Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United prediction

FA Cup · Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · Memorial Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 04:23 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bristol Rovers · Cambridge United · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United, FA Cup on Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.62 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bristol Rovers host Cambridge United in the FA Cup on Friday 6 November (kick-off 19:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Cambridge United’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Bristol Rovers are winless in their last six matches in all competitions. Cambridge United are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Bristol Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Bristol Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Bristol Rovers have four wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.13.

Nine of Cambridge United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Cambridge United have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.43.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bristol Rovers the stronger side, 3 rating points above Cambridge United (Bristol Rovers 1795, Cambridge United 1792, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Cambridge United 3–1 Bristol Rovers.

Team news

Predicted Bristol Rovers XI (3-4-1-2): B. Young, C. Kelly, A. Kilgour, K. Balmer, C. Mola, J. Sparkes, S. Forde, R. Smallwood, T. James, F. Cavegn, J. Quigley — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Clinton Mola (3.8 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Riley-Jay Harbottle (3.4 per match over seven appearances) have been Bristol Rovers’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bristol Rovers (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Clinton Mola averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 1293 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Riley-Jay Harbottle averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 566 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last seven appearances.

Predicted Cambridge United XI (3-4-2-1): J. Eastwood, K. Watts, L. Bennett, Z. Bradshaw, P. Mpanzu, B. Knight, G. Hoddle, S. Kaikai, O. Moxon, I. Heath, L. Appéré — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mamadou Jobe (5.7 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Benjamin Knight (4.0 per match over 15 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been Cambridge United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Cambridge United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mamadou Jobe averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in three of the last 10 appearances. Benjamin Knight averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1171 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT · FA Cup · Memorial Stadium
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Bristol Rovers 4 · draws 0 · Cambridge United 2 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Bristol Rovers 0W 1D 4L · Cambridge United 1W 2D 2L

Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 1.25

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.25 / 10.38

Corners

against 3.5 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.38 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.38 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Bristol Rovers for / against	Line	Cambridge United for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.25 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	10.38 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.5 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.5 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers Goalkeeper

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Brad Young	15	901350 min	291.9 /90	181.2 /90	00 /90

Bristol Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Brad Young n 8	90	2.6 6/5

Bristol Rovers Defensive

Bristol Rovers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Balmer	14	871213 min	171.3 /90	141 /90	20.1 /90	735.4 /90	100.7 /90	50.4 /90
T. James	13	901165 min	151.2 /90	100.8 /90	70.5 /90	524 /90	10.1 /90	30.2 /90
B. Purrington	10	86855 min	222.3 /90	151.6 /90	00 /90	616.4 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
C. Kelly	10	81814 min	121.3 /90	141.5 /90	30.3 /90	556.1 /90	141.5 /90	20.2 /90
R. Harbottle	7	81566 min	172.7 /90	81.3 /90	61 /90	548.6 /90	101.6 /90	10.2 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 4/0	—
C. Mola n 8	87.3	2.4 7/4	0.8 5/1	—
S. Forde n 8	72.1	2.8 8/4	1.2 4/3	—
K. Balmer n 8	90	1 6/2	1.6 6/5	—
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	1.2 4/2	0.8 4/1	—
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Bristol Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Mola n 8	87.3	3.2 7/5
S. Forde n 8	72.1	0.9 4/1
K. Balmer n 8	90	0.9 4/2
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	0.3 1/1
T. James n 8	90	1.3 5/2
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Bristol Rovers Attacking

Bristol Rovers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Cavegn	14	69972 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	222 /90	121.1 /90	90.8 /90	131.2 /90
E. Harrison	8	65516 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	122.1 /90	61 /90	50.9 /90	40.7 /90
J. Quigley	7	52366 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.7 /90	20.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
A. Appiah	2	4793 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	00 /90
C. Mola	15	861293 min	10.1 /90	20.1 /90	100.7 /90	30.2 /90	100.7 /90	50.3 /90
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Bristol Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Mola n 8	87.3	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
S. Forde n 8	72.1	2 5/4	0.9 5/1
K. Balmer n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	1.9 4/3	0.8 3/1
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Bristol Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bristol Rovers before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Brad Young n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
C. Mola n 8	87.3	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
S. Forde n 8	72.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Balmer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Cavegn n 8	66.6	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
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Cambridge United

