Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town prediction

FA Cup · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Stadium MK

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Milton Keynes Dons · Swindon Town · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Milton Keynes Dons host Swindon Town in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Milton Keynes Dons or Swindon Town (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Milton Keynes Dons are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Swindon Town, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Milton Keynes Dons’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Milton Keynes Dons have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.29.

Eight of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Swindon Town’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Swindon Town have one win, two draws and five defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.63 points per game, scoring 0.63 and conceding 1.63.

Swindon Town are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Milton Keynes Dons the stronger side, 11 rating points above Swindon Town (Milton Keynes Dons 1685, Swindon Town 1674, after at least 17 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 March 2026, finished Swindon Town 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons.

Team news

Predicted Milton Keynes Dons XI (3-1-4-2): W. Dennis, C. Goode, M. Ekpiteta, J. Sanders, R. Wintle, A. Gilbey, S. Silvera, E. Campbell, I. Fullah, S. Nombe, A. Collins — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Aaron Collins (5.7 per match over 14 appearances, 11 goals and three assists) and Curtis Nelson (3.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Milton Keynes Dons’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Milton Keynes Dons (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Aaron Collins averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 984 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Curtis Nelson averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 784 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last nine appearances.

Predicted Swindon Town XI (4-3-3): C. Ripley, S. Negru, K. Majekodunmi, D. Butler, M. Clark, J. Thomson, A. Munda, M. Virtue-Thick, A. Drinan, A. Hackford, J. Hungbo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Thomson (4.8 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Aaron Drinan (4.3 per match over 15 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Swindon Town’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Swindon Town (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Thomson averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 966 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Aaron Drinan averages 2.4 shots per 90 over 1271 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · FA Cup · Stadium MK
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Milton Keynes Dons 5 · draws 1 · Swindon Town 0 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Milton Keynes Dons 3W 0D 2L · Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L

Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.63

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 3.88

Corners

against 5.5 / 8 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3.25

Shots on target

against 4.13 / 6.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.88

Cards

against 1 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Milton Keynes Dons for / against	Line	Swindon Town for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	0.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.88 for · 8 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.25 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.25 for · 17.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.25 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5

Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons Goalkeeper

Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
W. Dennis	7	90630 min	172.4 /90	81.1 /90	00 /90
C. MacGillivray	6	92549 min	233.8 /90	71.1 /90	00 /90

Milton Keynes Dons — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
W. Dennis n 7	90	2.4 6/2
C. MacGillivray n 8	91.1	3.2 7/3

Milton Keynes Dons Defensive

Milton Keynes Dons — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
C. Goode	12	891068 min	141.2 /90	141.2 /90	80.7 /90	867.2 /90	100.8 /90	20.2 /90
M. Ekpiteta	12	77920 min	181.8 /90	161.6 /90	80.8 /90	626.1 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90
C. Nelson	9	87784 min	111.3 /90	161.8 /90	131.5 /90	465.3 /90	131.5 /90	00 /90
G. Jones	7	70492 min	101.8 /90	20.4 /90	40.7 /90	193.5 /90	61.1 /90	00 /90
J. Sanders	5	81405 min	81.8 /90	92 /90	10.2 /90	378.2 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
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Milton Keynes Dons — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	0.8 6/0	0 0/0	—
S. Nombe n 8	87.5	3 7/7	0.6 5/0	—
A. Collins n 8	84.3	1.3 5/2	0.7 3/2	—
C. Goode n 8	90	0.6 3/1	1.4 6/3	—
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	1.1 4/2	1.4 5/1	—
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Milton Keynes Dons — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	1.7 5/5
S. Nombe n 8	87.5	0.5 4/0
A. Collins n 8	84.3	1.3 6/2
C. Goode n 8	90	1.1 6/3
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	1.7 5/4
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Milton Keynes Dons Attacking

