This Matchweek

NEC NijmegenExcelsior

NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior result

Full-time · NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior

Eredivisie · · Goffertstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Excelsior · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betfair
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 589 of 919 times (64.1%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior drew 2–2 at Goffertstadion in the Eredivisie on Tuesday 8 September. Excelsior have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — NEC Nijmegen: Adam Tahaui (11’, assisted by Willum Willumsson) and Noé Lebreton (90’, assisted by Perr Schuurs); Excelsior: D. Garden (43’, assisted by Irakli Yegoian) and Valentin Sulzbacher (73’, assisted by Aymen Sliti).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Noé Lebreton’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Excelsior out-shot NEC Nijmegen 14 to 11 and created the better chances, 1.81 xG to 1.36 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Erwin Blank, Netherlands showed four yellow cards — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — NEC Nijmegen: Jamiro Monteiro (4’); Excelsior: Lennard Hartjes (52’), Rick Meissen (70’) and Valentin Sulzbacher (90+5’).

What it changes

NEC Nijmegen stay ninth after this result (five league matches played). NEC Nijmegen have scored 11 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). NEC Nijmegen have conceded nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Excelsior stay fourth after this result (five league matches played). Excelsior have scored 12 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Excelsior have conceded five goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Irakli Yegoian (Excelsior) 8.7, Adam Tahaui (NEC Nijmegen) 7.5 and Perr Schuurs (NEC Nijmegen) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Excelsior.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

NEC Nijmegen next host PSV Eindhoven on 21 November 2026.

Excelsior next travel to Feyenoord on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for NEC Nijmegen: NEC Nijmegen v PSV Eindhoven, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Excelsior: Feyenoord v Excelsior, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Goffertstadion · Nijmegen
  • Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): NEC Nijmegen 4 · draws 1 · Excelsior 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: NEC Nijmegen 2W 0D 3L · Excelsior 3W 1D 1L

NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 2.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.43 / 4.38
Corners
against 3.57 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.86 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.29 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.86 / 0.63
Cards
against 1.43 / 1.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.5 yellows
Referee · Erwin Blank, Netherlands
19.67 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNEC Nijmegen for / againstLineExcelsior for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.25our book
2.63 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.43 for · 3.57 against n 7
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
17.43 for · 10.29 against n 7
19.5standard
14.25 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.86 for · 4.29 against n 7
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.14 for · 12.43 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 7.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.86 for · 1.43 against n 7
3.5standard
0.63 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Erwin Blank, Netherlands — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.17 red cards, 19.67 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz590450 min102 /9091.8 /9000 /90
N. Polster18585 min77.4 /9033.2 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 890
2.64/3

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Storm586430 min91.9 /9071.5 /9020.4 /90316.5 /9091.9 /9020.4 /90
Deveron Fonville579397 min92 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90327.3 /9051.1 /9000 /90
B. Pereira467268 min93 /9051.7 /9000 /90217.1 /9020.7 /9020.7 /90
B. Nuytinck368205 min00 /9062.6 /9020.9 /90114.8 /9020.9 /9000 /90
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar354162 min52.8 /9042.2 /9000 /90126.7 /9031.7 /9010.6 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Lebreton n 886.8
1.96/4
2.37/6
—
Clement Bischoff n 683.2
0.21/0
1.86/3
—
T. Chery n 877.1
0.32/0
0.42/1
—
Dušan Tadić n 671.3
0.63/0
0.62/1
—
B. Linssen n 867.8
2.27/4
0.84/1
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 886.8
3.17/6
Clement Bischoff n 683.2
0.94/1
T. Chery n 877.1
0.32/0
Dušan Tadić n 671.3
0.42/0
B. Linssen n 867.8
15/1
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Chery677461 min20.4 /9000 /90112.1 /9081.6 /9061.2 /9030.6 /90
Dušan Tadić671428 min00 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9000 /90142.9 /9020.4 /90
B. Linssen667400 min00 /9000 /9051.1 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90
K. Sierhuis346139 min10.6 /9000 /9063.9 /9031.9 /9021.3 /9000 /90
E. Mor337111 min00 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /9021.6 /9021.6 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 886.8
1.66/4
0.42/1
Clement Bischoff n 683.2
0.93/2
0.41/1
T. Chery n 877.1
2.56/5
1.85/4
Dušan Tadić n 671.3
0.42/0
00/0
B. Linssen n 867.8
1.35/3
0.73/1
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Lebreton n 886.8
0.31/1
00/0
Clement Bischoff n 683.2
0.21/0
00/0
T. Chery n 877.1
0.31/1
00/0
Dušan Tadić n 671.3
00/0
0.42/0
B. Linssen n 867.8
00/0
00/0
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Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel390270 min93 /9031 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
2.85/5

