DoverDorking Wanderers

Dover v Dorking Wanderers result

Full-time · Dover 3–2 Dorking Wanderers

FA Cup · · The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dover 3–2 Dorking Wanderers — Dover won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.44 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Dover beat Dorking Wanderers 3–2 at The Perrys Crabble Stadium in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October. Dorking Wanderers have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Dover led 2–1 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Dorking Wanderers: D. Lewis (63’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dover’s goal on 48 minutes.

What it changes

Dover sit 23rd on nine points from three games with a goal difference of +4 (2026/27 so far). Dover have scored nine goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 288 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Dover have conceded five goals, the 138th-fewest (shared) of the 288 clubs.

Dorking Wanderers sit 44th on seven points from four games with a goal difference of +1 (2026/27 so far). Dorking Wanderers have scored 10 goals, the 35th-most (shared) of the 288 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 4 games, ranked per game). Dorking Wanderers have conceded nine goals, the 85th-most of the 288 clubs.

Dover have won their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Dover 3–2 Dorking Wanderers · FA Cup
  • Venue: The Perrys Crabble Stadium · Dover, Kent
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Dover 2W 1D 2L · Dorking Wanderers 3W 1D 1L

Dover 3–2 Dorking Wanderers (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
DoverDorking Wanderers
33%Possession67%
12Shots29
7Shots on target12
5Shots off target17
0Blocked shots0
2Corners8
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dover v Dorking Wanderers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DoverDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Dorking WanderersWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Goals per game
Dover scored1.8
Dorking Wanderers scored2.8
Dover conceded2
Dorking Wanderers conceded2.2

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Dover v Dorking Wanderers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dover v Dorking Wanderers was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.44 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Dover and Dorking Wanderers?
Recent form — Dover 2W 1D 2L; Dorking Wanderers 3W 1D 1L.

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