Chesterfield v Yeovil Town prediction

FA Cup · · SMH Group Stadium

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Chesterfield v Yeovil Town, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chesterfield host Yeovil Town in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Yeovil Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Yeovil Town have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. Chesterfield are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Yeovil Town, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Chesterfield’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Chesterfield’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Chesterfield have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 1.29.

Both teams scored in 11 of Yeovil Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Yeovil Town have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.29.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Yeovil Town the stronger side, 102 rating points above Chesterfield (Yeovil Town 1853, Chesterfield 1750, after at least 25 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 11 March 2023, finished Chesterfield 1–1 Yeovil Town.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Dilan Markanday (4.9 per match over 15 appearances, four goals and one assist) and George McEachran (4.4 per match over 15 appearances, one assist) have been Chesterfield’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chesterfield (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dilan Markanday averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1260 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. George McEachran averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 1208 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup · SMH Group Stadium
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Chesterfield 4 · draws 2 · Yeovil Town 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Chesterfield 1W 2D 2L · Yeovil Town 3W 1D 1L

Chesterfield v Yeovil Town (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chesterfield v Yeovil Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ChesterfieldDLDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Yeovil TownWDWLW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Chesterfield 4 · 2 draws · Yeovil Town 0 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2023-03-11 Chesterfield 1–1 Yeovil Town
  • 2022-09-17 Yeovil Town 2–2 Chesterfield
  • 2022-02-26 Chesterfield 1–0 Yeovil Town
  • 2021-09-18 Yeovil Town 0–2 Chesterfield
  • 2021-03-06 Chesterfield 3–0 Yeovil Town
  • 2020-10-31 Yeovil Town 0–1 Chesterfield
Goals per game
Chesterfield scored1.8
Yeovil Town scored3.4
Chesterfield conceded1.8
Yeovil Town conceded1.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Chesterfield v Yeovil Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Chesterfield v Yeovil Town is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Chesterfield and Yeovil Town?
In their last 6 meetings, Chesterfield won 4, Yeovil Town won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chesterfield and Yeovil Town?
Recent form — Chesterfield 1W 2D 2L; Yeovil Town 3W 1D 1L.

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