Eastleigh v Shrewsbury prediction

FA Cup · · Silverlake Stadium

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Eastleigh v Shrewsbury, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Eastleigh host Shrewsbury in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Seven of Eastleigh’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Eastleigh’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Eastleigh have four wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.88 and conceding 1.50.

Seven of Shrewsbury’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in seven of Shrewsbury’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Shrewsbury have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.11 and conceding 2.11.

Shrewsbury are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shrewsbury the stronger side, 86 rating points above Eastleigh (Shrewsbury 1868, Eastleigh 1782, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Thomas Sang (4.3 per match over 16 appearances, one assist) and William Boyle (3.4 per match over 16 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Shrewsbury’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Shrewsbury (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Thomas Sang averages 2.7 key passes per 90 over 1319 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. William Boyle averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 1409 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup · Silverlake Stadium
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Eastleigh 2W 0D 3L · Shrewsbury 3W 1D 1L

Eastleigh v Shrewsbury (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Eastleigh v Shrewsbury — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EastleighLLWWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
ShrewsburyWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Goals per game
Eastleigh scored1.6
Shrewsbury scored1.8
Eastleigh conceded2.2
Shrewsbury conceded1.4

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Eastleigh v Shrewsbury?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Eastleigh v Shrewsbury is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Eastleigh and Shrewsbury?
Recent form — Eastleigh 2W 0D 3L; Shrewsbury 3W 1D 1L.

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