Milton Keynes Dons — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Nombe	13	841096 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	221.8 /90	70.6 /90	80.7 /90	131.1 /90
A. Collins	13	72939 min	90.9 /90	30.3 /90	333.2 /90	131.2 /90	151.4 /90	131.2 /90
C. Paterson	8	57455 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	91.8 /90	30.6 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90
N. Mendez-Laing	2	3978 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
R. Wintle	13	901168 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90	151.2 /90	20.2 /90
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Milton Keynes Dons — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
S. Nombe n 8	87.5	2.1 6/5	0.6 5/0
A. Collins n 8	84.3	3.1 8/7	1.2 6/3
C. Goode n 8	90	1.4 6/2	0.3 2/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Milton Keynes Dons — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Milton Keynes Dons before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Wintle n 8	88.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Nombe n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
A. Collins n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1	0.4 3/0
C. Goode n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Ekpiteta n 8	74.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Swindon Town

Swindon Town Goalkeeper

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Ripley	14	901260 min	674.8 /90	151.1 /90	00 /90

Swindon Town — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Ripley n 8	90	5.6 8/8

Swindon Town Defensive

Swindon Town — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
S. Negru	13	901170 min	211.6 /90	201.5 /90	191.5 /90	705.4 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
M. Clark	11	85934 min	191.8 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90	565.4 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
K. Majekodunmi	11	77846 min	222.3 /90	141.5 /90	80.9 /90	707.4 /90	121.3 /90	50.5 /90
B. Kirkman	9	77692 min	374.8 /90	202.6 /90	30.4 /90	749.6 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
D. Butler	7	89620 min	162.3 /90	81.2 /90	10.1 /90	446.4 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90
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Swindon Town — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Ripley n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
A. Drinan n 8	85.9	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0	—
S. Negru n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
M. Clark n 8	86.3	0.5 3/1	0.5 3/1	—
Jack Thomson n 8	87	1.2 5/3	0.6 5/0	—
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Swindon Town — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Drinan n 8	85.9	0.5 3/1
S. Negru n 8	90	1.3 5/3
M. Clark n 8	86.3	1.8 6/3
Jack Thomson n 8	87	2.7 8/6
A. Munda n 8	81.6	2.8 6/6
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Swindon Town Attacking

Swindon Town — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Drinan	14	881226 min	80.6 /90	10.1 /90	342.5 /90	171.2 /90	141 /90	100.7 /90
J. Hungbo	9	42380 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	133.1 /90	30.7 /90	51.2 /90	81.9 /90
L. Millard	9	36327 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	10.3 /90
J. Snowdon	8	51406 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.8 /90	51.1 /90	71.6 /90	61.3 /90
A. Hackford	8	45360 min	00 /90	00 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	41 /90
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Swindon Town — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Ripley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Drinan n 8	85.9	2.5 8/5	1 7/1
S. Negru n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Clark n 8	86.3	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Jack Thomson n 8	87	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Swindon Town — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Swindon Town before kick-off, to 27 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Ripley n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Drinan n 8	85.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
S. Negru n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
M. Clark n 8	86.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Jack Thomson n 8	87	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Milton Keynes DonsLWLWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Swindon TownLLDWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Milton Keynes Dons 5 · 1 draw · Swindon Town 0 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-03-14 Swindon Town 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons
2025-12-26 Milton Keynes Dons 1–0 Swindon Town
2025-05-03 Swindon Town 0–0 Milton Keynes Dons
2024-11-09 Milton Keynes Dons 3–1 Swindon Town
2024-02-17 Swindon Town 1–2 Milton Keynes Dons
2023-10-28 Milton Keynes Dons 3–2 Swindon Town

Goals per game

Milton Keynes Dons scored1.6

Swindon Town scored0.8

Milton Keynes Dons conceded1.8

Swindon Town conceded0.8

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Expected goals (xG)

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town?: In their last 6 meetings, Milton Keynes Dons won 5, Swindon Town won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town?: Recent form — Milton Keynes Dons 3W 0D 2L; Swindon Town 1W 2D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 15:19 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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