Utrecht v NAC Breda result

Full-time · Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda

Eredivisie · Sat, 02 May 2026 15:30 BST · Stadion Galgenwaard

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Utrecht · NAC Breda · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda — Utrecht won this Eredivisie match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Utrecht beat NAC Breda 2–0 at Stadion Galgenwaard in the Eredivisie on Saturday 2 May. NAC Breda are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Utrecht: Dani de Wit (86’, assisted by J. Karlsson) and Adrian Blake (90’, assisted by David Min). M. Nassoh (35’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dani de Wit’s goal on 86 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Utrecht 2.90, NAC Breda 0.45, from 28 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Bos showed two yellow cards and one red — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — NAC Breda: M. Balard (40’) and Daniel Bielica (82’).

What it changes

Utrecht move up from eighth to seventh (32 league matches played). Utrecht have scored 58 goals, the ninth-most of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Utrecht have conceded 44 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 23 clubs.

NAC Breda stay 17th after this result (32 league matches played). NAC Breda have scored 35 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 23 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). NAC Breda have conceded 58 goals, the sixth-most of the 23 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Souffian El Karouani (Utrecht) 7.3, Dani de Wit (Utrecht) 7.1 and Yoann Cathline (Utrecht) 6.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Utrecht are unbeaten in the last three meetings with NAC Breda.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Utrecht next host NEC Nijmegen on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Utrecht: Utrecht v NEC Nijmegen, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda · Eredivisie
Venue: Stadion Galgenwaard · Utrecht
Referee: A. Bos
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Utrecht 4 · draws 1 · NAC Breda 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Utrecht 3W 0D 2L · NAC Breda 0W 2D 3L

Utrecht 2–0 NAC Breda (Eredivisie): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.25 / 7.25

Corners

against 4.63 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 5.88 / 4 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.25

Cards

against 1 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.5 yellows

Referee · A. Bos

21.3 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Utrecht for / against	Line	NAC Breda for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	0.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	7.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.38 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.75 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.88 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: A. Bos — 2.5 yellow cards a game, 0.1 red cards, 21.3 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Utrecht

Utrecht Goalkeeper

Utrecht — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
V. Barkas	37	883267 min	1323.6 /90	511.4 /90	10 /90
M. Brouwer	6	71426 min	163.4 /90	71.5 /90	00 /90

Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 8	90	4.4 8/8

Utrecht Defensive

Utrecht — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. El Karouani	39	833237 min	982.7 /90	290.8 /90	90.3 /90	1825.1 /90	561.6 /90	70.2 /90
M. van der Hoorn	30	822466 min	291.1 /90	271 /90	271 /90	1365 /90	250.9 /90	10 /90
N. Viergever	29	802327 min	301.2 /90	240.9 /90	220.9 /90	793.1 /90	220.9 /90	30.1 /90
S. Horemans	28	852387 min	451.7 /90	341.3 /90	60.2 /90	923.5 /90	170.6 /90	20.1 /90
M. Didden	27	822219 min	311.3 /90	241 /90	210.9 /90	1134.6 /90	321.3 /90	60.2 /90
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Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Engwanda n 8	90	0.5 2/2	0.5 4/0	K. Sowah
S. El Karouani n 8	84.3	1.6 5/5	1.5 7/3	B. Kemper
G. Zechiël n 8	86.6	1 4/3	1.2 5/2	M. Nassoh
V. Barkas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
D. de Wit n 8	90	2.1 8/4	1.4 6/3	M. Balard
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Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 8	90	3.1 8/8
S. El Karouani n 8	84.3	2.9 8/8
G. Zechiël n 8	86.6	1.7 6/4
D. de Wit n 8	90	2.4 6/5
Miguel Rodríguez n 8	51.6	1.7 4/3
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Utrecht Attacking

Utrecht — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Miguel Rodríguez	31	662052 min	50.2 /90	00 /90	441.9 /90	221 /90	261.1 /90	271.2 /90
S. Haller	21	571200 min	10.1 /90	30.2 /90	211.6 /90	70.5 /90	151.1 /90	40.3 /90
A. Blake	21	561168 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	241.8 /90	120.9 /90	161.2 /90	161.2 /90
D. Min	19	51974 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	201.8 /90	50.5 /90	100.9 /90	121.1 /90
A. Stepanov	11	68746 min	40.5 /90	10.1 /90	192.3 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90	81 /90
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Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. El Karouani n 8	84.3	1.6 4/4	0.4 2/1
G. Zechiël n 8	86.6	1 6/2	0.8 5/1
V. Barkas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. de Wit n 8	90	1.3 7/3	0.6 5/0
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Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Utrecht before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Engwanda n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. El Karouani n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
G. Zechiël n 8	86.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
V. Barkas n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. de Wit n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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NAC Breda

NAC Breda Goalkeeper

NAC Breda — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Bielica	30	902700 min	993.3 /90	501.7 /90	00 /90

NAC Breda — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Bielica n 8	90	1.9 4/3

