This Matchweek

UtrechtAZ Alkmaar

Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar result

Full-time · Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar

Eredivisie · · Stadion Galgenwaard

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar — AZ Alkmaar won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.65 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 577 of 895 times (64.5%), against an average rating of 67.5%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

AZ Alkmaar won 4–1 at Stadion Galgenwaard in the Eredivisie on Saturday 15 August. AZ Alkmaar have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

AZ Alkmaar led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — AZ Alkmaar: Peer Koopmeiners (45’), Weslley Patati (47’, assisted by Kees Smit), Mexx Meerdink (49’, assisted by M. Chávez) and Ayoub Oufkir (84’, assisted by M. Chávez); Utrecht: A. Stepanov (62’, assisted by Yoann Cathline).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Peer Koopmeiners’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Utrecht 0.91, AZ Alkmaar 2.10, from 8 shots to 24 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Danny Makkelie, Netherlands showed six yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Utrecht: A. Stepanov (23’), F. Pohl (46’), Guus Offerhaus (54’) and Arthur Zagré (69’); AZ Alkmaar: Weslley Patati (56’) and M. Chávez (89’).

What it changes

Utrecht are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Weslley Patati (AZ Alkmaar) 9.0, Peer Koopmeiners (AZ Alkmaar) 8.8 and M. Chávez (AZ Alkmaar) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Utrecht next host NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026.

AZ Alkmaar next host Groningen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for AZ Alkmaar: AZ Alkmaar v Groningen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard · Utrecht
  • Referee: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Utrecht 2 · draws 3 · AZ Alkmaar 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Utrecht 3W 1D 1L · AZ Alkmaar 1W 4D 0L

Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.14 / 5.5
Corners
against 4.57 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
7 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.43 / 1.38
Cards
against 1.14 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.75 yellows
Referee · Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 9 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 9 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameUtrecht for / againstLineAZ Alkmaar for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
2.25 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.14 for · 4.57 against n 7
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
17.86 for · 13.86 against n 7
19.5standard
15.75 for · 11.63 against n 8
Shots on target
7 for · 5 against n 7
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.57 for · 9.29 against n 7
21.5standard
11 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.43 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Danny Makkelie, Netherlands — 2.75 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Utrecht

Utrecht Goalkeeper

Utrecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Brouwer19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Brouwer n 875.8
3.16/5

Utrecht Defensive

Utrecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Zagré19090 min33 /9011 /9022 /9044 /9011 /9000 /90
M. Eerdhuijzen19090 min00 /9022 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /90
N. Vesterlund19090 min33 /9011 /9022 /9066 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Horemans17070 min22.6 /9022.6 /9000 /9067.7 /9000 /9000 /90
G. Offerhaus12020 min14.5 /9014.5 /9029 /9014.5 /9014.5 /9000 /90
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Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. de Wit n 888.9
27/5
1.35/3
R. Daal
J. van Overeem n 883.9
1.58/3
1.76/3
—
M. Eerdhuijzen n 874.5
0.83/2
00/0
W. Goes
A. Zagré n 370.7
0.82/0
0.41/0
E. Dijkstra
N. Vesterlund n 885.8
0.32/0
0.42/1
W. Goes
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Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Zagré n 370.7
33/2
D. de Wit n 888.9
2.37/5
J. van Overeem n 883.9
2.36/5
N. Vesterlund n 885.8
27/5
M. Eerdhuijzen n 874.5
0.94/2
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Utrecht Attacking

Utrecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Ángel Alarcón18484 min00 /9000 /9033.2 /9022.1 /9000 /9022.1 /90
D. Min16262 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /9011.5 /90
Y. Cathline16262 min00 /9000 /9011.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Blake12828 min13.2 /9000 /9026.4 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /90
D. de Wit19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9022 /9000 /9000 /90
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Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. de Wit n 888.9
1.57/4
0.96/1
A. Zagré n 370.7
1.32/1
0.41/0
M. Eerdhuijzen n 874.5
1.14/2
0.53/0
N. Vesterlund n 885.8
0.75/0
0.54/0
J. van Overeem n 883.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
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Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. de Wit n 888.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
N. Vesterlund n 885.8
0.11/0
0.32/0
J. van Overeem n 883.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Brouwer n 875.8
00/0
00/0
M. Eerdhuijzen n 874.5
00/0
00/0
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AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar Defensive

