This Matchweek

NEC NijmegenTelstar

NEC Nijmegen v Telstar result

Full-time · NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar

Eredivisie · · Goffertstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar — Telstar won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.45 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Telstar won 2–1 at Goffertstadion in the Eredivisie on Saturday 8 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: NEC Nijmegen out-shot Telstar 27 to 8 and created the better chances, 2.15 xG to 1.66 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Telstar led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Telstar: Patrick Brouwer (1’, assisted by Abdelnour Soualhia) and Rui Mendes (24’, assisted by Patrick Brouwer); NEC Nijmegen: Kaj Sierhuis (83’, assisted by Dušan Tadić).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Rui Mendes’s goal on 24 minutes.

Discipline

Allard Lindhout, Netherlands showed four yellow cards — against 2.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — NEC Nijmegen: Brayann Pereira (57’) and Isak Hansen-Aarøen (68’); Telstar: Isaiah Ahmed (74’) and R. Koeman (78’).

What it changes

NEC Nijmegen are 17th after this result (one league match played).

Telstar are second after this result (one league match played).

Telstar are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Telstar have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Abdelnour Soualhia (Telstar) 8.1, Patrick Brouwer (Telstar) 7.5 and Dušan Tadić (NEC Nijmegen) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

NEC Nijmegen next travel to Utrecht on 8 November 2026.

Telstar next host PEC Zwolle on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for NEC Nijmegen: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Telstar: Telstar v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Goffertstadion · Nijmegen
  • Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): NEC Nijmegen 0 · draws 2 · Telstar 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: NEC Nijmegen 1W 3D 1L · Telstar 3W 1D 1L

NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Telstar (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.71 / 3.86
Corners
against 3.14 / 7.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.29 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 5.43 / 6.86 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.57 / 1.29
Cards
against 2.14 / 2.29 · 0 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.33 yellows
Referee · Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
19.08 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNEC Nijmegen for / againstLineTelstar for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5our book
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.71 for · 3.14 against n 7
9.5standard
3.86 for · 7.86 against n 7
Shots
17.14 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
12.86 for · 15.14 against n 7
Shots on target
5.29 for · 5.43 against n 7
8.5standard
5.29 for · 6.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.29 for · 10.86 against n 7
21.5standard
10.71 for · 9.86 against n 7
Cards shown
1.57 for · 2.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.29 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands — 2.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 19.08 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen Goalkeeper

NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Crettaz19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Crettaz n 890
4.37/7

NEC Nijmegen Defensive

NEC Nijmegen — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Deveron Fonville19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /901212 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Sandler17474 min44.9 /9044.9 /9011.2 /9078.5 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Storm17070 min11.3 /9000 /9000 /9079 /9011.3 /9000 /90
B. Pereira12020 min14.5 /9000 /9000 /90522.5 /9014.5 /9000 /90
Clement Bischoff19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Lebreton n 888.5
1.87/3
1.98/5
—
Deveron Fonville n 871.8
0.94/2
0.84/1
—
D. Nejašmić n 891.4
0.65/0
1.14/3
—
T. Chery n 888.3
0.65/0
0.94/2
—
G. Crettaz n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Deveron Fonville n 871.8
3.48/6
N. Lebreton n 888.5
26/4
D. Nejašmić n 891.4
1.88/4
T. Chery n 888.3
0.32/0
P. Sandler n 881.5
1.23/3
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NEC Nijmegen Attacking

NEC Nijmegen — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Chery19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9000 /9022 /9000 /90
B. Linssen17474 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022.4 /9000 /90
Clement Bischoff19090 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
D. Nejašmić19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9011 /90
N. Lebreton19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /9011 /90
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NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Chery n 888.3
2.27/4
14/2
N. Lebreton n 888.5
1.56/4
0.84/2
D. Nejašmić n 891.4
0.74/2
0.22/0
G. Crettaz n 890
00/0
00/0
Deveron Fonville n 871.8
00/0
00/0
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NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NEC Nijmegen before kick-off, to 4 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Chery n 888.3
0.31/1
0.11/0
N. Lebreton n 888.5
0.31/1
00/0
D. Nejašmić n 891.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
G. Crettaz n 890
00/0
00/0
Deveron Fonville n 871.8
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
NEC NijmegenTelstar
71%Possession29%
2.15Expected goals (xG)1.66
27Shots8
4Shots on target3
12Shots off target3
11Blocked shots2
17Shots inside the box8
13Corners3
2Offsides1
12Fouls14
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
552Passes227
89%Pass accuracy70%

NEC Nijmegen Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Crettaz9000000006.7
B. Pereira90002013Y6.6
Deveron Fonville9000002107.3
I. Hansen-Aarøen90000021Y6.9
Clement Bischoff9000202107.2
Dušan Tadić9001108007.3
S. Ouaissa7900204007.5
Jamiro Monteiro6400000206.9
T. Chery6400321106.9
N. Lebreton6400101407.2
D. Nejašmić4500000307
K. Sierhuis sub4510211007
P. Sandler sub2600000207.9
W. Willumsson sub2600001106.9
B. Linssen sub2600110006.9
E. Mor sub1100200007.5

Telstar Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Koeman90000000Y8.3
A. Soualhia9001001208.2
M. Peersman9000101307.3
J. Hardeveld9000002206.9
P. Brouwer9011112007.7
Jelani Seedorf9000101105.9
T. Owusu7000001207.2
Gerald Alders6400000207.2
N. Rossen6400000306.9
S. Hetli6300210106.9
Rui Mendes5510110007.3
E. Demircan sub3500000207.2
P. Aning sub2700000006.3
Isaiah Ahmed sub26000000Y6.5
N. Shenkman sub2600000006.7
G. Caschili sub2000000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen v Telstar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NEC NijmegenDDLWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
TelstarLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
NEC Nijmegen 0 · 2 draws · Telstar 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Telstar
  • 2025-12-13 Telstar 2–2 NEC Nijmegen
League standing · 2026/27
NEC Nijmegen#14 pos11 pts11 pl-2 GD
Telstar#16 pos10 pts12 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
NEC Nijmegen scored1.55
Telstar scored1.5
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.73
Telstar conceded2.08

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for NEC Nijmegen v Telstar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for NEC Nijmegen v Telstar was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.45 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Telstar?
In their last 2 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 0, Telstar won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Telstar?
Recent form — NEC Nijmegen 1W 3D 1L; Telstar 3W 1D 1L.

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