. Zagaritis90000002Y6.1
J. Trenskow8900212007.2
N. Courtens7800101206.3
L. Smans7801101007.3
M. Rivera6200301106.2
R. Meerveld2800000006.7
D. Proper1200000106.6
L. Oyen1200000006.4
M. Farji100000006.8

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Crettaz9000000006.7
T. Chery9000416106.9
A. Kaplan9000400107.1
N. Lebreton9000501106.7
B. Linssen90002020Y6.5
D. Nejašmić9000001006.4
Jamiro Monteiro8600102106.5
Kevin Kers8500303106.8
T. Storm7900002207.1
Clement Bischoff73001020Y6.3
P. Schuurs7300000206.8
K. Sierhuis1700101007
A. Thomas17000001Y6.3
Gabriel Brás1100000106.4
Adam Tahaui500000006.6
W. Willumsson400000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
HeerenveenWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
NEC NijmegenDDDWD
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Heerenveen 2 · 2 draws · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-03-22 NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Heerenveen
  • 2025-09-21 Heerenveen 3–2 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2025-04-27 Heerenveen 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2024-10-19 NEC Nijmegen 3–0 Heerenveen
  • 2024-03-10 NEC Nijmegen 2–0 Heerenveen
  • 2023-10-07 Heerenveen 1–1 NEC Nijmegen
League standing · 2026/27
Heerenveen#5 pos21 pts12 pl+8 GD
NEC Nijmegen#14 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Heerenveen scored2
NEC Nijmegen scored1.55
Heerenveen conceded1.33
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.73

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Heerenveen v NEC Nijmegen was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.39 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen?
In their last 6 meetings, Heerenveen won 2, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Heerenveen and NEC Nijmegen?
Recent form — Heerenveen 4W 0D 1L; NEC Nijmegen 1W 4D 0L.

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