Carlisle v Tamworth result
Team pages: Carlisle · Tamworth
The model’s pre-match pick
Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth — Carlisle won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Carlisle beat Tamworth 2–1 at Brunton Park in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October. Tamworth have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Carlisle led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Carlisle: R. Linney (6’, 45’); Tamworth: Riccardo Calder (48’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Linney’s goal on 6 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Carlisle 0.00, Tamworth 0.00, from 0 shots to 0 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Carlisle had no shots (no on target) to Tamworth’s no (no on target). Carlisle had 0% of the ball to Tamworth’s 0%, completing 0 passes to 0.
What it changes
Carlisle have scored two goals, the 62nd-most (shared) of the 296 clubs (this season so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Carlisle have conceded one goal, the 35th-fewest (shared) of the 296 clubs.
Tamworth have scored one goal, the 142nd-fewest (shared) of the 296 clubs (this season so far, after 1 game, ranked per game). Tamworth have conceded two goals, the 144th-most (shared) of the 296 clubs.
Carlisle are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Carlisle or Tamworth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).
Next up
Carlisle next host Salford City on 7 November 2026.
Tamworth next travel to AFC Hornchurch on 14 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Carlisle: Carlisle v Salford City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Tamworth: AFC Hornchurch v Tamworth, Saturday 14 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth · FA Cup
- Venue: Brunton Park · Carlisle, Cumbria
- Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Carlisle 1 · draws 0 · Tamworth 1 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Carlisle 2W 1D 2L · Tamworth 3W 0D 2L
Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Carlisle v Tamworth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-03-14 Tamworth 2–1 Carlisle
- 2025-11-29 Carlisle 2–1 Tamworth
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Carlisle v Tamworth?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Carlisle v Tamworth was Home or Away (odds 1.17 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle and Tamworth?
- In their last 2 meetings, Carlisle won 1, Tamworth won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Carlisle and Tamworth?
- Recent form — Carlisle 2W 1D 2L; Tamworth 3W 0D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.