Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng result

Full-time · Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shandong Luneng

FA Cup – China · · Wuhan Sports Centre

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns · Shandong Luneng · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shandong Luneng — this FA Cup – China match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng drew 2–2 at Wuhan Sports Centre in FA Cup – China on Tuesday 21 July.

The goals

Wuhan Three Towns led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Wuhan Three Towns: Wei Long (20’, assisted by Xu Haofeng), Jhonder Cádiz (113’, assisted by Adriano Firmino), Gustavo Sauer (120’ pen), K. Bevis (120’ pen) and Adriano Firmino (120’ pen); Shandong Luneng: Yang Liu (71’, assisted by Valeri Qazaishvili), Cryzan (117’, assisted by Zeca; 120’ pen), Zeca (120’ pen), Valeri Qazaishvili (120’ pen) and Guilherme Madruga (120’ pen).

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.6% of the time in the last 90 days (422 of 643).

Next up

Wuhan Three Towns next host Shandong Luneng on 24 October 2026.

Shandong Luneng next travel to Wuhan Three Towns on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Wuhan Three Towns: Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shandong Luneng · FA Cup – China
  • Venue: Wuhan Sports Centre · Wuhan
  • Referee: Y. Mu
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Wuhan Three Towns 0 · draws 2 · Shandong Luneng 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Wuhan Three Towns 1W 2D 2L · Shandong Luneng 3W 0D 2L

Wuhan Three Towns 2–2 Shandong Luneng (FA Cup – China): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 August 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
4.43 / 2.86
Corners
against 5 / 7 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.71 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 5.86 / 7.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 1.71
Cards
against 2 / 1.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameWuhan Three Towns for / againstLineShandong Luneng for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.75our book
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.43 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
2.86 for · 7 against n 7
Shots
15.57 for · 14.43 against n 7
19.5standard
14.14 for · 21.86 against n 7
Shots on target
5.71 for · 5.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.29 for · 7.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.71 for · 12.71 against n 7
21.5standard
12 for · 10.43 against n 7
Cards shown
3.14 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.71 for · 1.29 against n 7
Wuhan Three Towns
Wuhan Three Towns — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Zhong Jinbao n 837.3
2.76/2
1.54/1
—
Liu Binbin n 813
2.63/0
0.91/0
—
Jizheng Xiong n 863.9
2.58/3
1.65/3
—
Lixun Jiang n 841.8
2.46/3
0.82/1
—
Zhechao Chen n 843.6
2.34/3
14/0
—
Wuhan Three Towns — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Jhonder Cádiz n 890
4.48/8
2.58/8
Jizheng Xiong n 863.9
2.56/4
1.14/2
K. Bevis n 858.3
1.75/4
13/2
Liu Binbin n 813
1.72/0
00/0
Gustavo Sauer n 890
1.45/2
1.15/2
Wuhan Three Towns — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Jhonder Cádiz n 890
0.96/1
0.65/0
Liu Binbin n 813
00/0
0.91/0
K. Bevis n 858.3
0.42/0
0.42/0
Gustavo Sauer n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
Wei Long n 820
00/0
0.61/0
Wuhan Three Towns — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Shenyuan Li n 821.6
3.64/1
Xu Haofeng n 853.8
2.97/5
Kang Wang n 866.4
2.78/4
Liu Binbin n 813
2.63/0
Gustavo Sauer n 890
2.48/6
Wuhan Three Towns — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jingqi Fang n 890
3.85/4
Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Lu n 37
4.31/0
00/0
—
Zeca n 880.8
2.46/5
28/4
—
Zeshi Chen n 854.6
2.38/3
0.21/0
—
Memet Imran n 829.1
2.34/1
0.41/0
—
Songchen Shi n 819.4
2.33/1
0.61/0
—
Shandong Luneng — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Peng Yixiang n 614.3
5.23/2
00/0
J. Lu n 37
4.31/0
4.31/0
Cryzan n 878.5
3.27/6
1.95/4
Zeca n 880.8
2.97/5
1.15/3
Valeri Qazaishvili n 889.4
2.36/5
0.93/3
Shandong Luneng — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Cryzan n 878.5
13/3
0.63/1
Zeca n 880.8
0.62/2
0.42/1
Wenneng Xie n 874.3
0.32/0
0.53/0
Chen Pu n 854.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
Valeri Qazaishvili n 889.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
Shandong Luneng — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Memet Imran n 829.1
5.48/2
Yang Liu n 880.4
2.76/6
Chen Pu n 854.8
2.77/4
Maiwulang Mijiti n 882.3
2.56/5
Guilherme Madruga n 879.6
2.58/4
Shandong Luneng — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Dalei Wang n 890
4.97/6
Yu Jinyong n 879.4
3.58/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Wuhan Three TownsDDLLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game
Shandong LunengWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 3 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Wuhan Three Towns 0 · 2 draws · Shandong Luneng 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-24 Shandong Luneng 3–3 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2025-11-22 Wuhan Three Towns 1–5 Shandong Luneng
  • 2025-06-25 Shandong Luneng 3–1 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2024-09-21 Shandong Luneng 0–0 Wuhan Three Towns
  • 2024-05-11 Wuhan Three Towns 1–2 Shandong Luneng
  • 2023-09-29 Shandong Luneng 2–1 Wuhan Three Towns
Goals per game
Wuhan Three Towns scored1
Shandong Luneng scored3
Wuhan Three Towns conceded1
Shandong Luneng conceded1.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Wuhan Three Towns v Shandong Luneng was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng?
In their last 6 meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 0, Shandong Luneng won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Wuhan Three Towns and Shandong Luneng?
Recent form — Wuhan Three Towns 1W 2D 2L; Shandong Luneng 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s boards

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