Peterborough v Reading prediction

FA Cup · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Weston Homes Stadium

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 22:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Peterborough · Reading · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Peterborough v Reading, FA Cup on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 4960 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Peterborough host Reading in the FA Cup on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Peterborough or Reading (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Peterborough are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Reading are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Peterborough’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Peterborough’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Peterborough have one win, three draws and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71.

Nine of Reading’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Reading’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, Reading have two wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 0.86.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Peterborough the stronger side, 18 rating points above Reading (Peterborough 1689, Reading 1671, after at least 19 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 29 December 2025, finished Peterborough 1–1 Reading.

Team news

Predicted Peterborough XI (4-2-3-1): A. Bass, L. Mendonça, H. Mills, C. Johnston, J. Feeney, L. Kelly, B. Shofowoke, E. Williams, H. Ashfield, O. Edwards, H. Leonard — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Harley Mills (3.9 per match over 16 appearances, three assists) and Harry Leonard (3.9 per match over 16 appearances, seven goals and one assist) have been Peterborough’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Peterborough (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Harley Mills averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 1342 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Harry Leonard averages 3.4 shots per 90 over 1386 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Reading XI (4-2-3-1): J. Pereira, U. Godwin-Malife, P. O'Connor, H. Roberts, J. Dorsett, L. Wing, K. Lisbie, A. Rinomhota, J. Stokes, P. Lane, J. Reid — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Marriott (4.8 per match over nine appearances, eight goals) and Benn David Ward (4.1 per match over 11 appearances, one goal) have been Reading’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Reading (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Marriott averages 4.7 shots per 90 over 569 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last nine appearances. Benn David Ward averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1001 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · FA Cup · Weston Homes Stadium
Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Peterborough 2 · draws 2 · Reading 2 · 2.83 goals/game
Recent form: Peterborough 0W 2D 3L · Reading 3W 1D 1L

Peterborough v Reading (FA Cup): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.75 / 5.75

Corners

against 4.75 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5

Shots on target

against 5.13 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

182

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Peterborough for / against	Line	Reading for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.13 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.5 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5

Peterborough

Peterborough Goalkeeper

Peterborough — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
A. Bass	16	901440 min	523.3 /90	150.9 /90	00 /90

Peterborough — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
A. Bass n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Peterborough Defensive

Peterborough — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Harley Mills	15	831252 min	392.8 /90	141 /90	60.4 /90	765.5 /90	141 /90	20.1 /90
C. Johnston	13	77996 min	201.8 /90	141.3 /90	30.3 /90	544.9 /90	80.7 /90	30.3 /90
Joshua Feeney	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	91 /90	70.8 /90	576.3 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90
Lucca Mendonça	9	78700 min	202.6 /90	101.3 /90	60.8 /90	506.4 /90	81 /90	30.4 /90
D. Okagbue	8	85676 min	50.7 /90	40.5 /90	91.2 /90	435.7 /90	30.4 /90	20.3 /90
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Peterborough — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Bass n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Bolu Shofowoke n 8	70.8	1.1 4/2	0.5 3/0	—
H. Leonard n 8	87.5	0.6 4/1	1.4 6/4	—
Harley Mills n 8	84.1	1.1 5/2	1.6 6/5	—
L. Kelly n 8	81.4	1.2 6/3	1.1 5/2	—
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Peterborough — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bolu Shofowoke n 8	70.8	1.1 4/1
H. Leonard n 8	87.5	0.4 3/0
Harley Mills n 8	84.1	3.1 7/6
L. Kelly n 8	81.4	1.4 5/2
C. Johnston n 8	79.8	1.6 5/3
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Peterborough Attacking

