PEC ZwolleExcelsior

PEC Zwolle v Excelsior result

Full-time · PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior

Eredivisie · · MAC³PARK Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: PEC Zwolle · Excelsior · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior — this Eredivisie match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

PEC Zwolle and Excelsior drew 2–2 at MAC³PARK Stadion in the Eredivisie on Sunday 12 April. Excelsior are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — PEC Zwolle: Thijs Oosting (3’) and Odysseus Velanas (60’, assisted by Thijs Oosting); Excelsior: Derensili Sanches Fernandes (16’, assisted by Casper Widell) and Szymon Włodarczyk (80’, assisted by Gyan de Regt).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Szymon Włodarczyk’s goal on 80 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: PEC Zwolle, from fewer shots (15 to 16), created the better chances, 2.66 xG to 1.50 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

M. Vos showed one yellow card — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Excelsior: Irakli Yegoian (53’).

What it changes

PEC Zwolle stay 13th after this result (30 league matches played). PEC Zwolle have scored 44 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). PEC Zwolle have conceded 71 goals, the third-most of the 23 clubs.

Excelsior move up from 16th to 15th (30 league matches played). Excelsior have scored 43 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Excelsior have conceded 56 goals, the seventh-most of the 23 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Odysseus Velanas (PEC Zwolle) 8.5, Thijs Oosting (PEC Zwolle) 8.2 and Derensili Sanches Fernandes (Excelsior) 7.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

PEC Zwolle next travel to Telstar on 21 November 2026.

Excelsior next host GO Ahead Eagles on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for PEC Zwolle: Telstar v PEC Zwolle, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Excelsior: Excelsior v GO Ahead Eagles, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior · Eredivisie
  • Venue: MAC³PARK Stadion · Zwolle
  • Referee: M. Vos
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): PEC Zwolle 4 · draws 0 · Excelsior 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: PEC Zwolle 1W 3D 1L · Excelsior 0W 1D 4L

PEC Zwolle 2–2 Excelsior (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 0.88
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.75 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 6 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 1
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.6 yellows
Referee · M. Vos
21.4 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePEC Zwolle for / againstLineExcelsior for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 6.13 against n 8
Shots
12.13 for · 15.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.25 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 6 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.88 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: M. Vos — 4.6 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 21.4 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle Goalkeeper

PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
T. de Graaff29902610 min1264.3 /90582 /9000 /90
PEC Zwolle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
T. de Graaff n 890
47/5

PEC Zwolle Defensive

PEC Zwolle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. MacNulty30892682 min411.4 /90301 /90180.6 /901043.5 /90270.9 /9050.2 /90
S. Floranus30882630 min501.7 /90451.5 /9080.3 /901033.5 /90210.7 /9040.1 /90
S. Graves28832321 min281.1 /90301.2 /90331.3 /901084.2 /90321.2 /9050.2 /90
O. Aertssen23681564 min533 /90231.3 /90110.6 /90985.6 /90181 /9020.1 /90
T. Gooijer20661312 min372.5 /90110.8 /90120.8 /90775.3 /90171.2 /9020.1 /90
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PEC Zwolle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Kostons n 884.4
1.36/2
0.94/3
—
T. Oosting n 873.3
0.93/2
1.15/2
—
A. MacNulty n 890
0.95/2
0.65/0
C. Widell
S. Floranus n 887.4
1.46/4
0.42/1
I. Bronkhorst
T. de Graaff n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
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PEC Zwolle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Kostons n 884.4
1.37/3
T. Oosting n 873.3
1.25/2
A. MacNulty n 890
1.55/4
S. Floranus n 887.4
2.38/4
S. Graves n 875.1
1.36/3
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PEC Zwolle Attacking

PEC Zwolle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Kostons31852630 min120.4 /9060.2 /90481.6 /90260.9 /90220.8 /9080.3 /90
K. de Rooij25731814 min60.3 /9050.2 /90211 /90100.5 /90211 /90201 /90
S. Shoretire23751732 min60.3 /9010.1 /90170.9 /90100.5 /90170.9 /90170.9 /90
D. Mbayo1345584 min00 /9020.3 /9030.5 /9020.3 /9071.1 /9091.4 /90
Jan Faberski1146501 min00 /9020.4 /9030.5 /9010.2 /9091.6 /9050.9 /90
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PEC Zwolle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Kostons n 884.4
1.65/3
0.53/1
T. Oosting n 873.3
2.57/4
1.46/3
A. MacNulty n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Floranus n 887.4
0.31/1
00/0
T. de Graaff n 890
00/0
00/0
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PEC Zwolle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for PEC Zwolle before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Kostons n 884.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
T. Oosting n 873.3
0.32/0
00/0
A. MacNulty n 890
00/0
00/0
S. Floranus n 887.4
00/0
00/0
T. de Graaff n 890
00/0
00/0
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Excelsior

