Colchester v Worcester City prediction

FA Cup ·

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TACTIX’s model makes Draw or Away the free pick for Colchester v Worcester City, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 1441 landed (95% range 66–70.8%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Colchester host Worcester City in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is the draw or Worcester City, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Colchester are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Worcester City are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Worcester City have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in eight of Colchester’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Colchester have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 0.86.

Seven of Worcester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in nine of Worcester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Worcester City have three wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.83 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 1.33.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Worcester City the stronger side, 482 rating points above Colchester (Worcester City 1840, Colchester 1358, after at least 10 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Jack Payne (4.5 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) and Moses Sesay (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Colchester’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Colchester (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Payne averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 932 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Moses Sesay averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 861 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Colchester 0W 3D 2L · Worcester City 4W 1D 0L

Colchester v Worcester City (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Colchester v Worcester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ColchesterDLDDL
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Worcester CityWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Goals per game
Colchester scored0.6
Worcester City scored1.6
Colchester conceded1.2
Worcester City conceded0.6

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Colchester v Worcester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Colchester v Worcester City is Draw or Away.
What is the recent form of Colchester and Worcester City?
Recent form — Colchester 0W 3D 2L; Worcester City 4W 1D 0L.

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