NAC Breda Defensive

NAC Breda — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Kemper	31	882731 min	471.5 /90	240.8 /90	100.3 /90	1565.1 /90	371.2 /90	30.1 /90
R. Hillen	22	821795 min	442.2 /90	231.2 /90	120.6 /90	1276.4 /90	241.2 /90	80.4 /90
Cherrion Valerius	22	751648 min	362 /90	211.1 /90	70.4 /90	904.9 /90	160.9 /90	40.2 /90
C. Leemans	18	641154 min	110.9 /90	211.6 /90	40.3 /90	352.7 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90
B. Lucassen	18	631126 min	181.4 /90	90.7 /90	60.5 /90	514.1 /90	80.6 /90	00 /90
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NAC Breda — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Kemper n 8	90	1 7/1	0.9 5/2	S. El Karouani
K. Sowah n 8	77.4	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0	A. Engwanda
D. Bielica n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
M. Balard n 8	79.6	1 5/2	1.1 4/2	D. de Wit
M. Nassoh n 8	59.5	1.1 4/1	1.7 6/1	G. Zechiël
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NAC Breda — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Kemper n 8	90	1.4 6/2
K. Sowah n 8	77.4	2.8 8/6
M. Balard n 8	79.6	2 7/5
M. Nassoh n 8	59.5	1.9 6/3
L. Holtby n 8	51.8	2 6/2
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NAC Breda Attacking

NAC Breda — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Brym	23	651485 min	20.1 /90	30.2 /90	332 /90	130.8 /90	231.4 /90	301.8 /90
J. Talvitie	23	601389 min	20.1 /90	20.1 /90	231.5 /90	110.7 /90	251.6 /90	191.2 /90
S. van Hooijdonk	18	711279 min	50.4 /90	00 /90	251.8 /90	130.9 /90	100.7 /90	60.4 /90
A. Ayew	14	50697 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	182.3 /90	60.8 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90
M. Soumano	10	58579 min	30.5 /90	00 /90	203.1 /90	91.4 /90	81.2 /90	50.8 /90
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NAC Breda — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Kemper n 8	90	0.8 5/1	0.3 2/0
K. Sowah n 8	77.4	1.2 5/2	0.3 2/0
D. Bielica n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Balard n 8	79.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Nassoh n 8	59.5	1.5 6/2	1.1 5/1
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NAC Breda — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for NAC Breda before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Kemper n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Sowah n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Bielica n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Balard n 8	79.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Nassoh n 8	59.5	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Utrecht		NAC Breda
66%	Possession	34%
2.90	Expected goals (xG)	0.45
28	Shots	9
11	Shots on target	1
10	Shots off target	7
7	Blocked shots	1
19	Shots inside the box	7
8	Corners	4
1	Offsides	0
12	Fouls	13
0	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
1	Saves	9
504	Passes	262
88%	Pass accuracy	69%

Utrecht Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
V. Barkas	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
M. van der Hoorn	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.6
S. El Karouani	90	0	0	1	1	8	4	8.2
A. Engwanda	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	7.2
G. Zechiël	90	0	0	4	3	5	0	7.9
D. de Wit	89	1	0	1	1	1	3	7.7
Y. Cathline	89	0	0	2	1	4	1	7.9
N. Vesterlund	74	0	0	1	1	0	0	7
Ángel Alarcón	66	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.9
Ángel Alarcón	66	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.9
A. Stepanov	65	0	0	2	0	1	0	6
M. Eerdhuijzen	45	0	0	1	1	0	1	7.2
J. Karlsson sub	45	0	1	4	2	1	1	7.7
S. Haller sub	25	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
A. Blake sub	24	1	0	2	1	1	0	7.7
S. Horemans sub	16	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.9
D. Min sub	10	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
C. Bozdoğan sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

NAC Breda Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. Bielica	90	0	0	0	0	Y	8
D. Odoi	90	2	0	0	3	0	6.5
C. Leemans	90	0	0	2	2	0	6.7
B. Kemper	90	0	0	2	2	0	6.3
E. Mahmutović	89	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
M. Balard	89	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
K. Sowah	89	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
L. Holtby	81	1	0	0	2	0	6.9
Cherrion Valerius	72	1	0	1	2	0	6.3
A. Ayew	72	1	1	0	1	0	6.9
M. Nassoh	35	0	0	0	0	R	5.6
R. Hillen sub	18	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Soumano sub	18	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Candelaria sub	9	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
R. Paula sub	9	1	0	0	1	0	6.3
B. Ghalidi sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
P. Reulen sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Utrecht v NAC Breda — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

UtrechtWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

NAC BredaLLDDL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Utrecht 4 · 1 draw · NAC Breda 1 · 3 goals/game

2025-12-14 NAC Breda 1–1 Utrecht
2025-03-01 Utrecht 1–0 NAC Breda
2024-08-24 NAC Breda 1–2 Utrecht
2021-12-14 NAC Breda 3–2 Utrecht
2019-03-16 NAC Breda 0–4 Utrecht
2018-10-05 Utrecht 2–1 NAC Breda

League standing · 2025/26

Utrecht#6 pos53 pts34 pl+13 GD

NAC Breda#17 pos29 pts34 pl-23 GD

Goals per game

Utrecht scored1.62

NAC Breda scored1.03

Utrecht conceded1.24

NAC Breda conceded1.71

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Utrecht v NAC Breda?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Utrecht v NAC Breda was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Utrecht and NAC Breda?: In their last 6 meetings, Utrecht won 4, NAC Breda won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Utrecht and NAC Breda?: Recent form — Utrecht 3W 0D 2L; NAC Breda 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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