Excelsior Goalkeeper

Excelsior — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. van Gassel27882370 min1043.9 /90391.5 /9000 /90
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
3.97/7

Excelsior Defensive

Excelsior — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Widell29902604 min301 /90291 /90281 /901194.1 /90210.7 /9020.1 /90
I. Bronkhorst28782184 min441.8 /90271.1 /9090.4 /901365.6 /90281.2 /9060.2 /90
R. Meissen28762133 min261.1 /90431.8 /90231 /90753.2 /90150.6 /9040.2 /90
A. Zagré24801923 min462.2 /90231.1 /9090.4 /90874.1 /90291.4 /9070.3 /90
L. Schouten1464889 min212.1 /90141.4 /9050.5 /90454.6 /90101 /9010.1 /90
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Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Widell n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
A. MacNulty
G. de Regt n 881.4
0.11/0
0.74/1
—
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
1.46/3
0.85/1
S. Floranus
R. Meissen n 874.3
0.53/0
0.63/1
—
D. Sanches Fernandes n 882.4
1.57/4
1.25/3
—
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Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.95/2
G. de Regt n 881.4
0.75/0
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
2.25/5
R. Meissen n 874.3
1.46/2
D. Sanches Fernandes n 882.4
1.16/2
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Excelsior Attacking

Excelsior — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jerolldino Armantrading20511015 min00 /9000 /90171.5 /9030.3 /9090.8 /9040.4 /90
M. van Duinen1340518 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.4 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
S. Włodarczyk1156615 min20.3 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9050.7 /9081.2 /9030.4 /90
S. Mitrovic734235 min00 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9041.5 /9020.8 /90
M. Jonathans632190 min10.5 /9000 /9052.4 /9031.4 /9031.4 /9041.9 /90
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Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
0.11/0
00/0
G. de Regt n 881.4
1.56/3
14/1
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
0.54/0
0.11/0
R. Meissen n 874.3
00/0
00/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 882.4
0.85/1
0.43/0
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Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Excelsior before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Widell n 890
00/0
00/0
G. de Regt n 881.4
00/0
0.11/0
I. Bronkhorst n 887.3
0.11/0
00/0
R. Meissen n 874.3
00/0
00/0
D. Sanches Fernandes n 882.4
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PEC ZwolleExcelsior
49%Possession51%
2.66Expected goals (xG)1.50
15Shots16
5Shots on target3
5Shots off target8
5Blocked shots5
11Shots inside the box9
5Corners2
3Offsides1
10Fouls13
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves3
408Passes429
76%Pass accuracy75%

PEC Zwolle Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. de Graaff9000000006.2
O. Aertssen9000001206.5
S. Graves9000200006.5
A. MacNulty9000000106.2
S. Floranus9000000306.2
Z. Buurmeester9000110207
Y. Namli9000005107.7
T. Oosting9011112008.7
K. Kostons7400300005.6
R. Thomas6200001307.5
O. Velanas6210222308.2
K. de Rooij sub2800000106.7
T. Gooijer sub2800000006.5
T. Buitink sub1600110006.2

Excelsior Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. van Gassel9000000007.2
I. Bronkhorst9000000206.6
C. Widell9001201107.2
A. Zagré9000102207.3
D. Sanches Fernandes9010311206.9
L. Hartjes9000000206.7
G. de Regt9001103007
N. Naujoks9000200106.7
R. Meissen7900000106
Irakli Yegoian79000013Y6.7
L. Schouten6200000106.3
E. Hansson sub2800110006.3
S. Włodarczyk sub1110110007.2
M. van Duinen sub1100000106.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind PEC Zwolle v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PEC ZwolleDDDWL
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ExcelsiorLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
PEC Zwolle 4 · 0 draws · Excelsior 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-20 Excelsior 2–1 PEC Zwolle
  • 2024-04-06 PEC Zwolle 2–1 Excelsior
  • 2023-10-22 Excelsior 2–4 PEC Zwolle
  • 2020-12-15 Excelsior 2–0 PEC Zwolle
  • 2019-03-17 Excelsior 0–2 PEC Zwolle
  • 2018-10-06 PEC Zwolle 2–0 Excelsior
League standing · 2025/26
PEC Zwolle#15 pos37 pts34 pl-27 GD
Excelsior#13 pos38 pts34 pl-13 GD
Goals per game
PEC Zwolle scored1.29
Excelsior scored1.26
PEC Zwolle conceded2.09
Excelsior conceded1.65

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for PEC Zwolle v Excelsior?
TACTIX’s free model pick for PEC Zwolle v Excelsior was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between PEC Zwolle and Excelsior?
In their last 6 meetings, PEC Zwolle won 4, Excelsior won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of PEC Zwolle and Excelsior?
Recent form — PEC Zwolle 1W 3D 1L; Excelsior 0W 1D 4L.

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