Cambridge United Goalkeeper

Cambridge United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Eastwood	16	901440 min	382.4 /90	120.8 /90	00 /90

Cambridge United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Eastwood n 8	90	2.4 5/4

Cambridge United Defensive

Cambridge United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Watts	16	901440 min	181.1 /90	221.4 /90	80.5 /90	1127 /90	70.4 /90	40.3 /90
Z. Bradshaw	13	821064 min	181.5 /90	131.1 /90	40.3 /90	655.5 /90	121 /90	30.3 /90
Callum Perry	11	73804 min	182 /90	80.9 /90	40.4 /90	465.1 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90
Cathal Heffernan	7	90630 min	50.7 /90	00 /90	50.7 /90	375.3 /90	60.9 /90	10.1 /90
M. Jobe	3	90270 min	51.7 /90	31 /90	31 /90	4013.3 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
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Cambridge United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Watts n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.9 5/2	—
J. Eastwood n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
P. Mpanzu n 8	80.4	1.4 7/2	1.1 6/2	—
B. Knight n 8	85.8	1.2 6/3	0.5 4/0	—
L. Bennett n 8	89.3	0.6 3/2	2.1 7/4	—
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Cambridge United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Watts n 8	90	1.3 5/3
P. Mpanzu n 8	80.4	1.7 8/3
B. Knight n 8	85.8	1.4 7/1
L. Bennett n 8	89.3	1.1 4/1
S. Kaikai n 8	73.6	1.2 4/2
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Cambridge United Attacking

Cambridge United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Kaikai	14	61848 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	171.8 /90	70.7 /90	272.9 /90	60.6 /90
S. Lavery	12	33393 min	30.7 /90	20.5 /90	173.9 /90	71.6 /90	30.7 /90	20.5 /90
L. Appéré	11	58640 min	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	81.1 /90	50.7 /90	60.8 /90	20.3 /90
Gassan Ahadme	10	68684 min	30.4 /90	00 /90	141.8 /90	91.2 /90	30.4 /90	30.4 /90
P. Mpanzu	16	661048 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	80.7 /90	40.3 /90	121 /90	90.8 /90
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Cambridge United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Watts n 8	90	1 6/1	0.1 1/0
J. Eastwood n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mpanzu n 8	80.4	1 5/2	0.4 3/0
B. Knight n 8	85.8	2.2 7/6	0.7 4/1
L. Bennett n 8	89.3	0.8 5/1	0.6 4/1
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Cambridge United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Cambridge United before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Watts n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Eastwood n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Mpanzu n 8	80.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Knight n 8	85.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
L. Bennett n 8	89.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Bristol RoversLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Cambridge UnitedWDLDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Bristol Rovers 4 · 0 draws · Cambridge United 2 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-02-14 Cambridge United 3–1 Bristol Rovers
2025-08-23 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Cambridge United
2025-08-12 Bristol Rovers 0–2 Cambridge United
2025-01-04 Cambridge United 0–1 Bristol Rovers
2024-08-31 Bristol Rovers 2–0 Cambridge United
2024-04-16 Bristol Rovers 1–0 Cambridge United

Goals per game

Bristol Rovers scored0.6

Cambridge United scored1.4

Bristol Rovers conceded1.8

Cambridge United conceded2

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Bristol Rovers v Cambridge United is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.62 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Bristol Rovers and Cambridge United?: In their last 6 meetings, Bristol Rovers won 4, Cambridge United won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bristol Rovers and Cambridge United?: Recent form — Bristol Rovers 0W 1D 4L; Cambridge United 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 04:23 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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