Accrington ST v Wycombe prediction

FA Cup · · The Wham Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Accrington ST v Wycombe, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Accrington ST host Wycombe in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Wycombe’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Wycombe have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Accrington ST are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Wycombe are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Accrington ST’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Accrington ST have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14.

Nine of Wycombe’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Wycombe have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.83.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Wycombe the stronger side, 16 rating points above Accrington ST (Wycombe 1781, Accrington ST 1765, after at least 19 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2023, finished Accrington ST 0–2 Wycombe.

Team news

Predicted Accrington ST XI (3-4-1-2): L. Moulden, J. Anderson, D. Matthews, D. Love, D. Tutonda, S. Mols, A. Borland, C. O'Brien, A. Henderson, T. Walton, C. Warren — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Josh Woods (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, seven goals and one assist) and Stefan Mols (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and five assists) have been Accrington ST’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Accrington ST (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josh Woods averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1076 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances. Stefan Mols averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 802 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Wycombe XI (3-5-2): C. Hazard, C. Taylor, A. Hagelskjær, J. Grimmer, C. Boyd-Munce, J. Scowen, F. Onyedinma, C. Woodrow, A. Morley, J. Wareham, E. Henderson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Jayden Wareham (5.0 per match over nine appearances, six goals and one assist) and F. Onyedinma (4.5 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and three assists) have been Wycombe’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Wycombe (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jayden Wareham averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1058 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. F. Onyedinma averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1239 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup · The Wham Stadium
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Accrington ST 2 · draws 1 · Wycombe 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L · Wycombe 2W 2D 1L

Accrington ST v Wycombe (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.5 / 6.13
Corners
against 4 / 6.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 3.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.5
Cards
against 2.25 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
182
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAccrington ST for / againstLineWycombe for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.5 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 6.25 against n 8
Shots
16.13 for · 8.5 against n 8
19.5standard
14.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
13 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2 against n 8

Accrington ST

Accrington ST Goalkeeper

Accrington ST — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Moulden15901350 min372.5 /90140.9 /9000 /90
Accrington ST — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Moulden n 890
1.93/3

Accrington ST Defensive

Accrington ST — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Joseph Anderson15901350 min322.1 /90231.5 /9060.4 /90765.1 /90191.3 /9050.3 /90
Devon Matthews14871213 min191.4 /90211.6 /9060.4 /901219 /90221.6 /9050.4 /90
S. Conneely872577 min91.4 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90467.2 /9040.6 /9010.2 /90
F. Rawson787607 min30.4 /9081.2 /9040.6 /90426.2 /9081.2 /9020.3 /90
T. Moore562312 min20.6 /9082.3 /9010.3 /90164.6 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90
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Accrington ST — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Joseph Anderson n 890
0.85/1
0.96/1
—
L. Moulden n 890
00/0
0.52/2
—
Devon Matthews n 888
1.57/3
1.36/3
—
D. Love n 890
1.37/3
1.45/1
—
J. Woods n 878.6
1.15/2
1.64/3
—
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Accrington ST — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 890
1.88/4
Devon Matthews n 888
1.47/2
D. Love n 890
1.36/3
J. Woods n 878.6
1.76/4
D. Tutonda n 888.9
2.57/4
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Accrington ST Attacking

Accrington ST — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Woods13831076 min70.6 /9010.1 /90312.6 /90121 /90181.5 /90110.9 /90
T. Walton1277929 min30.3 /9030.3 /90131.3 /9060.6 /90141.4 /90111.1 /90
C. Warren958518 min40.7 /9010.2 /90162.8 /9061 /9091.6 /9020.3 /90
C. Caton866524 min50.9 /9000 /90234 /90122.1 /9020.3 /9040.7 /90
S. Whalley660360 min00 /9010.3 /9082 /9051.3 /9071.8 /9041 /90
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Accrington ST — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
L. Moulden n 890
00/0
00/0
Devon Matthews n 888
17/1
00/0
D. Love n 890
0.63/1
00/0
J. Woods n 878.6
2.76/4
1.35/1
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Accrington ST — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Accrington ST before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Joseph Anderson n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Moulden n 890
00/0
00/0
Devon Matthews n 888
00/0
00/0
D. Love n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Woods n 878.6
0.74/1
0.11/0
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Wycombe

Wycombe Goalkeeper

Wycombe — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Hazard13901170 min342.6 /90191.5 /9000 /90
J. Wildsmith19090 min55 /9000 /9000 /90
Wycombe — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Hazard n 890
2.16/3

Wycombe Defensive

Wycombe — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Taylor13901170 min141.1 /90191.5 /9030.2 /90856.5 /9070.5 /9000 /90
D. Harvie13861121 min181.4 /9080.6 /9060.5 /90715.7 /90181.4 /9050.4 /90
J. Grimmer1071714 min70.9 /9040.5 /9020.3 /90324 /9040.5 /9010.1 /90
S. Cook985763 min80.9 /90121.4 /9030.4 /90495.8 /9020.2 /9000 /90
A. Hagelskjær788618 min142 /90111.6 /9010.1 /90466.7 /9060.9 /9000 /90
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Wycombe — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Onyedinma n 889.9
1.67/6
2.56/5
—
C. Taylor n 890
0.85/1
0.95/1
—
C. Hazard n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Harvie n 890
1.66/4
1.88/3
—
C. Boyd-Munce n 879.3
0.63/1
1.15/3
—
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Wycombe — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Onyedinma n 889.9
0.64/1
C. Taylor n 890
1.37/2
D. Harvie n 890
1.68/4
C. Boyd-Munce n 879.3
1.17/1
C. Woodrow n 864
1.14/2
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Wycombe Attacking

Wycombe — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Woodrow1265781 min30.3 /9020.2 /90141.6 /9060.7 /9091 /9040.5 /90
J. Wareham987782 min60.7 /9010.1 /90242.8 /90131.5 /9030.3 /9050.6 /90
E. Tezgel534168 min00 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Armando Quitirna430120 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9032.3 /9032.3 /90
F. Onyedinma14891239 min40.3 /9030.2 /90201.5 /9090.7 /90231.7 /90120.9 /90
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Wycombe — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Onyedinma n 889.9
1.67/5
0.54/0
C. Taylor n 890
0.86/0
0.43/0
C. Hazard n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Harvie n 890
1.34/3
0.11/0
C. Boyd-Munce n 879.3
1.45/4
0.31/1
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Wycombe — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wycombe before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Onyedinma n 889.9
0.43/0
0.43/0
C. Hazard n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Taylor n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Harvie n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
C. Boyd-Munce n 879.3
00/0
00/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Accrington ST v Wycombe — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Accrington STDWDWD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
WycombeLWDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Accrington ST 2 · 1 draw · Wycombe 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2023-02-14 Accrington ST 0–2 Wycombe
  • 2022-09-13 Wycombe 1–0 Accrington ST
  • 2022-02-26 Accrington ST 3–2 Wycombe
  • 2021-08-07 Wycombe 2–1 Accrington ST
  • 2019-09-17 Wycombe 1–1 Accrington ST
  • 2019-03-12 Wycombe 1–3 Accrington ST
Goals per game
Accrington ST scored2
Wycombe scored1.6
Accrington ST conceded0.6
Wycombe conceded1.4

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Accrington ST v Wycombe?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Accrington ST v Wycombe is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Accrington ST and Wycombe?
In their last 6 meetings, Accrington ST won 2, Wycombe won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Accrington ST and Wycombe?
Recent form — Accrington ST 2W 3D 0L; Wycombe 2W 2D 1L.

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