Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds prediction

FA Cup · · Pirelli Stadium

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TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 254 landed (95% range 73.7–83.7%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Burton Albion host AFC Rushden & Diamonds in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Burton Albion to win.

Form and the table

11 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Burton Albion’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Burton Albion have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.63 and conceding 1.50.

Seven of AFC Rushden & Diamonds’s last 13 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (54%). Both teams scored in seven of AFC Rushden & Diamonds’s last 13 results in all competitions (54%). Away from home, AFC Rushden & Diamonds have one win, one draw and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.57 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.71.

Burton Albion are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. AFC Rushden & Diamonds have won their last four matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Burton Albion the stronger side, 289 rating points above AFC Rushden & Diamonds (Burton Albion 2046, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1757, after at least 13 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Finn Delap (4.7 per match over 10 appearances, three goals) and Jack Armer (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Burton Albion’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Burton Albion (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Finn Delap averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 853 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Armer averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 934 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup · Pirelli Stadium
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L · AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4W 0D 1L

Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Burton AlbionLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
AFC Rushden & DiamondsLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Goals per game
Burton Albion scored1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds scored2
Burton Albion conceded1.4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds conceded0.8

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burton Albion v AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Home win.
What is the recent form of Burton Albion and AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
Recent form — Burton Albion 1W 2D 2L; AFC Rushden & Diamonds 4W 0D 1L.

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