Luton v Forest Green prediction

FA Cup · · Kenilworth Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Luton v Forest Green, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Luton host Forest Green in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Luton or Forest Green (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Luton have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Luton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Luton’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Luton have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.00.

Nine of Forest Green’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Forest Green’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Forest Green have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.17.

Luton have won their last three matches in all competitions. Forest Green are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Forest Green have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Forest Green the stronger side, 103 rating points above Luton (Forest Green 1954, Luton 1851, after at least 22 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Luton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Forest Green, every meeting checked. The most recent meeting, on 31 October 2025, finished Luton 4–3 Forest Green.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Jamie Donley (5.0 per match over 10 appearances, four goals and three assists) and Jordan Clark (4.8 per match over eight appearances, one goal and three assists) have been Luton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Luton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jamie Donley averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1222 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Jordan Clark averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 582 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · FA Cup · Kenilworth Road
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Luton 3 · draws 0 · Forest Green 0 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Luton 4W 0D 1L · Forest Green 2W 2D 1L

Luton v Forest Green (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

182
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Luton v Forest Green — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LutonWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Forest GreenDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Luton 3 · 0 draws · Forest Green 0 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-31 Luton 4–3 Forest Green
  • 2018-04-28 Luton 3–1 Forest Green
  • 2017-12-16 Forest Green 0–2 Luton
Goals per game
Luton scored2.4
Forest Green scored2
Luton conceded1.2
Forest Green conceded1

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Luton v Forest Green?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Luton v Forest Green is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Forest Green?
In their last 3 meetings, Luton won 3, Forest Green won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Luton and Forest Green?
Recent form — Luton 4W 0D 1L; Forest Green 2W 2D 1L.

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