AZ Alkmaar — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Dijkstra19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Schouten19090 min33 /9011 /9022 /9044 /9000 /9000 /90
W. Goes19090 min11 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
M. Chávez17373 min22.5 /9000 /9000 /9044.9 /9011.2 /9000 /90
M. de Wit11717 min00 /9000 /9000 /9015.3 /9015.3 /9000 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Koopmeiners n 879.3
1.86/4
0.73/1
—
W. Goes n 891.4
0.64/1
0.63/2
N. Vesterlund
D. Kwakman n 849.4
0.52/0
3.97/5
—
E. Dijkstra n 883.3
0.43/0
0.74/1
A. Zagré
R. Daal n 862.1
0.94/1
2.57/3
D. de Wit
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AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Koopmeiners n 879.3
3.58/7
E. Dijkstra n 883.3
2.26/4
D. Kwakman n 849.4
1.44/1
W. Goes n 891.4
1.17/2
R. Daal n 862.1
1.14/1
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AZ Alkmaar Attacking

AZ Alkmaar — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Mexx Meerdink15757 min00 /9000 /9023.2 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Parrott13333 min00 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
P. Koopmeiners19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
R. Daal18181 min11.1 /9000 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9011.1 /9022.2 /90
K. Smit17272 min00 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9033.8 /9011.3 /90
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AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Koopmeiners n 879.3
0.63/1
0.63/1
E. Dijkstra n 883.3
0.54/0
0.32/0
W. Goes n 891.4
0.22/0
0.22/0
D. Kwakman n 849.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Daal n 862.1
1.46/1
0.94/1
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AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for AZ Alkmaar before kick-off, to 9 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Koopmeiners n 879.3
0.32/0
00/0
W. Goes n 891.4
00/0
00/0
E. Dijkstra n 883.3
00/0
00/0
D. Kwakman n 849.4
00/0
00/0
R. Daal n 862.1
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
UtrechtAZ Alkmaar
48%Possession52%
0.91Expected goals (xG)2.10
8Shots24
2Shots on target9
4Shots off target10
2Blocked shots5
6Shots inside the box11
3Corners9
1Offsides0
23Fouls14
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
5Saves1
372Passes417
81%Pass accuracy84%

Utrecht Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Barkas9000000004.9
G. Offerhaus90001001Y6.2
S. Horemans9000000406.7
N. Vesterlund9000000305.9
Ángel Alarcón9000211107.3
A. Stepanov90101112Y7.3
A. Zagré80000002Y5.2
F. Pohl62000012Y6.3
Y. Cathline6201101106.7
D. de Wit5500001206.2
M. Eerdhuijzen4500000106.5
M. Didden sub4500100105.9
K. Paredes sub3500001107.3
D. van den Berg sub2800001006.7
A. Blake sub2800000106.3
N. Nwankwo sub1000000006.3

AZ Alkmaar Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jari De Busser9000000007.2
E. Dijkstra9000100306.7
W. Goes9000100307.2
L. Schouten9000100006.3
M. Chávez90021131Y7.7
D. Kwakman9000422507.2
Mexx Meerdink9010211007.3
P. Koopmeiners8510212408.2
R. Daal8100004007.2
K. Smit8001112006.9
Weslley Patati66105222Y7.6
C. Stengs sub2400000106.3
R. Ichihara sub1000000006.9
S. Maikuma sub900000006.7
A. Oufkir sub910110007.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UtrechtWWWDL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
AZ AlkmaarDDDDW
Last 5: 1W 4D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Utrecht 2 · 3 draws · AZ Alkmaar 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-03-01 Utrecht 2–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-10-26 AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Utrecht
  • 2025-01-18 Utrecht 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2024-09-29 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Utrecht
  • 2024-05-19 AZ Alkmaar 3–3 Utrecht
  • 2023-12-03 Utrecht 1–1 AZ Alkmaar
League standing · 2026/27
Utrecht#11 pos12 pts11 pl-12 GD
AZ Alkmaar#5 pos20 pts11 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Utrecht scored1.73
AZ Alkmaar scored1.82
Utrecht conceded2.82
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.18

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Utrecht v AZ Alkmaar was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.65 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar?
In their last 6 meetings, Utrecht won 2, AZ Alkmaar won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and AZ Alkmaar?
Recent form — Utrecht 3W 1D 1L; AZ Alkmaar 1W 4D 0L.

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