UtrechtHeracles

Utrecht v Heracles result

Full-time · Utrecht 4–0 Heracles

Eredivisie · · Stadion Galgenwaard

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Utrecht 4–0 Heracles — Utrecht won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Utrecht beat Heracles 4–0 at Stadion Galgenwaard in the Eredivisie on Sunday 10 August. Utrecht are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Heracles have lost their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Utrecht led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Utrecht: Gjivai Zechiël (33’, assisted by Yoann Cathline), David Min (62’), V. Jensen (70’, assisted by Yoann Cathline) and Dani de Wit (79’, assisted by D. Murkin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gjivai Zechiël’s goal on 33 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Utrecht 2.34, Heracles 0.88, from 18 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Blank showed three yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Utrecht: David Min (58’); Heracles: B. Limbombe (46’) and Jizz Hornkamp (66’).

What it changes

Utrecht are third after this result (one league match played). Utrecht have scored 58 goals, the ninth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Utrecht have conceded 44 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 23 clubs.

Heracles are 16th after this result (one league match played). Heracles have scored 35 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Heracles have conceded 85 goals, the second-most of the 23 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Yoann Cathline (Utrecht) 9.1, Gjivai Zechiël (Utrecht) 6.9 and David Min (Utrecht) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Utrecht to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 79.1% of the time in the last 90 days (216 of 273).

Next up

Utrecht next host NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Utrecht 4–0 Heracles · Eredivisie
  • Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard · Utrecht
  • Referee: E. Blank
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Utrecht 3 · draws 1 · Heracles 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Utrecht 3W 2D 0L · Heracles 1W 0D 4L

Utrecht 4–0 Heracles (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1
Goals
against 0.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.83 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.33 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.67 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 2.83 / 5.75 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.33 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.33 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
2.57 yellows
Referee · E. Blank
24.86 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameUtrecht for / againstLineHeracles for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
3.83 for · 5.33 against n 6
9.5standard
4.63 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
14.33 for · 8.67 against n 6
19.5standard
9 for · 15.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.67 for · 2.83 against n 6
8.5standard
3.13 for · 5.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.17 for · 7.83 against n 6
21.5standard
12.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.33 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8

Referee: E. Blank — 2.57 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.86 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
UtrechtHeracles
48%Possession52%
2.34Expected goals (xG)0.88
18Shots10
7Shots on target3
5Shots off target6
6Blocked shots1
16Shots inside the box6
4Corners4
10Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves3
335Passes372
79%Pass accuracy80%

Utrecht Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Barkas9000000007.6
S. Horemans9000002007.5
M. van der Hoorn9000002107.9
N. Viergever9000100006.6
S. El Karouani9000223407.2
G. Zechiël9010220208.9
A. Engwanda8600000507.2
D. Min80102130Y7.3
V. Jensen7410310107.7
Y. Cathline7402003108.3
A. Blake4500000006.3
Miguel Rodríguez sub4500100106.7
D. Murkin sub1601001107
D. de Wit sub1610110007.9
N. Ohio sub1000000006.5
C. Bozdoğan sub40000000–

Heracles Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. de Keijzer9000000006.3
J. Wieckhoff9000000105.9
D. Mirani9000100206.3
I. Mesík9000000106.2
S. Scheperman9000000206.2
B. Limbombe90001003Y6.3
J. Hornkamp90001110Y6.7
D. van der Kust6400001106.3
T. van Gilst6400000006.2
J. Žambůrek5800102006.7
M. Engels1400000006.3
T. Bruns sub7600201106.6
J. Reine-Adélaïde sub3200002006.6
Y. Borges Sanches sub2600110006.2
L. Kulenović sub2600210006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Utrecht v Heracles — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
UtrechtDDWWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
HeraclesWLLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Utrecht 3 · 1 draw · Heracles 2 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2025-02-04 Heracles 2–0 Utrecht
  • 2025-01-24 Heracles 1–1 Utrecht
  • 2024-11-08 Utrecht 1–0 Heracles
  • 2024-02-23 Utrecht 1–0 Heracles
  • 2023-09-16 Heracles 1–3 Utrecht
  • 2022-02-11 Heracles 1–0 Utrecht
League standing · 2025/26
Utrecht#6 pos53 pts34 pl+13 GD
Heracles#18 pos19 pts34 pl-50 GD
Goals per game
Utrecht scored1.62
Heracles scored1.03
Utrecht conceded1.24
Heracles conceded2.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Utrecht v Heracles?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Utrecht v Heracles was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and Heracles?
In their last 6 meetings, Utrecht won 3, Heracles won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and Heracles?
Recent form — Utrecht 3W 2D 0L; Heracles 1W 0D 4L.

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