Altrincham v Notts County prediction

FA Cup · · Moss Lane

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Altrincham v Notts County, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:30 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 254 landed (95% range 73.7–83.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Altrincham host Notts County in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Altrincham to win.

The key numbers

Altrincham are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Altrincham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Altrincham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Altrincham have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.57.

Four of Notts County’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in eight of Notts County’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Notts County have one win, four draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 1.29.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Altrincham the stronger side, 246 rating points above Notts County (Altrincham 1979, Notts County 1732, after at least 19 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Notts County are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Altrincham. The most recent meeting, on 28 March 2023, finished Altrincham 0–2 Notts County.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Oliver Cooper (4.7 per match over nine appearances, three goals) and Scott Robertson (3.7 per match over six appearances, one goal) have been Notts County’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Notts County (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Oliver Cooper averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 707 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Scott Robertson averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 358 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last six appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup · Moss Lane
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Altrincham 1 · draws 1 · Notts County 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Altrincham 3W 2D 0L · Notts County 1W 1D 3L

Altrincham v Notts County (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Altrincham v Notts County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AltrinchamWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Notts CountyLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Altrincham 1 · 1 draw · Notts County 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2023-03-28 Altrincham 0–2 Notts County
  • 2022-10-01 Notts County 3–1 Altrincham
  • 2022-05-07 Notts County 3–0 Altrincham
  • 2021-09-25 Altrincham 1–0 Notts County
  • 2021-05-01 Altrincham 1–1 Notts County
  • 2020-10-07 Notts County 3–1 Altrincham
Goals per game
Altrincham scored2.2
Notts County scored0.8
Altrincham conceded0.8
Notts County conceded1.4

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Altrincham v Notts County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Altrincham v Notts County is Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Altrincham and Notts County?
In their last 6 meetings, Altrincham won 1, Notts County won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Altrincham and Notts County?
Recent form — Altrincham 3W 2D 0L; Notts County 1W 1D 3L.

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