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Plug390270 min41.3 /9031 /9031 /9093 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
R. Meissen390270 min41.3 /9041.3 /9041.3 /9082.7 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Janssen382246 min72.6 /9000 /9000 /90124.4 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
C. Widell365196 min10.5 /9052.3 /9041.8 /9073.2 /9031.4 /9000 /90
N. Martens260119 min21.5 /9010.8 /9000 /9032.3 /9000 /9000 /90
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Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Meissen n 881.3
1.44/3
0.42/1
—
J. Plug n 390
0.72/0
00/0
—
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Irakli Yegoian n 885
1.17/1
0.94/3
—
L. Hartjes n 886.4
0.84/2
0.54/0
—
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Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Meissen n 881.3
1.47/3
J. Plug n 390
1.33/1
Irakli Yegoian n 885
2.88/7
L. Hartjes n 886.4
2.17/6
S. Janssen n 866.1
27/2
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Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
David Garden370209 min10.4 /9000 /9031.3 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9031.3 /90
A. Sliti340119 min10.8 /9000 /9053.8 /9032.3 /9010.8 /9010.8 /90
N. Groen32061 min11.5 /9000 /9034.4 /9011.5 /9023 /9023 /90
I. Silva Timas23468 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
Alireza Jahanbakhsh22447 min00 /9000 /9011.9 /9011.9 /9000 /9023.8 /90
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Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Plug n 390
0.31/0
00/0
R. Meissen n 881.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 885
1.36/3
0.75/0
L. Hartjes n 886.4
0.73/1
0.32/0
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Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Meissen n 881.3
00/0
0.11/0
S. van Gassel n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Plug n 390
00/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 885
0.32/0
0.32/0
L. Hartjes n 886.4
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NEC NijmegenExcelsior
69%Possession31%
1.36Expected goals (xG)1.81
11Shots14
3Shots on target5
5Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box7
2Corners4
3Offsides0
5Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves1
677Passes298
86%Pass accuracy71%

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Polster9000000006.6
T. Storm9000001307
Adam Tahaui9010111108.2
A. Thomas9000200206.2
W. Willumsson9001101106.6
Dušan Tadić9000100006.9
Gabriel Brás8700000207.2
D. Geiger6300000207
I. Hansen-Aarøen6300002106.5
B. Nuytinck4500000106.5
Jamiro Monteiro45000002Y6.6
P. Schuurs sub4501211207.2
P. Sandler sub4500000006.9
N. Lebreton sub2710111107.2
Kevin Kers sub2700002006.9
Clement Bischoff sub800001006.9

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000001006.5
R. Meissen90002103Y6.3
C. Widell9000001206.3
J. Plug9000000506.5
L. Hartjes90000010Y6
Irakli Yegoian9001412206.6
I. Silva Timas8100003307.2
Eric da Silva Moreira7100001406.9
Á. Þorsteinsson6700001007.2
David Garden6710211007.7
S. Janssen4500000106.6
K. Bos sub4500000306.9
N. Groen sub2300110106.9
A. Sliti sub2301001106.7
V. Sulzbacher sub19101100Y7.2
Alireza Jahanbakhsh sub900000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NEC NijmegenWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ExcelsiorDWWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
NEC Nijmegen 4 · 1 draw · Excelsior 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-04-04 Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2025-08-09 NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior
  • 2024-05-06 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2023-08-13 NEC Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior
  • 2023-02-19 Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2022-10-08 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Excelsior
League standing · 2026/27
NEC Nijmegen#14 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Excelsior#15 pos11 pts12 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
NEC Nijmegen scored1.55
Excelsior scored1.33
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.73
Excelsior conceded2.42

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior?
TACTIX’s free model pick for NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betfair).
What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior?
In their last 6 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 4, Excelsior won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Excelsior?
Recent form — NEC Nijmegen 2W 0D 3L; Excelsior 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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