Harborough TownSpennymoor Town

Harborough Town v Spennymoor Town result

Full-time · Harborough Town 3–1 Spennymoor Town

FA Cup ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Harborough Town 3–1 Spennymoor Town — Harborough Town won this FA Cup match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Odds: 1.18 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 78% of 5167 landed (95% range 76.8–79.1%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Harborough Town beat Spennymoor Town 3–1 in the FA Cup on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

Harborough Town led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Harborough Town: Dempsey Arlott-John (7’), B. Assombalonga (75’) and E. Putman (83’); Spennymoor Town: F. Holcroft (69’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Assombalonga’s goal on 75 minutes.

What it changes

Harborough Town sit 23rd on nine points from three games with a goal difference of +4 (2026/27 so far). Harborough Town have scored seven goals, the 46th-most (shared) of the 286 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Harborough Town have conceded three goals, the 38th-fewest (shared) of the 286 clubs.

Spennymoor Town sit 53rd on six points from three games with a goal difference of +5 (2026/27 so far). Spennymoor Town have scored nine goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 286 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 3 games, ranked per game). Spennymoor Town have conceded four goals, the 101st-fewest (shared) of the 286 clubs.

Harborough Town have won their last three matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Harborough Town or Spennymoor Town (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78% of the time in the last 90 days (4028 of 5167).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Harborough Town 3–1 Spennymoor Town · FA Cup
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Harborough Town 3W 1D 1L · Spennymoor Town 4W 0D 1L

Harborough Town 3–1 Spennymoor Town (FA Cup): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Harborough TownSpennymoor Town
57%Possession43%
21Shots11
10Shots on target6
11Shots off target5
0Blocked shots0
7Corners6
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Harborough Town v Spennymoor Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Harborough TownWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Spennymoor TownWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Goals per game
Harborough Town scored2
Spennymoor Town scored2.4
Harborough Town conceded1.6
Spennymoor Town conceded0.6

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Harborough Town v Spennymoor Town?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Harborough Town v Spennymoor Town was Home or Away (odds 1.18 at Bet365).
What is the recent form of Harborough Town and Spennymoor Town?
Recent form — Harborough Town 3W 1D 1L; Spennymoor Town 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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