Peterborough — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Leonard	15	861296 min	60.4 /90	10.1 /90	473.3 /90	201.4 /90	171.2 /90	70.5 /90
Vernon Masara	7	38265 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
D. Ormerod	5	39193 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.4 /90	00 /90	94.2 /90	20.9 /90
Lucas Pasquoto	3	2575 min	00 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90	00 /90	67.2 /90	11.2 /90
David Kamara	1	2525 min	00 /90	00 /90	13.6 /90	13.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Peterborough — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Bass n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bolu Shofowoke n 8	70.8	0.6 3/1	0.3 1/1
H. Leonard n 8	87.5	3.1 8/7	1.2 6/3
Harley Mills n 8	84.1	1.1 5/3	0 0/0
L. Kelly n 8	81.4	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
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Peterborough — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Peterborough before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Bass n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bolu Shofowoke n 8	70.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
H. Leonard n 8	87.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Harley Mills n 8	84.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
L. Kelly n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Reading

Reading Goalkeeper

Reading — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Joel Pereira	15	901350 min	463.1 /90	90.6 /90	00 /90

Reading — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Joel Pereira n 8	90	3.1 7/4

Reading Defensive

Reading — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
P. O'Connor	14	891241 min	191.4 /90	241.7 /90	60.4 /90	1178.5 /90	181.3 /90	40.3 /90
U. Godwin-Malife	13	901170 min	100.8 /90	131 /90	20.2 /90	574.4 /90	60.5 /90	00 /90
H. Roberts	11	81891 min	171.7 /90	151.5 /90	50.5 /90	484.8 /90	90.9 /90	40.4 /90
Benn David Ward	10	90900 min	131.3 /90	222.2 /90	60.6 /90	868.6 /90	161.6 /90	20.2 /90
J. Dorsett	7	90630 min	81.1 /90	60.9 /90	30.4 /90	385.4 /90	91.3 /90	20.3 /90
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Reading — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Joel Pereira n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
P. O'Connor n 8	90	1.1 7/2	1.3 5/4	—
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	0.8 4/2	1.8 7/5	—
L. Wing n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.9 6/1	—
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	86.4	1.4 6/4	1.3 6/3	—
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Reading — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. O'Connor n 8	90	1.3 5/3
L. Wing n 8	90	1.6 7/3
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	0.8 6/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	86.4	0.8 6/0
A. Rinomhota n 8	82.9	2 7/4
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Reading Attacking

Reading — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Brown	10	38378 min	41 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
J. Marriott	8	68543 min	81.3 /90	00 /90	294.8 /90	183 /90	71.2 /90	10.2 /90
J. Reid	6	63380 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90
L. Wing	13	901170 min	00 /90	20.2 /90	191.5 /90	50.4 /90	251.9 /90	20.2 /90
Kyreece Lisbie	13	841089 min	50.4 /90	40.3 /90	221.8 /90	110.9 /90	141.2 /90	131.1 /90
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Reading — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Joel Pereira n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. O'Connor n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.4 2/1
L. Wing n 8	90	2 7/6	0.6 5/0
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	86.4	2 6/3	1.2 4/3
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Reading — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Reading before kick-off, to 31 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Joel Pereira n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. O'Connor n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
U. Godwin-Malife n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
L. Wing n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Kyreece Lisbie n 8	86.4	0.5 2/2	0.1 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Peterborough v Reading — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

PeterboroughDLDLL

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.2 conceded per game

ReadingWLWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Peterborough 2 · 2 draws · Reading 2 · 2.83 goals/game

2025-12-29 Peterborough 1–1 Reading
2025-12-09 Reading 1–2 Peterborough
2025-03-29 Reading 3–1 Peterborough
2024-11-23 Peterborough 1–2 Reading
2023-12-26 Peterborough 2–2 Reading
2023-08-05 Reading 0–1 Peterborough

Goals per game

Peterborough scored0.8

Reading scored1.6

Peterborough conceded2.2

Reading conceded0.6

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Peterborough v Reading?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Peterborough v Reading is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Peterborough and Reading?: In their last 6 meetings, Peterborough won 2, Reading won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Peterborough and Reading?: Recent form — Peterborough 0W 2D 3L; Reading 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 22:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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